WR · JAX · 10 lines since 2023
Josh Cameron Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Josh Cameron, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 13% — we make it 11%
- Line 9.5 yds longest rec — we project 6.0 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 10.5 rec yds — we project 6.7 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 30%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: Pre-snap motion 0–0 · Middle of the field 1–0 · model 0–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 13% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 6.0 | 41% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.7 | 42% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 39% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 6 | 44% / 50% | 42 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 28% / 37% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 8% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 5% | 1 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Under 12.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Over 9.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology