TE · NYJ · 16 lines since 2023
Kenyon Sadiq Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kenyon Sadiq, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 26% — we make it 15%
- Line 14.5 yds longest rec — we project 15 (P(over) 51%)
- Line 30.5 rec yds — we project 25 (P(over) 43%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 3 (P(over) 36%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
- Receptions over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
- Anytime TD over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: model 4–2 · Missed tackles 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 26% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 14.5 | 15 | 51% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 25 | 43% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 36% / 43% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 26 | 31% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 29% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 17 | 27% / 51% | 105 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 22% / 46% | 7 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 7.0 | 22% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 18% / 47% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 14.5 | – | – / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | – | – / 50% | 3 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 31.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology