WR · NYG · 16 lines since 2023
Malachi Fields Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Malachi Fields, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 19% — we make it 18%
- Line 16.5 yds longest rec — we project 17 (P(over) 50%)
- Line 25.5 rec yds — we project 27 (P(over) 52%)
- Line 2.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 46%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 3, under 1 (4 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 3 (4 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 3 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: model 2–3
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 19% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 16.5 | 17 | 50% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 27 | 52% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 39% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 19% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 26 | 54% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 70% / 60% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 29 | 59% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 39% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 19 | 39% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 22.5 | – | – / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 42% | 2 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology