WR · DET · 20 lines since 2023
Tom Kennedy Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Tom Kennedy, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 4%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Receptions over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 9 (9 graded)
- Longest reception over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
Our calls on him: model 0–4
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | – | void |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | void |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 6% | – | void |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | – | void |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 6.5 | 19 | 83% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 34 | 85% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 0.5 | 3 | 93% / 61% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | – | void |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 6% | – | void |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2025 W14 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology