Edgehalla

RB · SEA · 43 lines since 2023

Velus Jones Jr. Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Velus Jones Jr., what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 9%

Over/under record by market

  • Anytime TD over 0, under 35 (35 graded)

Our calls on him: model 0–2

Line vs actual vs our projection

Velus Jones Jr. prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 5%–…
2026 W4Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 5%0under
2026 W3Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 5%–void
2026 W1Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 6%–void
2025 W16Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 4%–void
2025 W15Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2025 W14Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 5%0under
2025 W5Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 3%0under
2025 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%–void
2025 W1Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 4%–void
2024 W17Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 12%0under
2024 W1Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2023 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 8%0under
2023 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 15%0under
2023 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2023 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2023 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2023 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2023 W16Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2023 W16Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 11%0under
2023 W16Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%0under
2023 W15Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2023 W15Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2023 W14Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 7%0under
2023 W14Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2023 W12Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 5%0under
2023 W12Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2023 W9Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 6%0under
2023 W9Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2023 W9Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 7%0under
2023 W8Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%0under
2023 W8Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%0under
2023 W8Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%0under
2023 W7Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 9%0under
2023 W7Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%0under
2023 W6Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 9%0under
2023 W5Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 5%0under
2023 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 10%0under
2023 W3Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 3%–void
2023 W3Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%–void
2023 W2Any TD––– / 5%0under
2023 W2Any TD––– / 5%0under

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
  • 2023 W6 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology