Who to start · 2026-27

Carter Hart vs Dan Vladar

In 2026-27, Carter Hart posted a .895 save percentage to Dan Vladar's .879.

Against our expected-goals model, Hart saved −0.2 goals and Vladar −2.7.

This week Hart has 1 game left (about 0.7 expected starts); Vladar has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Hart for 1.1 to Vladar's -0.1 over the games left.

Carter Hart has the better number in 5 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Hart's biggest edges: Wins 6, Goals against 28, Save % .895.

Vladar's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 −0.29, Saves 262, Overtime losses 4.

In standard categories (W, GAA, SV%), the default in Who Should I Start, Carter Hart rates ahead, +0.9 to -2.4 in summed category z-scores.

  • • Hart has played 10 of the Golden Knights' 19 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • Vladar has played 10 of the Flyers' 18 games since Oct 5 (in and out of the lineup).

Vegas Golden Knights · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Hart

+0.9

category z-score total

Dan Vladar

-2.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (3 categories), Carter Hart has the edge (Hart wins 3, Vladar wins 0 of 3 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (3 categories)
CategoryHartVladar
Wins / game0.550.27
GAA (lower wins)2.533.24
Save %0.8950.879

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Hart vs Vladar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HartVladar
7Team record in 11 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Carter Hart and Dan Vladar
DateScoreHartVladar
2025-12-11VGK 3–2 PHI0/0 SV19/22 SV
2024-01-06PHI 3–2 CGY22/24 SV0/0 SV
2023-12-31PHI 3–4 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-02-20PHI 4–3 CGY0/0 SV0/0 SV
2022-11-21PHI 2–5 CGY25/28 SV0/0 SV
2021-11-16PHI 2–1 CGY33/34 SV0/0 SV
2021-10-30PHI 0–4 CGY32/35 SV0/0 SV
2021-04-06PHI 2–4 BOS22/25 SV0/0 SV
2021-04-10PHI 3–2 BOS0/0 SV0/0 SV
2021-04-05PHI 3–2 BOS0/0 SV29/32 SV
2020-08-02 · POPHI 4–1 BOS34/35 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HartVladar

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed and, for goalies, weighted by the chance he starts, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (W 4, GA -2, SV 0.2, SO 3, OTL 1). Use your league's scoring

Vegas Golden Knights logo

Carter Hart

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN default pts

About 0.7 expected starts

  • Wed, Nov 11 vs UTA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.862)
  • Fri, Nov 13 vs NSH
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Juuse Saros (.922)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs VAN74% to start1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −3.1 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)
Philadelphia Flyers logo

Dan Vladar

4games (1 left)

-0.1proj. ESPN default pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Mon, Nov 9 @ VANB2B
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)
  • Wed, Nov 11 @ EDM
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.908)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GLikely vs Jet Greaves (.875)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs EDMB2B97% to start-0.1 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.908)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Carter Hart or Dan Vladar?
In 2026-27, Carter Hart posted a .895 save percentage to Dan Vladar's .879. Against our expected-goals model, Hart saved −0.2 goals and Vladar −2.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Carter Hart or Dan Vladar?
On 2026-27 numbers, Carter Hart leads in 5 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hart and Vladar done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hart's team went 7–4.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →