Who to start · 2025-26
Daniil Tarasov vs Stuart Skinner
In 2025-26, Daniil Tarasov posted a .895 save percentage to Stuart Skinner's .888.
Against our expected-goals model, Tarasov saved −3.3 goals and Skinner +5.4.
This week Tarasov has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Skinner has 1 left (about 0.7 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Skinner for 0.8 ESPN points to Tarasov's 0.2.
Stuart Skinner has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Tarasov's biggest edges: High-danger save % .835, Goals against 97, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.38.
Skinner's biggest edges: Overtime losses 9, Shutouts 2, Wins 23.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .867 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Daniil Tarasov
0.81
fantasy points per game
Stuart Skinner
0.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Stuart Skinner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tarasov | Skinner |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.88 | -5.68 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 5.02 | 4.50 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tarasov vs Skinner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tarasov | Skinner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | FLA 4–9 PIT | 9/12 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-11-22 | FLA 3–6 EDM | 12/12 SV | 35/38 SV |
| 2024-12-05 | CBJ 3–6 EDM | 30/36 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-10-28 | CBJ 6–1 EDM | 0/0 SV | 19/25 SV |
| 2024-03-07 | CBJ 4–2 EDM | 29/31 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-01-23 | CBJ 1–4 EDM | 0/0 SV | 26/27 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Daniil Tarasov
2games (1 left)
0.2proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG19% to start0.2 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Stuart Skinner
2games (1 left)
0.8proj. ESPN pts
About 0.7 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET71% to start0.8 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Daniil Tarasov or Stuart Skinner?
- In 2025-26, Daniil Tarasov posted a .895 save percentage to Stuart Skinner's .888. Against our expected-goals model, Tarasov saved −3.3 goals and Skinner +5.4. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Daniil Tarasov or Stuart Skinner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Stuart Skinner leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tarasov and Skinner done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Tarasov's team went 2–4.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →