Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dustin Wolf vs Jake Allen

In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Jake Allen's .904.

Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Allen +9.9.

This week Wolf has 2 games left (about 1.5 expected starts) with 2 tough matchups; Allen has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Wolf for 1.2 ESPN points to Allen's 0.1.

Dustin Wolf has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Wolf's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.70, Saves 1,401, Games started 55.

Allen's biggest edges: Goals against 100, Goals saved above expected +9.9, Goals-against average 2.74.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .813 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .920 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dustin Wolf

0.66

fantasy points per game

Jake Allen

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Allen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWolfAllen
Wins (+4)1.511.97
Goals against (-2)-5.95-5.32
Saves (+0.2)4.935.01
Shutouts (+3)0.110.08
OT losses (+1)0.050.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wolf vs Allen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WolfAllen
3Team record in 4 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Dustin Wolf and Jake Allen
DateScoreWolfAllen
2026-03-12CGY 5–4 NJD28/32 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-19CGY 1–2 NJD0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-20CGY 5–3 NJD26/29 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-01CGY 3–0 NJD0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WolfAllen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dustin Wolf

3games (2 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN89% to start0.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B58% to start0.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Jake Allen

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Dustin Wolf or Jake Allen?
In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Jake Allen's .904. Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Allen +9.9. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Dustin Wolf or Jake Allen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dustin Wolf leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wolf and Allen done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Wolf's team went 3–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →