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Who to start · 2025-26

Mackenzie Blackwood vs Spencer Knight

In 2025-26, Mackenzie Blackwood posted a .903 save percentage to Spencer Knight's .902.

Against our expected-goals model, Blackwood saved +5.5 goals and Knight +13.1.

This week Blackwood has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Knight has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts). We project Knight for 1.2 ESPN points to Blackwood's 0.3.

Spencer Knight has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Blackwood's biggest edges: Goals against 90, Goals-against average 2.50, Wins 23.

Knight's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, Saves 1,428, High-danger save % .847.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .871 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .889 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mackenzie Blackwood

2.31

fantasy points per game

Spencer Knight

1.14

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mackenzie Blackwood has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlackwoodKnight
Wins (+4)2.461.30
Goals against (-2)-4.83-5.78
Saves (+0.2)4.395.27
Shutouts (+3)0.230.16
OT losses (+1)0.050.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Blackwood vs Knight

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BlackwoodKnight
7Team record in 9 meetings2

Games against each other

Games between Mackenzie Blackwood and Spencer Knight
DateScoreBlackwoodKnight
2026-03-20COL 4–1 CHI19/20 SV0/0 SV
2026-02-28COL 3–1 CHI14/15 SV32/34 SV
2025-11-23COL 1–0 CHI0/0 SV25/26 SV
2025-03-10COL 3–0 CHI0/0 SV18/20 SV
2025-01-06COL 3–1 FLA26/27 SV0/0 SV
2024-12-07SJS 1–3 FLA51/54 SV0/0 SV
2022-12-21NJD 4–2 FLA34/36 SV0/0 SV
2021-11-18NJD 1–4 FLA23/27 SV45/46 SV
2021-11-09NJD 7–3 FLA35/38 SV24/30 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlackwoodKnight

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mackenzie Blackwood

2games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to GLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL20% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Spencer Knight

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF88% to start1.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Mackenzie Blackwood or Spencer Knight?
In 2025-26, Mackenzie Blackwood posted a .903 save percentage to Spencer Knight's .902. Against our expected-goals model, Blackwood saved +5.5 goals and Knight +13.1. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Mackenzie Blackwood or Spencer Knight?
On 2025-26 numbers, Spencer Knight leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Blackwood and Knight done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Blackwood's team went 7–2.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →