Goalie form · 2025-26
Samuel Ersson save % and GSAx
Ottawa Senators · GoalieHotPlayer page →
Samuel Ersson has a .870 save percentage in 2025-26 (97 goals on 744 shots in 33 games, 50th of 50 regular goalies) and −13.1 goals saved above expected.
He is running hot: .896 over his last 10 games (−1.5 GSAx) against .870 for the season.
Since 2022-23 he has stopped .884 of 3,437 regular-season shots (−48.9 GSAx), .792 on high-danger chances.
He is strongest against rebounds shots (.869, +6.1 GSAx) and weakest against off the faceoff (.919, −4.9).
Of the league's top shooters, Bo Horvat has tested him most: 3 goals on 27 shots (.889).
Artemi Panarin beats him most against expectation (+3.0 goals above xG); Mason McTavish struggles most (−3.0).
Save % by window
Last 5 games
.906
- HDSV%
- .880
- GSAx
- −0.1
- Sample
- 5 GP · 106 SOG
Mar 26, 2026 – Apr 14, 2026
Last 10 games
.896
- HDSV%
- .840
- GSAx
- −1.5
- Sample
- 10 GP · 201 SOG
Jan 29, 2026 – Apr 14, 2026
This season (2025-26)
.870
- HDSV%
- .785
- GSAx
- −13.1
- Sample
- 33 GP · 744 SOG
All time (since 2022-23)
.884
- HDSV%
- .792
- GSAx
- −48.9
- Sample
- 143 GP · 3,437 SOG
Last 5 and last 10 are his most recent games, playoffs included. Season and all time are regular season. Shootouts excluded.
Save % by shot type and danger
Regular season since 2022-23. GSAx above zero means he stopped more than our model expected.
| Shot | SOG | GA | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 375 | 49 | .869 | +6.1 |
| Rush / transition | 362 | 34 | .906 | −6.9 |
| Cycle / zone play | 1,262 | 152 | .880 | −21.8 |
| Off the faceoff | 149 | 12 | .919 | −4.9 |
| Other | 1,289 | 151 | .883 | −13.5 |
| Shot | SOG | GA | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High danger | 905 | 188 | .792 | −17.0 |
| Medium / low danger | 2,532 | 210 | .917 | −23.9 |
Ersson vs the league's top shooters
The top 50 fantasy skaters who have shot on him most, all regular-season and playoff games since 2022-23. Click a shooter for the full head-to-head.
| Shooter | GP | SOG | G | xG | SV% | G−xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo HorvatNYI | 7 | 27 | 3 | 2.5 | .889 | +0.5 |
| Artemi PanarinLAK | 7 | 25 | 5 | 2.0 | .800 | +3.0 |
| Vincent TrocheckUTA | 7 | 21 | 2 | 2.5 | .905 | −0.5 |
| Alex OvechkinWSH | 6 | 19 | 3 | 1.9 | .842 | +1.1 |
| Erik KarlssonPIT | 7 | 19 | 3 | 0.9 | .842 | +2.1 |
| Jack HughesNJD | 6 | 19 | 1 | 1.7 | .947 | −0.7 |
| Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 5 | 18 | 2 | 1.6 | .889 | +0.4 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 6 | 18 | 1 | 1.2 | .944 | −0.2 |
| Martin NecasCOL | 5 | 18 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.000 | −2.2 |
| Mika ZibanejadNYR | 7 | 17 | 4 | 1.9 | .765 | +2.1 |
| Nico HischierNJD | 5 | 17 | 3 | 2.4 | .824 | +0.6 |
| Jesper BrattNJD | 6 | 17 | 2 | 2.8 | .882 | −0.8 |
| Sidney CrosbyPIT | 7 | 17 | 1 | 1.9 | .941 | −0.9 |
| Timo MeierNJD | 7 | 17 | 1 | 1.9 | .941 | −0.9 |
| Cole CaufieldMTL | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1.6 | .941 | −0.6 |
| Lucas RaymondDET | 6 | 17 | 1 | 0.9 | .941 | +0.1 |
| Bryan RustPIT | 7 | 16 | 3 | 3.2 | .813 | −0.2 |
| Alexis LafrenièreNYR | 7 | 15 | 4 | 2.0 | .733 | +2.0 |
| Rickard RakellPIT | 6 | 15 | 3 | 1.4 | .800 | +1.6 |
| Dylan LarkinDET | 5 | 15 | 2 | 1.6 | .867 | +0.4 |
| Alex DeBrincatDET | 6 | 14 | 3 | 1.8 | .786 | +1.2 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0.6 | .857 | +1.4 |
| Clayton KellerUTA | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1.7 | .857 | +0.3 |
| Carter VerhaegheFLA | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1.1 | .929 | −0.1 |
| John TavaresTOR | 4 | 13 | 3 | 1.8 | .769 | +1.2 |
| David PastrnakBOS | 5 | 13 | 3 | 1.4 | .769 | +1.6 |
| Dylan GuentherUTA | 4 | 13 | 3 | 1.2 | .769 | +1.8 |
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1.6 | .846 | +0.4 |
| Connor BedardCHI | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1.0 | .923 | 0.0 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.000 | −1.4 |
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 5 | 12 | 4 | 1.1 | .667 | +2.9 |
| William NylanderTOR | 4 | 12 | 4 | 1.4 | .667 | +2.6 |
| Patrick KaneCHI | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1.5 | .750 | +1.5 |
| Zach WerenskiCBJ | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0.8 | .750 | +2.2 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1.5 | .750 | +1.5 |
| Seth JarvisCAR | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1.9 | .750 | +1.1 |
| Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1.6 | .750 | +1.4 |
| Evgeni MalkinPIT | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1.1 | .833 | +0.9 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 6 | 12 | 2 | 2.3 | .833 | −0.3 |
| Adam FoxNYR | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0.9 | .917 | +0.1 |
| Dougie HamiltonNJD | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0.8 | .727 | +2.3 |
| Tyler ToffoliSJS | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0.9 | .818 | +1.1 |
| Filip ForsbergNSH | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1.2 | .909 | −0.2 |
| Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0.7 | .909 | +0.3 |
| Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0.9 | .909 | +0.1 |
| Noah DobsonMTL | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0.5 | .909 | +0.5 |
| Braden SchneiderNYR | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0.4 | .909 | +0.6 |
| Nick SchmaltzUTA | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.000 | −1.5 |
| Gabriel VilardiWPG | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.000 | −1.8 |
| Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1.6 | 1.000 | −1.6 |
Toughest shooters and the ones he owns
Goals minus expected goals against him, current NHL skaters with 25+ unblocked attempts on him.
Toughest shooters
Most goals above expected
- Artemi Panarin5 G on 2.0 xG +3.0
- Mika Zibanejad4 G on 1.9 xG +2.1
- Erik Karlsson3 G on 0.9 xG +2.1
- Alex Ovechkin3 G on 1.9 xG +1.1
- Bo Horvat3 G on 2.5 xG +0.5
He owns them
Fewest goals against expected
- Mason McTavish0 G on 3.0 xG −3.0
- Martin Necas0 G on 2.2 xG −2.2
- Sidney Crosby1 G on 1.9 xG −0.9
- Timo Meier1 G on 1.9 xG −0.9
- Vincent Trocheck2 G on 2.5 xG −0.5
Season by season
| Season | GP | SOG | SV% | HDSV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 33 | 744 | .870 | .785 | −13.0 |
| 2024-25 | 47 | 1,162 | .883 | .776 | −21.6 |
| 2023-24 | 51 | 1,204 | .890 | .792 | −10.5 |
| 2022-23 | 12 | 327 | .899 | .862 | +4.2 |
FAQ
- What is Samuel Ersson's save percentage in 2025-26?
- .870: 647 saves on 744 shots in 33 regular-season games, with −13.1 goals saved above expected and .785 on high-danger shots.
- Is Samuel Ersson hot right now?
- Yes. He has a .896 save percentage over his last 10 games and .906 over his last 5, against .870 for the season.
- What is Samuel Ersson's career save percentage since 2022-23?
- .884 on 3,437 regular-season shots in 143 games, −48.9 goals saved above expected (play-by-play from 2022-23).
- Which top shooter has scored the most goals on Samuel Ersson?
- Artemi Panarin, with 5 goals on 25 shots on goal (2.0 expected goals) in 7 games, regular season and playoffs.
- Who is the toughest shooter for Samuel Ersson?
- By goals above expected, Artemi Panarin: 5 goals on 2.0 expected (+3.0) from 32 unblocked attempts.
More on Ersson and other goalies
- Samuel Ersson player page and game log
- Every goalie by window: last 5, last 10, season, all time
- Goalie leaderboard: save % by shot class
- Goalie leaderboard: rebound control
- Karel Vejmelka save % and GSAx
- Juuse Saros save % and GSAx
- Andrei Vasilevskiy save % and GSAx
- Logan Thompson save % and GSAx
- John Gibson save % and GSAx
- Connor Hellebuyck save % and GSAx
- Lukas Dostal save % and GSAx
- Spencer Knight save % and GSAx
From NHL play-by-play since 2022-23, processed by Edgehalla. Expected goals and shot classes from our model; high danger as defined by our shot-quality model.