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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Saturday, Feb 28

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Saturday, Feb 28 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM PP1 (Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–McDavid–Bouchard) vs SJS.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1EDMPP1vs SJS0.93 xG

    Zach Hyman94%, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins74%, Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2CARL1vs DET0.77 xG

    Taylor Hall42%, Logan Stankoven80%, Jackson Blake81%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3EDML1vs SJS0.69 xG

    Zach Hyman94%, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins74%, Connor McDavid100%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4COLL1vs CHI0.69 xG

    Gabriel Landeskog47%, Nathan MacKinnon100%, Martin Necas100%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5PITL1vs NYR0.68 xG

    Evgeni Malkin85%, Tommy Novak37%, Egor Chinakhov44%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6CARL2vs DET0.66 xG

    Sebastian Aho100%, Andrei Svechnikov98%, Seth Jarvis93%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7OTTL2vs TOR0.64 xG

    Brady Tkachuk99%, Dylan Cozens85%, Ridly Greig15%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8SEAPP1vs VAN0.62 xG

    Jordan Eberle45%, Chandler Stephenson24%, Jared McCann77%, Vince Dunn91%, Matty Beniers49%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9PHIL1vs BOS0.61 xG

    Christian Dvorak13%, Travis Konecny88%, Trevor Zegras77%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10STLL3vs NJD0.59 xG

    Pius Suter4.1%, Jonatan Berggren4.0%, Dylan Holloway90%

    Matchup factors →

By game

PIT @ NYR

BOS @ PHI

EDM @ SJS

NYI @ CBJ

CHI @ COL

OTT @ TOR

WSH @ MTL

BUF @ TBL

DET @ CAR

NJD @ STL

CGY @ LAK

NSH @ DAL

VAN @ SEA

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.