WR · NO · 11 lines since 2023
Bryce Lance Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Bryce Lance, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 11% — we make it 13%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 0, under 3 (3 graded)
- Receptions over 0, under 3 (3 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 4 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: model 2–1 · Dome team outdoors 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 11% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 14 | 48% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 11 | 41% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 20 | 51% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 65% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 19.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology