WR · New Orleans Saints
Bryce Lance fantasy stats and usage
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What changed
Air-yards share 6% → 21% over the last 2 weeks.
Weeks 3 and 4 vs weeks 1, 2.
Next: Week 5 vs MIN, Sun 1:00 PM ET; Saints implied for 20.5 points
Likely matchup · Week 5 vs MIN
ToughLines up: Left outside (depth chart). Likely corner: James Pierre (Right corner, 11 tgt, 21 rating, #18/93).
A likely matchup from alignment and the depth chart, not shadow coverage. Corner stats are a weak signal: use it as a tiebreaker. All matchups
Usage by week
Snap share
85%▲122026 avg 76%
Target share
11%▲42026 avg 7%
Carry share
0%2026 avg 0%
Air-yards share
23%▲132026 avg 13%
2026 season
Carries / team rush attempts.
2026: 13 targets, 0 carries, 1 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 4 games.
Breakout outlook and route depth
50 = no change. 60+ rising, 75+ surging; 40 and under cooling, 25 and under falling.
Rising Expected points 3.6 → 6.9 a game and route share 79% → 83% (est.) in a bigger role; 21% chance of a top-24 week in the next 3. Points (0.8) trail his usage (6.9 expected). All breakout candidates
Route share (est.)
81%
Targets per route (est.)
0.08
Yards per route (est.)
0.34
aDOT
16.5
air yards per target
Air-yards share
13%
Routes (est.)
170
13 targets in 4 games
Estimates: nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 route share comes from his snap share, a position adjustment and his 2025 rate (typical error about 4 points over a season). Pass blockers count as on the field.
Separation
1.6 yd
at the catch or incompletion
Cushion
4.1 yd
at the snap
YAC over expected
-1.0
per catch
Next Gen Stats via nflverse, 2026, 1 qualifying week (5 targets), target-weighted.
Bryce Lance
Projection
Week 5 vs MIN · Edgehalla model (nfl-1.1.0)
4.5 PPR pts
80% range 0–11 · plays ~98% (points assume he plays)
- Targets
- 3
- Rec
- 2
- Rec yds
- 22
- Carries
- 0
- Rush yds
- 0
- Scrimmage TD
- 0.1
Latest news
No recent headlines tagged to Bryce Lance.
Depth chart: WR3 per nflverse (Oct 6, 10:08 AM ET) · LWR2 per Fantasy Nerds (Oct 6, 11:18 AM ET) · full Saints depth chart
Game log
Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.
- Games
- 4
- Total (PPR)
- 10.7
- Per game
- 2.7
| Opp | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ DET | 69% | 4 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| 2 | @ BAL | 79% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 |
| 3 | vs LV | 72% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | vs ATL | 85% | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 |
Splits
Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to WRs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule). Early in the season these groups rest on a handful of games each.
2026: home vs away
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2 | 0.8 | -1.8 |
| Away | 2 | 4.5 | +1.8 |
2026: by opponent defense vs WR
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough defenses (ranks 1–8) | 1 | 0.0 | -2.7 |
| Middle defenses (9–24) | 0 | – | – |
| Soft defenses (25–32) | 3 | 3.6 | +0.9 |
How this works
Snap share is the share of the Saints’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.
The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).
Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)Updated through Week 4 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many fantasy points does Bryce Lance score per game in 2026?
Bryce Lance averages 2.7 PPR points per game over 4 games in 2026 (2.1 in half-PPR, 1.4 in standard scoring).
What is Bryce Lance’s snap share and role?
Bryce Lance has played 76% of the New Orleans Saints’ offensive snaps on average in 2026, with a 7% target share. He has 1 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.
When is Bryce Lance’s bye week?
The New Orleans Saints have their bye in Week 8, so Bryce Lance won’t play that week.