Who to start · 2025-26
Adin Hill vs Cam Talbot
In 2025-26, Adin Hill posted a .871 save percentage to Cam Talbot's .883.
Against our expected-goals model, Hill saved −14.7 goals and Talbot −7.4.
This week Hill plays 3 games (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Talbot plays 2 (about 0.7 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Hill for 2.2 ESPN points to Talbot's 1.0.
Adin Hill has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Hill's biggest edges: Shutouts 1, Goals against 76, Goals-against average 3.04.
Talbot's biggest edges: Saves 704, Save % .883, Goals saved above expected −7.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.
Vegas Golden Knights · Columbus Blue Jackets · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adin Hill
-0.03
fantasy points per game
Cam Talbot
0.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Cam Talbot has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hill | Talbot |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.48 | 1.41 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.63 | -5.47 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 3.79 | 4.14 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.11 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hill vs Talbot
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hill | Talbot |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | VGK 4–3 DET | 23/26 SV | 21/25 SV |
| 2025-03-22 | VGK 6–3 DET | 28/31 SV | 30/35 SV |
| 2025-03-16 | VGK 0–3 DET | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-11-08 | VGK 1–4 LAK | 29/32 SV | 37/38 SV |
| 2023-10-28 | VGK 4–3 LAK | 0/0 SV | 27/30 SV |
| 2022-11-23 | VGK 4–1 OTT | 0/0 SV | 32/35 SV |
| 2022-11-03 | VGK 5–4 OTT | 0/0 SV | 13/13 SV |
| 2021-12-09 | SJS 2–5 MIN | 22/25 SV | 33/35 SV |
| 2021-11-16 | SJS 4–1 MIN | 0/0 SV | 17/21 SV |
| 2021-03-14 | ARI 1–4 MIN | 0/0 SV | 21/22 SV |
| 2021-03-12 | ARI 0–4 MIN | 28/31 SV | 25/25 SV |
| 2021-04-14 | ARI 2–5 MIN | 0/0 SV | 28/30 SV |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Oct 5 to Oct 11. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adin Hill
3games
2.2proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
Cam Talbot
2games
1.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.7 expected starts
- Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adin Hill or Cam Talbot?
- In 2025-26, Adin Hill posted a .871 save percentage to Cam Talbot's .883. Against our expected-goals model, Hill saved −14.7 goals and Talbot −7.4. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Adin Hill or Cam Talbot?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adin Hill leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hill and Talbot done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Hill's team went 7–8.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →