Who to start · 2026-27

Carter Hart vs Casey DeSmith

In 2026-27, Carter Hart posted a .895 save percentage to Casey DeSmith's .894.

Against our expected-goals model, Hart saved −0.2 goals and DeSmith −1.3.

This week Hart has 1 game left (about 0.7 expected starts); DeSmith has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). In ESPN default points scoring we project DeSmith for 1.2 to Hart's 1.1 over the games left.

Carter Hart has the better number in 1 of the 1 stats both are ranked on.

Hart's biggest edges: Games started 11.

In standard categories (W, GAA, SV%), the default in Who Should I Start, Carter Hart rates ahead, +0.9 to -1.2 in summed category z-scores.

  • • Hart has played 10 of the Golden Knights' 19 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • DeSmith has played 5 of the Stars' 17 games since Oct 3 (in and out of the lineup).

Vegas Golden Knights · Dallas Stars · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Hart

+0.9

category z-score total

Casey DeSmith

-1.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (3 categories), Carter Hart has the edge (Hart wins 3, DeSmith wins 0 of 3 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (3 categories)
CategoryHartDeSmith
Wins / game0.550.20
GAA (lower wins)2.532.70
Save %0.8950.894

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Hart vs DeSmith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2023-24: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HartDeSmith
7Team record in 15 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Carter Hart and Casey DeSmith
DateScoreHartDeSmith
2023-12-28PHI 4–1 VAN8/8 SV21/25 SV
2023-10-17PHI 2–0 VAN26/26 SV0/0 SV
2023-03-11PHI 1–5 PIT27/31 SV31/32 SV
2022-11-25PHI 1–4 PIT17/21 SV0/0 SV
2022-01-06PHI 2–6 PIT26/32 SV0/0 SV
2022-02-15PHI 4–5 PIT29/34 SV23/27 SV
2021-11-04PHI 2–3 PIT33/36 SV0/0 SV
2021-04-15PHI 2–1 PIT31/32 SV0/0 SV
2021-03-06PHI 3–4 PIT0/0 SV0/0 SV
2021-03-04PHI 4–3 PIT0/0 SV0/0 SV
2021-03-02PHI 2–5 PIT22/27 SV0/0 SV
2021-01-15PHI 5–2 PIT31/33 SV12/13 SV

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HartDeSmith

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed and, for goalies, weighted by the chance he starts, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (W 4, GA -2, SV 0.2, SO 3, OTL 1). Use your league's scoring

Vegas Golden Knights logo

Carter Hart

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN default pts

About 0.7 expected starts

  • Wed, Nov 11 vs UTA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.862)
  • Fri, Nov 13 vs NSH
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Juuse Saros (.922)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs VAN74% to start1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −3.1 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)
Dallas Stars logo

Casey DeSmith

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN default pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Thu, Nov 12 vs WPG
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.880)
  • Sat, Nov 14 vs BUF
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GLikely vs Alex Lyon (.909)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs FLAB2B77% to start1.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to GLikely vs Akira Schmid (.883)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Carter Hart or Casey DeSmith?
In 2026-27, Carter Hart posted a .895 save percentage to Casey DeSmith's .894. Against our expected-goals model, Hart saved −0.2 goals and DeSmith −1.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Carter Hart or Casey DeSmith?
On 2026-27 numbers, Carter Hart leads in 1 of 1 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hart and DeSmith done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Hart's team went 7–8.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →