Who to start · 2025-26
Linus Ullmark vs Lukas Dostal
In 2025-26, Linus Ullmark posted a .891 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888.
Against our expected-goals model, Ullmark saved −7.5 goals and Dostal −3.6.
This week Ullmark has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts); Dostal has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project Ullmark for 2.2 ESPN points to Dostal's 1.3.
Lukas Dostal has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Ullmark's biggest edges: Shutouts 3, Overtime losses 8, Goals-against average 2.73.
Dostal's biggest edges: High-danger save % .816, Saves 1,344, Goals saved above expected −3.6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Linus Ullmark
1.64
fantasy points per game
Lukas Dostal
0.98
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Linus Ullmark has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ullmark | Dostal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.29 | 2.14 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.35 | -6.04 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.36 | 4.80 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.18 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ullmark vs Dostal
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ullmark | Dostal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | OTT 2–0 ANA | 24/24 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-11-20 | OTT 3–2 ANA | 23/25 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-12-11 | OTT 5–1 ANA | 31/32 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-12-01 | OTT 3–4 ANA | 31/34 SV | 28/31 SV |
| 2023-10-26 | BOS 3–4 ANA | 28/32 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-10-22 | BOS 3–1 ANA | 30/31 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2022-01-24 | BOS 3–5 ANA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Linus Ullmark
1games
2.2proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR97% to start2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Lukas Dostal
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 15th-most FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA84% to start1.3 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Linus Ullmark or Lukas Dostal?
- In 2025-26, Linus Ullmark posted a .891 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888. Against our expected-goals model, Ullmark saved −7.5 goals and Dostal −3.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Linus Ullmark or Lukas Dostal?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Lukas Dostal leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ullmark and Dostal done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Ullmark's team went 4–3.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →