Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Lukas Dostal vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

In 2025-26, Lukas Dostal posted a .888 save percentage to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .910.

Against our expected-goals model, Dostal saved −3.6 goals and Luukkonen +8.3.

This week Dostal has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts); Luukkonen has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Dostal for 1.3 ESPN points to Luukkonen's 1.2.

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Dostal's biggest edges: Saves 1,344, Games started 55, Wins 30.

Luukkonen's biggest edges: Goals against 85, Save % .910, Goals-against average 2.52.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .773 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lukas Dostal

1.13

fantasy points per game

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2.09

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDostalLuukkonen
Wins (+4)2.262.36
Goals against (-2)-6.03-5.18
Saves (+0.2)4.844.74
Shutouts (+3)0.000.09
OT losses (+1)0.070.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dostal vs Luukkonen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DostalLuukkonen
2Team record in 6 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Lukas Dostal and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
DateScoreDostalLuukkonen
2026-01-10ANA 3–5 BUF27/31 SV33/36 SV
2025-02-25ANA 2–3 BUF34/37 SV16/18 SV
2024-11-22ANA 2–3 BUF0/0 SV22/24 SV
2024-02-19ANA 4–3 BUF0/0 SV10/14 SV
2024-01-23ANA 4–2 BUF0/0 SV32/35 SV
2023-02-15ANA 3–7 BUF37/44 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DostalLuukkonen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lukas Dostal

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA84% to start1.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI86% to start1.2 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Lukas Dostal or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen?
In 2025-26, Lukas Dostal posted a .888 save percentage to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .910. Against our expected-goals model, Dostal saved −3.6 goals and Luukkonen +8.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Lukas Dostal or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dostal and Luukkonen done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Dostal's team went 2–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →