Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay LightningFeb 13, 2027

Time TBDSaturday, Feb 13, 2027

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

at

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: TBL +2.6 pts

COLaway−2.5 pts

Back-to-back · 289 km travel

Backup likely (62%) −2.5 pts

TBLhome+2.6 pts

Back-to-back

COL backup likely (62%) +2.6 pts

TBL has the schedule edge (+2.6 pts net win probability): col backup likely (62%), backup likely (62%).

· Every game this week →

Colorado Avalanche

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Scott Wedgewood62%
Mackenzie Blackwood38%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: W 8–4 vs LAK · Sep 30

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Necas
9:10
L2Kadri – Nelson – Landeskog
8:01
L3Roy – Kelly – Svechkov
2:59
D1Toews – Makar
9:57
D2Burns – Manson
8:02
D3Kulak – Malinski
7:13
PP1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Necas – Makar – Hughes
4:08

Projected COL lines →·COL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy52%
Dennis Hildeby48%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Feb 13.

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.