Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups (2026): Dameon Pierce, Tre Tucker, Pierre Strong

2. 2

   Tre Tucker WR, Las Vegas Raiders

   AddProjection valueRostered 32%FAAB (12-team) 30% (21–39%)

   Why now: Our rest-of-season projection has Tre Tucker at 13.0 PPR points per game over 11 games, 47 points above a 12-team replacement.

   Projects 13.0 points per game; next 3: BUF (32nd vs WR), LAR, @NYJ (6th vs WR).

   Next 3: BUFLAR@NYJ

   Projection this week: 13.6 PPR · 11.3 half · 8.9 standard · rest of season 13.0 PPR per game

   Best for: Weekly starter

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

3. 3

   Pierre Strong RB, Green Bay Packers

   AddInjury openingRostered 0%FAAB (12-team) 12% (8–16%)

   Why now: Chris Brooks’ injury left 4% of the GB targets up for grabs, and Pierre Strong has absorbed 53% of it (target share 3% → 13%).

   Target share 3% → 13% after Chris Brooks's injury; next 3: DAL (32nd vs RB), @DET (4th vs RB), CAR.

   Next 3: DAL@DETCAR

   Projection this week: 8.5 PPR · 7.5 half · 6.5 standard · rest of season 7.3 PPR per game

   Best for: Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

4. 4

   Tre Harris WR, Los Angeles Chargers

   AddProjection valueRostered 11%FAAB (12-team) 13% (9–17%)

   Why now: Tre Harris projects for 10.1 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

   Projects 10.1 points per game; next 3: @KC, BYE, @LAR.

   Next 3: @KCBYE@LAR

   Projection this week: 6.4 PPR · 5.1 half · 3.8 standard · rest of season 10.1 PPR per game

   Best for: PPR leagues, Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

5. 5

   George Holani RB, Seattle Seahawks

   AddProjection valueRostered 9%FAAB (12-team) 9% (6–12%)

   Why now: George Holani projects for 6.3 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

   Projects 6.3 points per game; next 3: @DEN, KC, CHI.

   Next 3: @DENKCCHI

   Projection this week: 5.9 PPR · 5.1 half · 4.3 standard · rest of season 6.3 PPR per game

   Best for: Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

Box-score breakouts

1. LARTyler Higbee TEAdd13.3 PPR · 10.8 half · 8.3 stdTyler Higbee (TE, LAR): 5 catches on 6 targets for 83 yards, 13.3 PPR points, 3% rostered. He came in averaging 8.3 PPR points and 4.8 touches a game. With Terrance Ferguson out of the lineup, the work was his.

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• CINMitchell Tinsley (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 27% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Tinsley’s role yet.
• CHITyson Bagent (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 37% by our Ascension model. Still 3% rostered. The points have not caught up with Bagent’s role yet.
• WASAthan Kaliakmanis (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 34% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kaliakmanis’s role yet.
• SEAAJ Barner (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 68% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Barner’s role yet.

• DALRyan Flournoy (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 38% by our Ascension model. Still 4% rostered. The points have not caught up with Flournoy’s role yet.
• TBJalon Daniels (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 18% by our Ascension model. Still 2% rostered. The points have not caught up with Daniels’s role yet.

• RBs

  • Dameon PiercePHIRBInjury openingRostered 2%FAAB 44% (31–57%)ROS/g 14.6 PPR · 13.4 half · 12.3 stdWeekly starter

    With Saquon Barkley out, Dameon Pierce’s carry share jumped from 10% to 61% over the last two games.

  • Pierre StrongGBRBInjury openingRostered 0%FAAB 12% (8–16%)ROS/g 7.3 PPR · 6.3 half · 5.3 stdBye-week fill-in

    Chris Brooks’ injury left 4% of the GB targets up for grabs, and Pierre Strong has absorbed 53% of it (target share 3% → 13%).

  • George HolaniSEARBProjection valueRostered 9%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 6.3 PPR · 5.5 half · 4.6 stdBye-week fill-in

    George Holani projects for 6.3 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Roschon JohnsonCHIRBRole changeRostered 3%FAAB 5% (4–7%)ROS/g 5.2 PPR · 4.5 half · 3.7 stdBye-week fill-in

    The CHI staff is using Roschon Johnson more: 25% of snaps over the last two games against 4% before.

  • Kendre MillerNORBInjury openingRostered 12%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 5.6 PPR · 5.2 half · 4.9 stdTD-dependentBye-week fill-in

    Kendre Miller is the clearest beneficiary of Travis Etienne’s absence: carry share 23% → 45%, snaps 24% → 29%.

  • Ty JohnsonBUFRBProjection valueRostered 2%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 5.6 PPR · 4.7 half · 3.9 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Ty Johnson at 5.6 PPR points per game over 11 games, 8 points above a 12-team replacement.

• WRs

  • Tre TuckerLVWRProjection valueRostered 32%FAAB 30% (21–39%)ROS/g 13.0 PPR · 10.7 half · 8.4 stdWeekly starter

    Our rest-of-season projection has Tre Tucker at 13.0 PPR points per game over 11 games, 47 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Tre HarrisLACWRProjection valueRostered 11%FAAB 13% (9–17%)ROS/g 10.1 PPR · 8.3 half · 6.5 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Tre Harris projects for 10.1 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Rashod BatemanBALWRProjection valueRostered 17%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 8.9 PPR · 7.3 half · 5.7 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Rashod Bateman at 8.9 PPR points per game over 11 games, 13 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Ryan FlournoyDALWRRole changeRostered 4%FAAB 5% (4–7%)ROS/g 7.9 PPR · 6.5 half · 5.0 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Ryan Flournoy’s role has grown: snap share 57% → 71% and target share 14% → 11%.

  • Kalif RaymondCHIWRProjection valueRostered 34%FAAB 7% (5–9%)ROS/g 8.5 PPR · 6.7 half · 4.9 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Kalif Raymond at 8.5 PPR points per game over 11 games, 10 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Tyquan ThorntonKCWRUsage growthRostered 1%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 7.6 PPR · 6.2 half · 4.9 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Tyquan Thornton saw more of the targets (7% → 19%) at steady playing time; useful, but the least sticky kind of usage rise.

• TEs

  • Brenton StrangeJAXTERole changeRostered 27%FAAB 1%ROS/g 9.5 PPR · 7.5 half · 5.5 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Brenton Strange’s role has grown: snap share 72% → 84% and target share 14% → 28%.

  • Pat FreiermuthPITTERole changeRostered 20%FAAB 1%ROS/g 8.9 PPR · 7.2 half · 5.5 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    More snaps (56% → 72%) and more targets (11% → 18%) point to a real role change for Pat Freiermuth, the kind that has held up best in our backtests.

  • Cade OttonTBTEProjection valueRostered 4%FAAB 1%ROS/g 8.5 PPR · 8.5 half · 8.5 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Cade Otton at 8.5 PPR points per game over 11 games, 1 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Teagan QuitorianoARITEBack from absenceRostered 0%FAAB $0ROS/g 1.6 PPR · 1.3 half · 1.0 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Back from his absence, Teagan Quitoriano went straight to a 4% target share on 41% of snaps.

  • Greg DulcichMIATEProjection valueRostered 1%FAAB 2% (1–3%)ROS/g 8.1 PPR · 6.5 half · 4.9 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Greg Dulcich at 8.1 PPR points per game over 11 games, 2 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Tyler HigbeeLARTERole changeRostered 3%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.1 PPR · 5.6 half · 4.1 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    More snaps (46% → 66%) and more targets (10% → 12%) point to a real role change for Tyler Higbee, the kind that has held up best in our backtests.

• Defenses

  • KC D/STKCDSTStreamerRostered 33%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    KC D/ST: 7.0 projected vs LAC (implied 17).

  • NYG D/STNYGDSTStreamerRostered 6%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    NYG D/ST: 6.3 projected vs NO (implied 22).

  • CAR D/STCARDSTStreamerRostered 5%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    CAR D/ST: 6.0 projected vs PHI (implied 21.5).

• Kickers

  • Cairo SantosCHIKStreamerRostered 28%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Cairo Santos: 9.1 projected: team total 26.3, indoors.

  • Tyler BassBUFKStreamerRostered 9%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Tyler Bass: 9.1 projected: team total 29.8, indoors.

  • Nick FolkATLKStreamerRostered 5%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Nick Folk: 8.7 projected: team total 23.3, indoors.

• Standard (12-team)

  Twelve teams, players rostered in under 35% of ESPN leagues. This is the default list the rest of the article uses.

  1. 1.Dameon Pierce RB, PHI · 2% rostered · FAAB 44% (31–57%)

     Carry share 10% → 61% after Saquon Barkley's injury; next 3: CAR, DAL (32nd vs RB), @WAS

  2. 2.Tre Tucker WR, LV · 32% rostered · FAAB 30% (21–39%)

     Projects 13.0 points per game; next 3: BUF (32nd vs WR), LAR, @NYJ (6th vs WR)

  3. 3.Pierre Strong RB, GB · 0% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Target share 3% → 13% after Chris Brooks's injury; next 3: DAL (32nd vs RB), @DET (4th vs RB), CAR

  4. 4.Tre Harris WR, LAC · 11% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Projects 10.1 points per game; next 3: @KC, BYE, @LAR

  5. 5.George Holani RB, SEA · 9% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Projects 6.3 points per game; next 3: @DEN, KC, CHI

  6. 6.Rashod Bateman WR, BAL · 17% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Projects 8.9 points per game; next 3: @CLE, CIN, @BUF (32nd vs WR)

  7. 7.Roschon Johnson RB, CHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)

     Snap share 4% → 25%, carry share 2% → 14%: bigger role; next 3: @ATL, NE (5th vs RB), @SEA (6th vs RB)

  8. 8.Kendre Miller RB, NO · 12% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Carry share 23% → 45% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: @NYG (28th vs RB), PIT (8th vs RB), BYE

  9. 9.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Projects 5.6 points per game; next 3: @LV (25th vs RB), BYE, BAL

  10. 10.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 7% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)

      Snap share 33% → 44%, carry share 19% → 33%: bigger role; next 3: BYE, @BAL, TEN

• Deep (14+ teams)

  Fourteen-plus teams: only players rostered in under 10% of ESPN leagues, ranked on rest-of-season value over a deeper replacement level.

  1. 1.Dameon Pierce RB, PHI · 2% rostered · FAAB 63% (44–82%)

     Carry share 10% → 61% after Saquon Barkley's injury; next 3: CAR, DAL (32nd vs RB), @WAS

  2. 2.Pierre Strong RB, GB · 0% rostered · FAAB 23% (16–30%)

     Target share 3% → 13% after Chris Brooks's injury; next 3: DAL (32nd vs RB), @DET (4th vs RB), CAR

  3. 3.Tyquan Thornton WR, KC · 1% rostered · FAAB 17% (12–22%)

     Target share 7% → 19% at steady snaps; next 3: LAC, @SEA (5th vs WR), @DEN (1st vs WR)

  4. 4.George Holani RB, SEA · 9% rostered · FAAB 18% (13–23%)

     Projects 6.3 points per game; next 3: @DEN, KC, CHI

  5. 5.Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL · 4% rostered · FAAB 18% (13–23%)

     Snap share 57% → 71%, target share 14% → 11%: bigger role; next 3: @GB, @PHI, ARI (28th vs WR)

  6. 6.Roschon Johnson RB, CHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)

     Snap share 4% → 25%, carry share 2% → 14%: bigger role; next 3: @ATL, NE (5th vs RB), @SEA (6th vs RB)

  7. 7.Germie Bernard WR, PIT · 3% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)

     Target share 8% → 18% after a depth-chart promotion; next 3: @TB (3rd vs WR), @NO, CLE

  8. 8.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 16% (11–21%)

     Projects 5.6 points per game; next 3: @LV (25th vs RB), BYE, BAL

  9. 9.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 7% rostered · FAAB 15% (11–20%)

     Snap share 33% → 44%, carry share 19% → 33%: bigger role; next 3: BYE, @BAL, TEN

  10. 10.Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI · 2% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)

      Projects 7.2 points per game; next 3: @LAR, DEN (1st vs WR), @DAL (25th vs WR)

• Superflex / 2QB (12-team)

  A second QB slot makes every starting quarterback valuable, so quarterbacks climb this list.

  1. 1.Dameon Pierce RB, PHI · 2% rostered · FAAB 43% (30–56%)

     Carry share 10% → 61% after Saquon Barkley's injury; next 3: CAR, DAL (32nd vs RB), @WAS

  2. 2.Jameis Winston QB, NYG · 4% rostered · FAAB 34% (24–44%)

     Snap share 60% → 97% after Jaxson Dart's injury; projected Week 6 starter (98% to start); next 3: NO, @HOU, BYE

  3. 3.Deshaun Watson QB, CLE · 20% rostered · FAAB 41% (29–53%)

     Projects 16.7 points per game; projected Week 6 starter (98% to start); next 3: BAL (26th vs QB), @TEN, @PIT

  4. 4.Jalon Daniels QB, TB · 2% rostered · FAAB 30% (21–39%)

     Snap share 6% → 100% after Baker Mayfield's injury; projected Week 6 starter (98% to start); next 3: PIT, @CAR (25th vs QB), ATL

  5. 5.Tyson Bagent QB, CHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 29% (20–38%)

     Snap share 8% → 84% after Caleb Williams's injury; projected Week 6 starter (98% to start); next 3: @ATL, NE (3rd vs QB), @SEA (2nd vs QB)

  6. 6.Tyler Huntley QB, BAL · 2% rostered · FAAB 30% (21–39%)

     Back in the lineup: 74% of snaps; projected Week 6 starter (98% to start); next 3: @CLE, CIN, @BUF (27th vs QB)

  7. 7.Malik Willis QB, MIA · 9% rostered · FAAB 31% (22–40%)

     Snap share 60% → 100%: bigger role; not projected to start Week 6; next 3: BYE, @NYJ (5th vs QB), NE (3rd vs QB)

  8. 8.Cam Ward QB, TEN · 6% rostered · FAAB 28% (20–36%)

     Projects 13.4 points per game; projected Week 6 starter (98% to start); next 3: @IND, CLE, @CIN

• Dynasty stashes (12-team)

  Long-term stashes: youth, rookies and handcuffs with contingent value rank above this week’s points.

  1. 1.Dameon Pierce RB, PHI · 2% rostered · FAAB 42% (29–55%)

     Carry share 10% → 61% after Saquon Barkley's injury; next 3: CAR, DAL (32nd vs RB), @WAS

  2. 2.Emmett Johnson RB, KC · 15% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Handcuff to Kenneth Walker III; next 3: LAC, @SEA (6th vs RB), @DEN

  3. 3.Seth McGowan RB, IND · 1% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Handcuff to Jonathan Taylor; next 3: TEN, @MIN (1st vs RB), @JAX (7th vs RB)

  4. 4.Kaelon Black RB, SF · 27% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Handcuff to Christian McCaffrey; next 3: WAS, @ATL, BYE

  5. 5.Mike Washington Jr. RB, LV · 28% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Handcuff to Ashton Jeanty; next 3: BUF (30th vs RB), LAR, @NYJ (29th vs RB)

  6. 6.Demond Claiborne RB, MIN · 1% rostered · FAAB $0

     Handcuff to Aaron Jones; next 3: BYE, IND, @DET (4th vs RB)

  7. 7.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 10% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Handcuff to Derrick Henry; next 3: @CLE (3rd vs RB), CIN (26th vs RB), @BUF (30th vs RB)

  8. 8.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 7% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Handcuff to Chase Brown; next 3: BYE, @BAL, TEN

• TE premium (12-team)

  Tight ends get +0.5 points per catch, so pass-catching tight ends gain ground.

  1. 1.Dameon Pierce RB, PHI · 2% rostered · FAAB 44% (31–57%)

     Carry share 10% → 61% after Saquon Barkley's injury; next 3: CAR, DAL (32nd vs RB), @WAS

  2. 2.Tre Tucker WR, LV · 32% rostered · FAAB 27% (19–35%)

     Projects 13.0 points per game; next 3: BUF (32nd vs WR), LAR, @NYJ (6th vs WR)

  3. 3.Pierre Strong RB, GB · 0% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Target share 3% → 13% after Chris Brooks's injury; next 3: DAL (32nd vs RB), @DET (4th vs RB), CAR

  4. 4.Tre Harris WR, LAC · 11% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Projects 10.1 points per game; next 3: @KC, BYE, @LAR

  5. 5.George Holani RB, SEA · 9% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Projects 6.3 points per game; next 3: @DEN, KC, CHI

  6. 6.Roschon Johnson RB, CHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)

     Snap share 4% → 25%, carry share 2% → 14%: bigger role; next 3: @ATL, NE (5th vs RB), @SEA (6th vs RB)

  7. 7.Rashod Bateman WR, BAL · 17% rostered · FAAB 7% (5–9%)

     Projects 8.9 points per game; next 3: @CLE, CIN, @BUF (32nd vs WR)

  8. 8.Kendre Miller RB, NO · 12% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Carry share 23% → 45% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: @NYG (28th vs RB), PIT (8th vs RB), BYE

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• DETTom Kennedy (WR): left in the second quarter (14:30 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (knee). Amon-Ra St. Brown had 12 touches after he left (6 catches on 11 targets for 69 yards for the game) and is 100% rostered.
• SFDeebo Samuel Sr. (WR): left in the third quarter (5:06 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (hamstring). Mike Evans had 6 touches after he left (7 catches on 10 targets for 113 yards, 1 TD for the game) and is 91% rostered.

Box-score breakouts

1. BALTyler Huntley QBAdd24.0 PPR · 24.0 half · 24.0 stdTyler Huntley (QB, BAL): 201 passing yards, 2 TD; 6 carries for 20 yards, 1 TD, 24.0 PPR points, 1% rostered. He came in averaging 4.1 PPR points and 4.0 touches a game. With Lamar Jackson and Skylar Thompson out, the work was his.
2. ARITeagan Quitoriano TEAdd15.5 PPR · 14.5 half · 13.5 stdFAAB 12-team: $0Teagan Quitoriano (TE, ARI): 2 catches on 2 targets for 15 yards, 2 TD, 15.5 PPR points, under 1% rostered. It was his first game with a role this season. With Jameson Geers and Hunter Long out, the work was his.
3. LACKimani Vidal RBAdd12.6 PPR · 12.1 half · 11.6 stdFAAB 12-team: 1–3%+1% rostered this weekKimani Vidal (RB, LAC): 8 carries for 57 yards, 1 TD; 1 catch on 2 targets for -1 yards, 12.6 PPR points, 2% rostered. He came in averaging 3.6 PPR points and 3.0 touches a game. The volume is the story: 10 touches, up from 3.0.
4. ARIKendrick Bourne WRAdd12.0 PPR · 9.5 half · 7.0 stdFAAB 12-team: 3–5%Kendrick Bourne (WR, ARI): 5 catches on 8 targets for 70 yards, 12.0 PPR points, 1% rostered. He came in averaging 5.7 PPR points and 3.5 touches a game. With Marvin Harrison Jr. out of the lineup, the work was his.

5. ARIJalen Brooks WRAdd3.6 PPR · 2.6 half · 1.6 stdFAAB 12-team: $0Jalen Brooks (WR, ARI): 2 catches on 7 targets for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 0.0 PPR points and 0.3 touches a game. With Marvin Harrison Jr. out of the lineup, the work was his.
6. ARIJacoby Brissett QBWatch25.3 PPR · 24.8 half · 24.3 stdFAAB 12-team: 1%Jacoby Brissett (QB, ARI): 292 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 INT; 2 carries for 19 yards; 1 catch on 1 target for 7 yards, 25.3 PPR points, 48% rostered. He came in averaging 14.8 PPR points and 3.8 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.

Beat expectations

The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →

• ARITeagan Quitoriano (TE): 15.5 PPR vs 0.4 projected (+15.1) — 2 touchdowns on 2 touches
• SFMike Evans (WR): 24.3 PPR vs 12.7 projected (+11.6) — 7 catches for 113 yards on 10 targets

RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play

Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.

1. Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): LARBlake Corum Behind Kyren Williams, 65% rostered. The premium handcuff, even in a breather role

Full RB Roulette timeline →

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• CINMitchell Tinsley (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 27% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Tinsley’s role yet.
• CHITyson Bagent (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 37% by our Ascension model. Still 3% rostered. The points have not caught up with Bagent’s role yet.
• WASAthan Kaliakmanis (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 34% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kaliakmanis’s role yet.
• SEAAJ Barner (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 68% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Barner’s role yet.

• DALRyan Flournoy (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 38% by our Ascension model. Still 4% rostered. The points have not caught up with Flournoy’s role yet.
• TBJalon Daniels (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 18% by our Ascension model. Still 2% rostered. The points have not caught up with Daniels’s role yet.

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• MINT.J. Hockenson (TE): left in the first quarter (14:22 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (concussion). Gavin Bartholomew had 6 touches after he left (5 catches on 6 targets for 33 yards for the game) and is under 1% rostered. Replacement: Gavin Bartholomew.
• CLEKC Concepcion (WR): left in the first quarter (4:59 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (concussion). Isaiah Bond had 7 touches after he left (3 catches on 7 targets for 74 yards for the game) and is under 1% rostered. Replacement: Isaiah Bond.

Box-score breakouts

1. NYGJameis Winston QBAdd25.7 PPR · 25.7 half · 25.7 stdFAAB 12-team: 1%Jameis Winston (QB, NYG): 326 passing yards, 3 TD; 5 carries for 27 yards, 25.7 PPR points, 4% rostered. He came in averaging 8.9 PPR points and 1.3 touches a game. With Jaxson Dart out of the lineup, the work was his.
2. NEDeMario Douglas WRAdd22.5 PPR · 20.5 half · 18.5 stdFAAB 12-team: 2–4%+2% rostered this weekDeMario Douglas (WR, NE): 4 catches on 5 targets for 65 yards, 2 TD, 22.5 PPR points, 2% rostered. He came in averaging 4.3 PPR points and 4.3 touches a game. With Mack Hollins, Jeremiah Webb and A.J. Brown out, the work was his.
3. NEKyle Williams WRAdd18.1 PPR · 16.6 half · 15.1 stdKyle Williams (WR, NE): 3 catches on 3 targets for 91 yards, 1 TD, 18.1 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 1.6 PPR points and 1.8 touches a game. With Mack Hollins, Jeremiah Webb and A.J. Brown out, the work was his.
4. PITGermie Bernard WRAdd14.4 PPR · 11.4 half · 8.4 stdGermie Bernard (WR, PIT): 1 carry for 4 yards; 6 catches on 9 targets for 80 yards, 14.4 PPR points, 3% rostered. He came in averaging 3.3 PPR points and 2.8 touches a game. With Cole Burgess and Michael Pittman out, the work was his.

5. CINSamaje Perine RBAdd15.8 PPR · 14.8 half · 13.8 stdFAAB 12-team: 4–7%Samaje Perine (RB, CIN): 14 carries for 68 yards; 2 catches on 2 targets for 10 yards, 1 TD, 15.8 PPR points, 7% rostered. He came in averaging 3.6 PPR points and 5.3 touches a game. The volume is the story: 16 touches, up from 5.3.
6. MIAKevin Coleman Jr. WRAdd12.0 PPR · 10.5 half · 9.0 stdFAAB 14-team: 6–10%Kevin Coleman Jr. (WR, MIA): 3 catches on 7 targets for 30 yards, 1 TD, 12.0 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 0.7 PPR points and 2.5 touches a game. With Caleb Douglas out of the lineup, the work was his.
7. CLEIsaiah Bond WRAdd10.4 PPR · 8.9 half · 7.4 stdIsaiah Bond (WR, CLE): 3 catches on 7 targets for 74 yards, 10.4 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 0.8 PPR points and 0.5 touches a game. With KC Concepcion and Tylan Wallace out, the work was his.
8. CHIRoschon Johnson RBAdd9.0 PPR · 6.5 half · 4.0 stdFAAB 12-team: 2–4%Roschon Johnson (RB, CHI): 5 carries for 6 yards; 5 catches on 7 targets for 34 yards, 9.0 PPR points, 3% rostered. He came in averaging 1.6 PPR points and 2.5 touches a game. With Brittain Brown and Kyle Monangai out, the work was his.

Beat expectations

The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →

• NYGIsaiah Likely (TE): 32.4 PPR vs 10.8 projected (+21.6) — 13 targets vs a projected 7
• NEDrake Maye (QB): 39.5 PPR vs 18.8 projected (+20.7) — 4 TD passes (26/34, 374 yds, 4 TD, 25 rush yds, 1 rush TD)
• TBBucky Irving (RB): 31.5 PPR vs 12.6 projected (+18.9) — 2 touchdowns on 24 touches
• GBChristian Watson (WR): 32.3 PPR vs 14.4 projected (+17.9) — 2 touchdowns on 8 touches
• JAXParker Washington (WR): 30.4 PPR vs 13.2 projected (+17.2) — 2 touchdowns on 9 touches
• PITJaylen Warren (RB): 36.8 PPR vs 20.1 projected (+16.7) — 2 touchdowns on 21 touches
• HOUJaylin Noel (WR): 15.2 PPR vs 4.3 projected (+10.9) — 5 for 41, 1 TD on 5 targets; 1 carry for 1
• CINSamaje Perine (RB): 15.8 PPR vs 6.2 projected (+9.6) — 14 carries vs a projected 5

RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play

Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.

1. Sunday Night (add by Sun 8:20 PM ET, drop after ~11:35 PM ET): ATLBrian Robinson Jr. Behind Bijan Robinson, 50% rostered. Bijan's goal-line partner and clear next man up
2. Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): LARBlake Corum Behind Kyren Williams, 65% rostered. The premium handcuff, even in a breather role

Full RB Roulette timeline →

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• CINMitchell Tinsley (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 27% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Tinsley’s role yet.
• CHITyson Bagent (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 37% by our Ascension model. Still 3% rostered. The points have not caught up with Bagent’s role yet.
• WASAthan Kaliakmanis (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 34% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kaliakmanis’s role yet.
• SEAAJ Barner (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 68% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Barner’s role yet.

• DALRyan Flournoy (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 38% by our Ascension model. Still 4% rostered. The points have not caught up with Flournoy’s role yet.
• TBJalon Daniels (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 18% by our Ascension model. Still 2% rostered. The points have not caught up with Daniels’s role yet.