Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Hellebuyck vs Jeremy Swayman
In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Jeremy Swayman's .908.
Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Swayman +23.3.
This week Hellebuyck has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Swayman has 1 left (about 0.2 expected starts). We project Hellebuyck for 0.5 ESPN points to Swayman's 0.3.
Jeremy Swayman has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Hellebuyck's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, Games started 57.
Swayman's biggest edges: Shutouts 2, Goals saved above expected +23.3, High-danger save % .839.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 W, .947 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Hellebuyck
0.98
fantasy points per game
Jeremy Swayman
2.31
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jeremy Swayman has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hellebuyck | Swayman |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.61 | 2.25 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.68 | -5.31 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.86 | 5.19 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hellebuyck vs Swayman
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jeremy Swayman shooting on Connor Hellebuyck
- Goals
- 0
- Shots on goal
- 1
- Expected goals
- 0.01
- Hellebuyck SV%
- 1.000
1 unblocked attempts. Close to expected.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hellebuyck | Swayman |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | WPG 1–6 BOS | 21/27 SV | 23/24 SV |
| 2025-01-30 | WPG 6–2 BOS | 26/28 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-12-10 | WPG 8–1 BOS | 23/24 SV | 27/35 SV |
| 2024-01-22 | WPG 1–4 BOS | 17/20 SV | 20/21 SV |
| 2023-12-22 | WPG 5–1 BOS | 24/25 SV | 28/33 SV |
| 2023-03-16 | WPG 0–3 BOS | 21/23 SV | 36/36 SV |
| 2022-12-22 | WPG 2–3 BOS | 36/39 SV | 25/27 SV |
| 2022-03-18 | WPG 2–4 BOS | 41/44 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Hellebuyck
2games (1 left)
0.5proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET20% to start0.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Jeremy Swayman
3games (1 left)
0.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B18% to start0.3 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Hellebuyck or Jeremy Swayman?
- In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Jeremy Swayman's .908. Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Swayman +23.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Connor Hellebuyck or Jeremy Swayman?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jeremy Swayman leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hellebuyck and Swayman done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Hellebuyck's team went 3–5.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →