Who to start · 2025-26
Andrei Vasilevskiy vs Connor Hellebuyck
In 2025-26, Andrei Vasilevskiy posted a .912 save percentage to Connor Hellebuyck's .895.
Against our expected-goals model, Vasilevskiy saved +19.5 goals and Hellebuyck +1.1.
This week Vasilevskiy has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Hellebuyck has 1 left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Vasilevskiy for 1.9 ESPN points to Hellebuyck's 0.5.
Andrei Vasilevskiy has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Vasilevskiy's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.11, Shutouts 2, Goals-against average 2.31.
Hellebuyck's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, Saves 1,385.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .833 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Andrei Vasilevskiy
2.98
fantasy points per game
Connor Hellebuyck
0.98
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Andrei Vasilevskiy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vasilevskiy | Hellebuyck |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.69 | 1.61 |
| Goals against (-2) | -4.55 | -5.68 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.67 | 4.86 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vasilevskiy vs Hellebuyck
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vasilevskiy | Hellebuyck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | TBL 1–4 WPG | 26/29 SV | 26/27 SV |
| 2026-01-29 | TBL 4–1 WPG | 23/24 SV | 33/36 SV |
| 2024-11-14 | TBL 4–1 WPG | 23/24 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-11-03 | TBL 4–7 WPG | 0/0 SV | 26/30 SV |
| 2024-01-02 | TBL 2–4 WPG | 24/27 SV | 32/34 SV |
| 2023-03-12 | TBL 2–3 WPG | 19/22 SV | 33/35 SV |
| 2023-01-06 | TBL 2–4 WPG | 16/19 SV | 26/28 SV |
| 2022-04-16 | TBL 7–4 WPG | 0/0 SV | 25/32 SV |
| 2022-03-08 | TBL 4–7 WPG | 26/31 SV | 20/24 SV |
| 2020-01-17 | TBL 7–1 WPG | 30/31 SV | 7/12 SV |
| 2019-11-16 | TBL 3–4 WPG | 23/26 SV | 31/34 SV |
| 2019-03-05 | TBL 5–2 WPG | 30/32 SV | 32/36 SV |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH97% to start1.9 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Connor Hellebuyck
2games (1 left)
0.5proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET20% to start0.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Andrei Vasilevskiy or Connor Hellebuyck?
- In 2025-26, Andrei Vasilevskiy posted a .912 save percentage to Connor Hellebuyck's .895. Against our expected-goals model, Vasilevskiy saved +19.5 goals and Hellebuyck +1.1. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Andrei Vasilevskiy or Connor Hellebuyck?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Vasilevskiy leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vasilevskiy and Hellebuyck done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Vasilevskiy's team went 6–9.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →