Winnipeg Jets vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 12, 2023

FinalSunday, Mar 12, 2023· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	2	0	3		WPG	4	8	10	22
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	7	14	14	35

: WPG 40TBL 64
: WPG 2.81TBL 3.60
PP goals: WPG 1TBL 0
Hits: WPG 42TBL 33
Blocks: WPG 12TBL 8
PIM: WPG 6TBL 2
: WPG 55%TBL 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 at TBL. Anthony Cirelli (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. WPG's first power-play unit (Wheeler, Niederreiter, Scheifele, Connor and Pionk) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:24 together.

Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 10:40.Cirelli
Points
Brandon Hagel had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:12.Hagel
PP1
WPG's first power-play unit (Wheeler, Niederreiter, Scheifele, Connor and Pionk) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:24 together.Wheeler Niederreiter Scheifele Connor Pionk
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 10:40, −6:00 down on his 16:40 season average over 57 games.Cirelli
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +4 against a season average of 30.7; the win.Hellebuyck
Usage
Blake Wheeler (WPG) played 13:11, −3:55 down on his 17:06 season average over 71 games.Wheeler
Luck
TBL scored 2 goals on 3.60 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nick Paul (TBL) played 20:02, +3:55 up on his 16:07 season average over 79 games.Paul

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · TBL 64 · WPG 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 23% of the game, TBL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	TBL
	40	56
	2.27	2.36
	2.11	2.31
	10	10
	4	4
	22	16
	+0.026	−0.026
	23%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Niederreiter – Scheifele – Connor
13:1160% CF
L2Lowry – Appleton – Barron
9:3638% CF
L3Wheeler – Namestnikov – Ehlers
8:3144% CF
L4Maenalanen – Stenlund – Gustafsson
5:2420% CF
D1Dillon – Pionk
16:2838% CF
D2Schmidt – Stanley
14:1633% CF
D3DeMelo – Samberg
13:3857% CF

PP1Wheeler – Niederreiter – Scheifele – Connor – Pionk
1:2480% CF
PP2Namestnikov – Schmidt – Ehlers – Connor – Stenlund
0:560% CF
PK1FLowry – Appleton
1:03
PK2FMaenalanen – Stenlund
0:46
PK1DSamberg – Pionk
2:13
PK2DDillon – DeMelo
1:22

Current WPG line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Paul – Colton – Jeannot
9:0550% CF
L2Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
8:4071% CF
L3Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
7:4262% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Eyssimont
5:2378% CF
D1Hedman – Perbix
11:3757% CF
D2Cole – Cernak
11:1350% CF
D3Raddysh – Sergachev
9:4467% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
2:59100% CF
PP2Perry – Hedman – Paul – Colton – Hagel
1:46100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:24
PK2FKillorn – Paul
0:43
PK1DCole – Cernak
1:24
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:19
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel)wrist0.19 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Schmidt, Connor, StanleyTBL: Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel
WPG 0 – 1 TBL
10:15
WPGNate Schmidt (Logan Stanley)wrist0.01 xG
WPG: Schmidt, Maenalanen, Stenlund, Stanley, GustafssonTBL: Perry, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Eyssimont
WPG 1 – 1 TBL

2nd period

1:01
WPGNino NiederreiterPP (Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler)wrap-around0.11 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Niederreiter, Scheifele, Connor, PionkTBL: Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel
WPG 2 – 1 TBL
9:04
WPGMorgan Barron (Brenden Dillon, Mason Appleton)wrist0.35 xG
WPG: Dillon, Stenlund, Appleton, Pionk, BarronTBL: Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix
WPG 3 – 1 TBL
10:01
TBLAnthony CirelliSH (Brandon Hagel)wrist0.14 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Niederreiter, Scheifele, Connor, PionkTBL: Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel
WPG 3 – 2 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	1	0	2	20:14	—	—	50	35
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.75	2	2	2	19:24	—	—	48	33
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.17	5	0	0	17:14	—	—	55	61
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	0	0	18:07	—	—	38	51
Mason Appleton C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	42	62
Morgan Barron C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.56	7	0	0	14:11	—	—	37	60
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	47	58
Blake Wheeler R	L3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.15	1	0	0	13:11	—	—	50	57
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:06	—	—	50	57
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	+2	1	0.19	2	1	2	11:36	—	—	30	55
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	11:26	—	—	17	15
David Gustafsson C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	1	1	0	8:29	—	—	29	42
Neal Pionk D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	6	3	0	23:45	—	—	35	51
Brenden Dillon D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.23	0	0	0	21:23	—	—	37	55
Nate Schmidt D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	20:13	—	—	33	27
Logan Stanley D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	4	0	0	15:42	—	—	33	10
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	4	0	19:43	—	—	59	68
Dylan Samberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	17:14	—	—	57	68

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	35	33	2	.943	3.60	59:57

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	52	39
Tanner Jeannot L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	7	1	0	14:50	—	—	56	32
Ross Colton C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	2	0	2	14:08	—	—	57	33
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.43	2	0	0	21:12	—	—	52	60
Alex Killorn L	L2	1	0	1	+1	6	0.60	2	1	0	18:56	—	—	61	69
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.22	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	71	91
Nikita Kucherov R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	0	0	0	19:26	—	—	56	43
Brayden Point C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.37	1	0	0	18:52	—	—	48	33
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	2	0	17:49	—	—	57	48
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	3	1	0	11:32	—	—	70	85
Michael Eyssimont C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	4	0	0	10:54	—	—	73	86
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	0	0	8:58	—	—	82	87
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	2	2	0	22:45	—	—	59	49
Nick Perbix D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	15:40	—	—	57	36
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	4	0	0	19:00	—	—	44	62
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	1	0	0	16:28	—	—	62	84
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	1	0	25:15	—	—	59	44
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	13:00	—	—	75	67

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	22	19	3	.864	2.28	58:06

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.