Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 17, 2020

FinalFriday, Jan 17, 2020· Bell MTS Place

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

7

@

home

Winnipeg JetsWPG

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	3	2	2	7		TBL	7	9	10	26
WPG	0	1	0	1		WPG	5	18	8	31

: TBL 52WPG 60
: TBL 3.17WPG 2.94
PP goals: TBL 0WPG 0
Hits: TBL 20WPG 29
Blocks: TBL 14WPG 14
PIM: TBL 4WPG 2
: TBL 53%WPG 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Winnipeg Jets 7–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Winnipeg Jets 7–1 at WPG. Anthony Cirelli (TBL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. TBL scored 7 goals on 3.17 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Anthony Cirelli had a hat trick (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:35.Cirelli
Points
Ondrej Palat had 3 assists (3 points) in 13:54.Palat
Points
Nikita Kucherov had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:05.Kucherov
Points
Brayden Point had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:21.Point
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:02.Stamkos
Luck
TBL scored 7 goals on 3.17 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Luck
WPG scored 1 goal on 2.94 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Cedric Paquette (TBL) played 9:20, −3:47 down on his 13:07 season average over 60 games.Paquette

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · WPG 60 · TBL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 39% of the game, WPG 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WPG
	58	66
	3.45	3.28
	3.26	3.13
	17	14
	2	6
	18	13
	−0.006	+0.005
	39%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
11:3443% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Cirelli
11:1940% CF
L3Gourde – Verhaeghe – Stephens
8:3257% CF
L4Killorn – Maroon – Paquette
7:2443% CF
D1Shattenkirk – Sergachev
17:4654% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
15:3641% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
14:4942% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
0:4875% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Johnson – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev
0:19
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:02
PK2FGourde – Paquette
0:57
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:23
PK2DHedman – Rutta
0:52

Current TBL line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Scheifele – Connor – Laine
14:0250% CF
L2Wheeler – Copp – Ehlers
11:2175% CF
L3Perreault – Lowry – Roslovic
10:2248% CF
L4Bourque – Shore – Appleton
8:3760% CF
D1Kulikov – Morrissey
13:0868% CF
D2Sbisa – Bitetto
12:1136% CF
D3Niku – Pionk
10:5364% CF

PP1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine – Pionk
2:3375% CF
PP2Perreault – Copp – Morrissey – Ehlers – Roslovic
1:07100% CF
PK1FShore – Appleton
0:54
PK2FLowry – Copp
0:28
PK1DSbisa – Bitetto
1:22

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:27
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Ondrej Palat, Tyler Johnson)snap0.14 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, SergachevWPG: Perreault, Sbisa, Bitetto, Lowry, Roslovic
TBL 1 – 0 WPG
12:21
TBLNikita Kucherov (Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point)wrist0.12 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, RuttaWPG: Wheeler, Kulikov, Copp, Morrissey, Ehlers
TBL 2 – 0 WPG
19:07
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Ondrej Palat)backhand0.14 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, SergachevWPG: Scheifele, Connor, Niku, Laine, Pionk
TBL 3 – 0 WPG

2nd period

7:21
TBLNikita Kucherov (Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, RuttaWPG: Sbisa, Bitetto, Scheifele, Ehlers, Connor
TBL 4 – 0 WPG
11:10
TBLCarter Verhaeghe (Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Cernak, StephensWPG: Perreault, Sbisa, Bitetto, Lowry, Roslovic
TBL 5 – 0 WPG
11:44
WPGJack Roslovic (Mathieu Perreault)wrist0.26 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Cernak, StephensWPG: Perreault, Bitetto, Lowry, Roslovic, Pionk
TBL 5 – 1 WPG

3rd period

7:48
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Ondrej Palat)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, SergachevWPG: Kulikov, Scheifele, Connor, Laine, Pionk
TBL 6 – 1 WPG
10:45
TBLAlex Killorn (Mitchell Stephens, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Stephens, SergachevWPG: Sbisa, Bitetto, Scheifele, Connor, Laine
TBL 7 – 1 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.33	0	1	0	18:21	—	—	42	43
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	2	0	2	+2	5	0.46	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	44	43
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.19	2	1	2	17:02	—	—	41	42
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	3	0	3	+3	4	0.79	1	1	0	16:35	—	—	45	66
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	3	3	+3	0	0.17	0	0	0	13:54	—	—	43	68
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.18	1	0	0	13:25	—	—	37	66
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:31	—	—	71	57
Mitchell Stephens C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	1	0	0	12:20	—	—	50	38
Carter Verhaeghe C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.29	2	0	0	11:57	—	—	57	49
Alex Killorn L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	1	0	0	16:58	—	—	50	47
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	2	0	0	14:03	—	—	50	58
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:20	—	—	33	10
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	+4	1	0.02	2	1	0	20:22	—	—	54	74
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D1	0	0	0	+4	1	0.00	1	1	0	20:09	—	—	53	64
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	2	3	0	19:43	—	—	40	40
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	3	2	0	19:29	—	—	45	43
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	0	2	0	20:34	—	—	44	41
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	2	17:59	—	—	41	44

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.94	60:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.68	1	2	0	19:37	—	—	50	47
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.27	0	0	0	19:06	—	—	47	44
Patrik Laine L	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.09	1	0	0	18:44	—	—	47	44
Andrew Copp C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	0	0	16:18	—	—	68	57
Blake Wheeler R	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.33	1	1	0	15:44	—	—	69	46
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	1	0	15:12	—	—	63	48
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	2	0	0	14:52	—	—	39	49
Jack Roslovic C	L3	1	0	1	-1	4	0.44	1	0	0	14:09	—	—	52	62
Mathieu Perreault C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:50	—	—	48	61
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	1	0	12:12	—	—	54	52
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	4	0	0	11:26	—	—	53	40
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	11:23	—	—	58	51
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.16	0	2	0	24:08	—	—	60	59
Dmitry Kulikov D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.15	2	1	2	19:51	—	—	63	49
Anthony Bitetto D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:50	—	—	38	39
Luca Sbisa D	D2	0	0	0	-4	1	0.05	1	2	0	14:27	—	—	41	45
Neal Pionk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	8	1	0	22:39	—	—	61	51
Sami Niku D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	2	0	18:10	—	—	50	38

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	12	7	5	.583	1.37	31:10
Laurent Brossoit	—	14	12	2	.857	1.80	28:50

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.