Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg JetsMar 5, 2026

FinalThursday, Mar 5, 2026· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	5	7	15	27
WPG	0	2	2	4		WPG	8	14	8	30

: TBL 59WPG 63
: TBL 2.90WPG 4.30
PP goals: TBL 1WPG 0
Hits: TBL 23WPG 26
Blocks: TBL 17WPG 15
PIM: TBL 4WPG 4
: TBL 44%WPG 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1 at home. Kyle Connor (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:00 together.

Points
Kyle Connor had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:17.Connor
Points
Mark Scheifele had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:07.Scheifele
Points
Alex Iafallo had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:43.Iafallo
Points
Tanner Pearson had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:30.Pearson
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:00 together.Kucherov Guentzel Bjorkstrand Point Raddysh
Usage
Haydn Fleury (WPG) played 23:58, +10:19 up on his 13:39 season average over 37 games.Fleury
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.90 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Ryan McDonagh (TBL) played 13:44, −5:38 down on his 19:22 season average over 47 games.McDonagh

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · WPG 63 · TBL 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 29% of the game, WPG 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

WPG skaters (rows) against TBL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the WPG side.

Matchup matrix

WPG xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WPG
	55	64
	1.78	3.31
	1.76	3.14
	10	14
	4	2
	20	26
	−0.035	+0.034
	29%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Gourde – Girgensons – Holmberg
7:4853% CF
L2Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
4:0322% CF
L3Bjorkstrand – Cirelli – Hagel
2:4275% CF
D1Raddysh – Moser
11:3058% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
10:3133% CF
D3Hedman – Carlile
9:3345% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Point – Raddysh
2:00100% CF
PK1FGuentzel – Cirelli
1:38
PK2FGourde – Girgensons
1:21
PK1DHedman – Moser
2:01
PK2DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:45

Current TBL line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Scheifele – Connor – Iafallo
14:4955% CF
L2Lowry – Vilardi – Perfetti
10:0856% CF
L3Toews – Nyquist – Duehr
5:2350% CF
L4Pearson – Barron – Koepke
4:1050% CF
D1DeMelo – Samberg
16:4251% CF
D2Fleury – Salomonsson
15:1047% CF
D3Heinola – Phillips
7:0925% CF

PP1Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi – Heinola – Perfetti
2:1583% CF
PP2Toews – Nyquist – Lowry – Fleury – Iafallo
1:3967% CF
PK1FConnor – Barron
0:45
PK2FLowry – Pearson
0:19
PK1DDeMelo – Samberg
1:51

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

15:31
WPGMorgan Barron (Cole Koepke, Tanner Pearson)wrist0.23 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, MoserWPG: DeMelo, Pearson, Samberg, Barron, Koepke
TBL 0 – 1 WPG
19:42
WPGMark Scheifele (Alex Iafallo, Kyle Connor)slap0.12 xG
TBL: Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, MoserWPG: Scheifele, Fleury, Connor, Iafallo, Salomonsson
TBL 0 – 2 WPG

3rd period

1:52
TBLBrayden PointPP (Jake Guentzel, Darren Raddysh)wrist0.58 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, RaddyshWPG: DeMelo, Samberg, Barron, Koepke
TBL 1 – 2 WPG
5:34
WPGGustav Nyquist (Jonathan Toews, Tanner Pearson)wrist0.33 xG
TBL: Hedman, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, Holmberg, CarlileWPG: Toews, Nyquist, DeMelo, Pearson, Samberg
TBL 1 – 3 WPG
17:59
WPGKyle ConnorEN (Mark Scheifele, Alex Iafallo)wrist0.92 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli, HagelWPG: Scheifele, Fleury, Connor, Iafallo, Salomonsson
TBL 1 – 4 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	1	0	0	18:59	—	—	50	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	5	0	0	14:42	—	—	50	43
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	2	0	14:18	—	—	53	29
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	1	1	-2	5	0.70	1	1	0	21:45	—	—	32	24
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	0	0	0	20:41	—	—	47	45
Brayden Point C	L2	1	0	1	-3	3	0.85	1	0	0	18:25	—	—	41	48
Brandon Hagel L	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.20	0	1	2	18:17	—	—	53	34
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	2	1	2	17:13	—	—	55	29
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	3	0	0	15:25	—	—	52	31
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.05	0	1	0	23:04	—	—	48	46
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	50	43
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	2	0	17:15	—	—	40	32
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:44	—	—	43	55
Declan Carlile D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	2	0	18:22	—	—	54	34
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	2	0	14:45	—	—	48	21
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	14:01	—	—	37	24
Conor Geekie C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:28	—	—	43	20
Scott Sabourin R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	3	2	0	9:03	—	—	32	19

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	3.38	58:54

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	1.17	2	0	0	22:17	—	—	57	56
Mark Scheifele C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.61	0	0	0	21:07	—	—	57	55
Alex Iafallo L	L1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.35	1	0	0	17:43	—	—	52	46
Gabriel Vilardi C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	16:29	—	—	58	81
Cole Perfetti C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	15:08	—	—	56	70
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	0	0	15:01	—	—	52	42
Jonathan Toews C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	1	0	14:50	—	—	46	49
Gustav Nyquist R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.33	0	0	0	13:39	—	—	50	61
Walker Duehr R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	4	1	0	10:23	—	—	53	74
Tanner Pearson L	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.18	1	0	0	13:30	—	—	48	77
Morgan Barron C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.31	1	1	0	11:49	—	—	63	83
Cole Koepke L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.61	1	0	0	9:54	—	—	50	73
Dylan Samberg D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.04	0	3	0	23:14	—	—	56	61
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.12	2	3	0	22:54	—	—	56	58
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	5	2	0	23:58	—	—	50	68
Elias Salomonsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	2	2	20:09	—	—	54	83
Ville Heinola D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	1	0	13:51	—	—	59	69
Isaak Phillips D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:10	—	—	43	10

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.90	59:47

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Morgan Barron (WPG) 2nd 15:31 · assists Cole Koepke, Tanner Pearson · Rebound · carried in · 3-on-1 at the blue line · 49.1 mph shot · 2.5 s from entry to goal.

Morgan Barron · 2nd 15:31 · WPG

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 49.1 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mark Scheifele · 2nd 19:42 · WPG

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 66.2 mph
Distance: 26 ft
Entry to goal: 4.2 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brayden Point · 3rd 1:52 · TBL PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 54.4 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 5:34 · WPG

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 2
Shot: 49.0 mph
Distance: 20 ft
Entry to goal: 9.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Kyle Connor · 3rd 17:59 · WPG EN

Play: rebound
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 13.6 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 6.6 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.