Colorado Avalanche vs. St. Louis BluesMar 15, 2018

FinalThursday, Mar 15, 2018· Scottrade Center

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

St. Louis BluesSTL

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	2	1	1	4		COL	8	9	6	23
STL	0	1	0	1		STL	13	10	22	45

: COL 42STL 82
: COL 2.44STL 3.35
PP goals: COL 0STL 0
Hits: COL 19STL 29
Blocks: COL 15STL 13
PIM: COL 2STL 2
: COL 48%STL 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat St. Louis Blues 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat St. Louis Blues 4–1 at STL. Mikko Rantanen (COL) led the scoring with 2G 2A. Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 45 shots and stopped 44 (.978), +14 against a season average of 31.3; the win.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 3 shots in 18:39.Rantanen
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:31.MacKinnon
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 18:39.Landeskog
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 45 shots and stopped 44 (.978), +14 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Varlamov
Luck
STL scored 1 goal on 3.36 expected goals (82 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Alexander Kerfoot (COL) played 6:40, −6:52 down on his 13:32 season average over 78 games.Kerfoot
Luck
COL scored 4 goals on 2.44 expected goals (42 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Ivan Barbashev (STL) played 6:58, −5:20 down on his 12:18 season average over 52 games.Barbashev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)STL attacks right (top on phones) →

STL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · STL 82 · COL 42

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

STL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

STL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 19% of the game, STL 56%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

STL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	STL
	43	79
	1.82	3.07
	1.79	2.80
	4	16
	2	2
	11	12
	+0.020	−0.020
	19%	56%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
15:0845% CF
L2Andrighetto – Compher – Jost
12:2133% CF
L3Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
11:1842% CF
L4Bourque – Toninato – Kerfoot
3:5267% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
15:0731% CF
D2Nemeth – Girard
11:3932% CF
D3Warsofsky – Siemens
4:5436% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
1:0550% CF
PP2Soderberg – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Compher – Girard
0:46100% CF
PK1FComeau – Nieto
1:56
PK2FSoderberg – Bourque
1:03
PK1DNemeth – Siemens
2:51

Current COL line combinations →

St. Louis Blues

L1Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz
16:1378% CF
L2Steen – Brodziak – Berglund
10:5368% CF
L3Sobotka – Jaskin – Thompson
7:1750% CF
L4Thorburn – Barbashev – Soshnikov
4:3067% CF
D1Edmundson – Parayko
16:2177% CF
D2Gunnarsson – Pietrangelo
13:1360% CF
D3Bortuzzo – Dunn
10:1957% CF

PP1Steen – Pietrangelo – Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz
2:5280% CF
PP2Sobotka – Berglund – Jaskin – Parayko – Dunn
1:08
PK1FBrodziak – Berglund
0:44
PK2FSobotka – Soshnikov
0:27
PK1DPietrangelo – Edmundson
0:48
PK2DBortuzzo – Parayko
0:44

Current STL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:11
COLNathan MacKinnon (Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.05 xG
COL: Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenSTL: Thorburn, Berglund, Pietrangelo, Parayko, Barbashev
COL 1 – 0 STL
13:03
COLNathan MacKinnon (Tyson Barrie, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenSTL: Pietrangelo, Schenn, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Edmundson
COL 2 – 0 STL

2nd period

9:15
STLJoel Edmundson (Colton Parayko, Dmitrij Jaskin)wrist0.04 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Nieto, SiemensSTL: Sobotka, Schwartz, Jaskin, Edmundson, Parayko
COL 2 – 1 STL
16:29
COLMikko Rantanen (Gabriel Landeskog)backhand0.04 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen, GirardSTL: Brodziak, Berglund, Bortuzzo, Dunn, Thompson
COL 3 – 1 STL

3rd period

19:18
COLMikko RantanenEN (Gabriel Landeskog, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.89 xG
COL: Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenSTL: Steen, Brodziak, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Tarasenko, Schwartz
COL 4 – 1 STL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	1	3	+4	3	0.25	0	1	0	19:31	—	—	39	37
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	3	3	+4	3	0.03	1	0	0	18:39	—	—	45	44
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	2	2	4	+4	3	0.98	0	1	0	18:39	—	—	43	44
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	0	0	16:15	—	—	26	23
Sven Andrighetto R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	29	23
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	14:59	—	—	30	27
Blake Comeau L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	3	1	0	18:02	—	—	39	28
Carl Soderberg C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	0	17:28	—	—	36	24
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	17:22	—	—	37	26
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	7:47	—	—	18	66
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.50	0	1	0	6:40	—	—	33	83
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:40	—	—	30	68
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.02	0	0	0	25:35	—	—	33	41
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	+3	1	0.02	4	2	2	23:42	—	—	28	40
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.04	0	4	0	25:10	—	—	34	26
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:14	—	—	39	29
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.08	0	1	0	12:26	—	—	48	44
Duncan Siemens D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:48	—	—	42	40

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	45	44	1	.978	3.35	60:00

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	0	0	0	-2	8	0.89	1	0	0	23:43	—	—	77	64
Brayden Schenn C	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.44	2	0	2	23:19	—	—	78	63
Jaden Schwartz L	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.52	0	0	0	22:18	—	—	79	64
Alexander Steen L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.38	1	2	0	20:04	—	—	65	87
Kyle Brodziak C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	4	0	0	17:55	—	—	61	81
Patrik Berglund C	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.10	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	64	81
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:39	—	—	46	49
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	4	0	0	13:37	—	—	59	49
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:09	—	—	40	41
Nikita Soshnikov R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	3	0	0	11:05	—	—	47	50
Ivan Barbashev L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	6:58	—	—	64	53
Chris Thorburn R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	4:57	—	—	57	35
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.12	1	1	0	24:11	—	—	73	89
Joel Edmundson D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.09	2	0	0	22:01	—	—	72	76
Alex Pietrangelo D	D2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.19	0	5	0	24:15	—	—	62	64
Carl Gunnarsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	2	0	17:09	—	—	60	68
Vince Dunn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	1	0	15:12	—	—	56	44
Robert Bortuzzo D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	0	0	13:13	—	—	58	42

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	L	22	19	3	.864	1.55	57:34

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.