Colorado Avalanche vs. Washington CapitalsDec 12, 2017

FinalTuesday, Dec 12, 2017· Capital One Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

2

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	1	2		COL	7	6	11	24
WSH	1	1	3	5		WSH	7	10	10	27

: COL 56WSH 55
: COL 2.02WSH 3.64
PP goals: COL 0WSH 0
Hits: COL 20WSH 24
Blocks: COL 13WSH 22
PIM: COL 2WSH 8
: COL 47%WSH 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2

Washington Capitals beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2 at home. Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for COL: Andrighetto–Compher–Jost skated 4:19 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had 3 assists (3 points) in 14:10.Kuznetsov
Points
Madison Bowey had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:36.Bowey
New line
New look for COL: Andrighetto–Compher–Jost skated 4:19 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Andrighetto Compher Jost
Usage
Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) played 14:10, −4:42 down on his 18:52 season average over 78 games.Kuznetsov
Usage
John Carlson (WSH) played 21:10, −3:40 down on his 24:50 season average over 81 games.Carlson
Usage
Mark Barberio (COL) played 13:42, −3:40 down on his 17:22 season average over 45 games.Barberio
Usage
Jay Beagle (WSH) played 15:26, +3:02 up on his 12:24 season average over 78 games.Beagle
Usage
Matt Nieto (COL) played 11:50, −3:07 down on his 14:57 season average over 73 games.Nieto

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · WSH 55 · COL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 29% of the game, WSH 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	WSH
	62	58
	2.26	3.08
	2.12	3.01
	14	12
	4	4
	29	14
	−0.041	+0.041
	29%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:4942% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
4:4550% CF
L3Andrighetto – Compher – Jost
4:1956% CF
D1Barrie – Nemeth
8:1429% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
7:2758% CF
D3Barberio – Lindholm
6:0520% CF

PP1Soderberg – Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:330% CF
PP2Wilson – Andrighetto – Compher – Jost – Girard
2:3567% CF
PK1FAndrighetto – Compher
0:13
PK1DNemeth – Zadorov
0:13

Current COL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
13:0150% CF
L2Chiasson – Kuznetsov – Vrana
11:2427% CF
L3Beagle – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson
10:2858% CF
L4Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
9:5965% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
19:1955% CF
D2Carlson – Djoos
15:4146% CF
D3Orpik – Bowey
12:0242% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Niskanen – Backstrom – Carlson – Stephenson
0:15
PP2Beagle – Carlson – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson – Djoos
0:10
PK1FEller – Wilson
2:51
PK2FBeagle – Chiasson
2:06
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
2:18
PK2DOrlov – Bowey
0:48

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:25
WSHJakub Vrana (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Madison Bowey)wrist0.08 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardWSH: Niskanen, Chiasson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Vrana
COL 0 – 1 WSH

2nd period

4:13
COLColin Wilson (Matt Nieto, Mark Barberio)backhand0.08 xG
COL: Comeau, Wilson, Barberio, Nieto, LindholmWSH: Niskanen, Chiasson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Vrana
COL 1 – 1 WSH
17:42
WSHJohn Carlsonslap0.03 xG
COL: Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Djoos
COL 1 – 2 WSH

3rd period

5:15
WSHBrett Connolly (Madison Bowey, Evgeny Kuznetsov)slap0.04 xG
COL: Comeau, Johnson, Nemeth, Nieto, JostWSH: Orpik, Ovechkin, Eller, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Bowey
COL 1 – 3 WSH
16:19
WSHMatt Niskanen (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Andre Burakovsky)wrist0.17 xG
COL: Johnson, Andrighetto, Compher, GirardWSH: Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky
COL 1 – 4 WSH
18:57
COLTyson Jost (Mikko Rantanen, Carl Soderberg)backhand0.08 xG
COL: Soderberg, Zadorov, Rantanen, Jost, GirardWSH: Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Burakovsky, Bowey
COL 2 – 4 WSH
19:15
WSHDevante Smith-PellyEN (Chandler Stephenson, Jay Beagle)wrist0.49 xG
COL: Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, RantanenWSH: Niskanen, Beagle, Carlson, Smith-Pelly, Stephenson
COL 2 – 5 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.23	0	0	2	21:00	—	—	37	31
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.07	0	0	0	20:45	—	—	49	39
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:11	—	—	48	35
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	2	0	0	17:37	—	—	52	26
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	0	0	16:16	—	—	58	61
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.13	1	1	0	11:50	—	—	43	49
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.22	0	2	0	19:29	—	—	61	75
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	1	0	0	17:12	—	—	69	56
Tyson Jost C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	13:22	—	—	55	45
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	0	1	0	21:32	—	—	33	12
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	62	32
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.20	2	3	0	23:15	—	—	61	72
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	12:30	—	—	52	63
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	13:42	—	—	46	38
Anton Lindholm D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	9:42	—	—	24	20
Nikita Zadorov D	—	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	1	0	16:45	—	—	66	61
Colin Wilson C	—	1	0	1	+1	3	0.29	0	1	0	15:19	—	—	53	39
Gabriel Bourque L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	3	0	0	11:40	—	—	38	28

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	26	22	4	.846	3.15	59:48

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.22	3	0	0	17:42	—	—	50	46
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.20	1	2	0	15:51	—	—	50	48
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.11	3	0	0	15:18	—	—	52	47
Alex Chiasson R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	4	0	14:18	—	—	26	18
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	3	3	+2	0	0.00	0	0	2	14:10	—	—	33	18
Jakub Vrana L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	13:00	—	—	30	18
Jay Beagle C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.39	2	1	0	15:26	—	—	50	77
Chandler Stephenson C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	2	2	14:27	—	—	54	82
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.72	4	1	0	14:24	—	—	52	82
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.95	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	61	77
Andre Burakovsky L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.10	1	1	0	11:42	—	—	67	77
Brett Connolly R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	10:39	—	—	65	79
Matt Niskanen D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.17	2	1	0	25:05	—	—	57	68
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	23:39	—	—	55	68
John Carlson D	D2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	0	3	4	21:10	—	—	46	65
Christian Djoos D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	0	2	0	16:25	—	—	46	72
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	1	0	19:16	—	—	44	17
Madison Bowey D	D3	0	2	2	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	14:36	—	—	42	19

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	2.02	59:37

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.