Colorado Avalanche vs. Washington CapitalsOct 19, 2021

FinalTuesday, Oct 19, 2021· Capital One Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	1	3		COL	5	8	14	27
WSH	2	2	2	6		WSH	19	8	13	40

: COL 46WSH 68
: COL 2.59WSH 5.00
PP goals: COL 0WSH 0
Hits: COL 15WSH 20
Blocks: COL 14WSH 11
PIM: COL 8WSH 10
: COL 45%WSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Colorado Avalanche 6–3

Washington Capitals beat Colorado Avalanche 6–3 at home. Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for COL: Burakovsky–MacKinnon–Rantanen skated 7:39 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 7 shots in 17:43.Kuznetsov
Points
Tom Wilson had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:36.Wilson
Points
J.T. Compher had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:26.Compher
Points
Nick Jensen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:42.Jensen
Points
Dmitry Orlov had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:59.Orlov
New line
New look for COL: Burakovsky–MacKinnon–Rantanen skated 7:39 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Burakovsky MacKinnon Rantanen
Goalie
Darcy Kuemper (COL) faced 39 shots and stopped 34 (.872), +8 against a season average of 30.8; the loss.Kuemper
New line
New look for WSH: Oshie–Sheary–McMichael skated 8:48 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Oshie Sheary McMichael

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · WSH 68 · COL 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 22% of the game, WSH 54%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	WSH
	35	64
	1.55	3.17
	1.51	2.96
	5	16
	2	6
	13	13
	−0.022	+0.022
	22%	54%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Burakovsky – MacKinnon – Rantanen
7:3938% CF
L2Helm – Jost – O'Connor
4:0533% CF
L3Kadri – Compher – Ranta
3:1120% CF
D1Girard – Makar
8:4327% CF
D2Johnson – Byram
7:0747% CF
D3Johnson – Murray
6:1325% CF

PP1Kadri – Burakovsky – Girard – Maltsev – Ranta
2:31100% CF
PP2Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost – Makar
1:5767% CF
PK1FJost – O'Connor
2:09
PK2FHelm – Compher
1:19
PK1DJohnson – Johnson
2:23
PK2DMurray – Makar
0:34

Current COL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway
10:0145% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
9:2469% CF
L3Eller – Mantha – Sprong
8:4943% CF
L4Oshie – Sheary – McMichael
8:4880% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
14:4259% CF
D2Carlson – Fehérváry
12:5165% CF
D3Schultz – van Riemsdyk
11:4958% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Carlson – Kuznetsov – Mantha
2:4686% CF
PP2Eller – Schultz – Orlov – Wilson – Sprong
1:39
PK1FHagelin – Dowd
2:33
PK2FEller – Wilson
1:30
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
2:49
PK2DCarlson – Fehérváry
1:39

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:15
WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov (John Carlson)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Murray, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarWSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry
COL 0 – 1 WSH
13:46
COLJ.T. CompherSHsnap0.16 xG
COL: Helm, Murray, MacDermid, CompherWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Mantha
COL 1 – 1 WSH
16:53
WSHNick Jensen (Dmitry Orlov, Tom Wilson)wrist0.10 xG
COL: Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, MakarWSH: Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Wilson
COL 1 – 2 WSH

2nd period

3:12
COLDarren Helm (Logan O'Connor, Bowen Byram)snap0.19 xG
COL: Helm, Johnson, Jost, O'Connor, ByramWSH: Eller, Schultz, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sprong
COL 2 – 2 WSH
14:47
WSHAnthony Mantha (Lars Eller)wrist0.25 xG
COL: Kadri, Murray, MacDermid, Burakovsky, MaltsevWSH: Eller, Schultz, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sprong
COL 2 – 3 WSH
16:41
WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov (Tom Wilson, Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.08 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost, Girard, MakarWSH: Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Wilson
COL 2 – 4 WSH

3rd period

0:39
WSHNic Dowd (Nick Jensen, Carl Hagelin)wrist0.11 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost, Girard, MakarWSH: Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway
COL 2 – 5 WSH
16:54
COLMikko Rantanen (Nathan MacKinnon, J.T. Compher)slap0.12 xG
COL: Kadri, Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarWSH: Hagelin, Orlov, Jensen, Dowd
COL 3 – 5 WSH
17:39
WSHAlex OvechkinEN (Tom Wilson, Evgeny Kuznetsov)wrist0.50 xG
COL: Kadri, Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarWSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry
COL 3 – 6 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	-5	3	0.47	0	0	0	21:40	—	—	35	32
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	-5	3	0.19	2	2	2	20:16	—	—	35	32
Andre Burakovsky L	L1	0	0	0	-4	0	0.00	2	0	0	19:02	—	—	47	29
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	1	2	0	19:58	—	—	29	41
Darren Helm C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.21	0	1	0	13:08	—	—	39	40
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.27	0	1	0	12:44	—	—	46	62
J.T. Compher L	L3	1	1	2	0	2	0.18	2	1	0	20:26	—	—	23	20
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.23	1	0	4	19:35	—	—	41	32
Sampo Ranta L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	13:11	—	—	27	26
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	-5	3	0.14	0	2	0	22:23	—	—	42	41
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	0	0	2	18:31	—	—	21	36
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	0	0	20:06	—	—	34	27
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	16:48	—	—	54	39
Ryan Murray D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	14:47	—	—	42	32
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:18	—	—	17	6
Mikhail Maltsev L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	1	0	11:38	—	—	40	14
Martin Kaut R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.22	1	1	0	9:06	—	—	47	51
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:39	—	—	21	34

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	L	39	34	5	.872	3.81	57:44

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nic Dowd C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.46	1	3	0	14:36	—	—	50	47
Carl Hagelin L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	14:08	—	—	46	45
Garnet Hathaway R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	1	0	2	12:40	—	—	48	45
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	2	1	3	+3	7	1.36	0	0	0	17:43	—	—	80	76
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	1	0	1	+3	2	0.66	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	81	76
Tom Wilson R	L2	0	3	3	+4	3	0.53	3	0	2	16:36	—	—	77	71
Lars Eller C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.20	0	0	0	17:46	—	—	52	77
Anthony Mantha R	L3	1	0	1	-1	5	0.88	0	3	2	13:31	—	—	53	78
Daniel Sprong R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	12:25	—	—	65	81
T.J. Oshie R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	2	0	0	15:46	—	—	72	64
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	0	2	12:13	—	—	80	65
Connor McMichael L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	9:45	—	—	82	64
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	2	2	+3	1	0.00	1	1	2	19:59	—	—	63	57
Nick Jensen D	D1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.20	5	0	0	19:42	—	—	58	59
John Carlson D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	2	0	0	21:34	—	—	70	72
Martin Fehérváry D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	3	2	0	19:51	—	—	73	76
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:02	—	—	68	80
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	60	57

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.59	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.