Colorado Avalanche vs. Arizona CoyotesMar 26, 2023

Final / SOSunday, Mar 26, 2023· Mullett Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
COL	0	2	1	0	1	4		COL	5	18	6	3	32
ARI	0	0	3	0	0	3		ARI	5	9	15	1	30

: COL 58ARI 58
: COL 3.50ARI 3.27
PP goals: COL 1ARI 0
Hits: COL 11ARI 28
Blocks: COL 19ARI 16
PIM: COL 6ARI 6
: COL 48%ARI 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Arizona Coyotes 4–3 (SO)

Colorado Avalanche beat Arizona Coyotes 4–3 in a shootout at ARI. Mikko Rantanen (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Brett Ritchie (ARI) played 0:00, −10:15 down on his 10:15 season average over 49 games.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 23:29.Rantanen
Usage
Brett Ritchie (ARI) played 0:00, −10:15 down on his 10:15 season average over 49 games.Ritchie
New line
New look for COL: Compher–Rodrigues–Newhook skated 7:56 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Compher Rodrigues Newhook
Usage
Juuso Välimäki (ARI) played 23:48, +5:42 up on his 18:06 season average over 77 games.Välimäki
Usage
Clayton Keller (ARI) played 25:53, +5:12 up on his 20:41 season average over 81 games.Keller
New line
New look for COL: Eller–Nieto–Malgin skated 5:34 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (15.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eller Nieto Malgin
Usage
Barrett Hayton (ARI) played 23:52, +6:27 up on his 17:25 season average over 81 games.Hayton
Usage
Jack McBain (ARI) played 18:06, +4:10 up on his 13:56 season average over 81 games.McBain

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)ARI attacks right (top on phones) →

ARI
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · ARI 58 · COL 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ARI
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ARI pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 33% of the game, ARI 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ARI

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	ARI
	50	56
	3.03	2.94
	2.93	2.76
	5	12
	1	4
	13	18
	−0.053	+0.053
	33%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen
11:5750% CF
L2Compher – Rodrigues – Newhook
7:5664% CF
L3Cogliano – Helm – O'Connor
6:3275% CF
L4Eller – Nieto – Malgin
5:3415% CF
D1Toews – Makar
14:3954% CF
D2Girard – Byram
14:2148% CF
D3Johnson – Johnson
11:4955% CF

PP1Compher – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Makar
5:12100% CF
PK1FHelm – O'Connor
1:22
PK2FEller – Nieto
1:17
PK1DJohnson – Johnson
1:31
PK2DToews – Girard
0:57

Current COL line combinations →

Arizona Coyotes

L1Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton
14:4964% CF
L2Crouse – McBain – Maccelli
11:3163% CF
L3Boyd – O'Brien – Fischer
8:4845% CF
D1Nemeth – Moser
14:1948% CF
D2Välimäki – Soderstrom
9:3389% CF
D3Kesselring – Mackey
6:1929% CF

PP1Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller – Välimäki – Hayton
4:25100% CF
PP2Crouse – McBain – Soderstrom – Maccelli – Moser
1:230% CF
PK1FFischer – McBain
1:38
PK2FBoyd – Crouse
1:21
PK1DNemeth – Moser
2:53
PK2DKesselring – Mackey
1:18

Current ARI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:30
COLMikko Rantanenwrap-around0.04 xG
COL: Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, ByramARI: Boyd, O'Brien, Kesselring, Soderstrom, Mackey
COL 1 – 0 ARI
10:46
COLBowen Byram (Logan O'Connor, Andrew Cogliano)wrist0.71 xG
COL: Cogliano, Helm, Johnson, O'Connor, ByramARI: Crouse, Välimäki, McBain, Kesselring, Maccelli
COL 2 – 0 ARI

3rd period

10:37
ARIMatias Maccelli (Jack McBain)wrist0.00 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Girard, ByramARI: Nemeth, Crouse, McBain, Maccelli, Moser
COL 2 – 1 ARI
11:37
ARIChristian Fischer (Michael Kesselring)wrist0.17 xG
COL: Johnson, Compher, Toews, Rantanen, NewhookARI: Boyd, Fischer, Keller, Kesselring, Mackey
COL 2 – 2 ARI
13:11
COLValeri NichushkinPP (Mikko Rantanen, Devon Toews)tip-in0.18 xG
COL: Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, RantanenARI: Boyd, Crouse, Kesselring, Mackey
COL 3 – 2 ARI
15:28
ARIClayton Keller (Juuso Välimäki, Nick Schmaltz)wrist0.12 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rodrigues, Makar, NewhookARI: Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Hayton, Kesselring
COL 3 – 3 ARI

Decided in the shootout: COL 4 – 3 ARI.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	1	2	0	24:35	—	—	53	53
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.34	2	1	0	24:13	—	—	44	51
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	1	2	-1	7	0.75	0	0	0	23:29	—	—	50	51
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	0	1	0	23:27	—	—	50	49
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:00	—	—	60	52
Alex Newhook C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	61	51
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	11:58	—	—	60	79
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:10	—	—	67	78
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	9:49	—	—	67	78
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	1	2	13:16	—	—	15	12
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:35	—	—	29	24
Denis Malgin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	8:47	—	—	33	38
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	1	2	23:43	—	—	48	49
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.18	3	2	2	22:18	—	—	55	53
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	3	0	21:01	—	—	39	46
Bowen Byram D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.89	1	2	0	19:50	—	—	50	74
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:47	—	—	46	26
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	4	0	16:29	—	—	44	50

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	30	27	3	.900	3.27	65:00

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Clayton Keller R	L1	1	0	1	+2	7	0.37	0	2	0	25:53	—	—	61	68
Barrett Hayton C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.27	1	0	0	23:52	—	—	64	62
Nick Schmaltz C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	0	0	0	23:27	—	—	64	62
Lawson Crouse L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.52	2	0	0	19:51	—	—	62	53
Matias Maccelli L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	18:37	—	—	61	50
Jack McBain C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.39	3	0	0	18:06	—	—	62	53
Christian Fischer R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	38	33
Travis Boyd C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	50	48
Liam O'Brien C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	2	14:18	—	—	29	13
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	4	7	0	23:44	—	—	51	51
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	20:13	—	—	47	42
Juuso Välimäki D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.23	0	2	0	23:48	—	—	64	42
Victor Soderstrom D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	0	0	20:59	—	—	83	83
Connor Mackey D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	5	0	0	15:58	—	—	39	58
Michael Kesselring D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	5	1	2	15:46	—	—	26	26
Nate Smith C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	2	7:58	—	—	20	1
Milos Kelemen L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	3:50	—	—	20	0
Brett Ritchie R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	0:00	—	—	—	—

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Ingram(start)	O	32	29	3	.906	3.50	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.