Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary FlamesFeb 24, 2018

FinalSaturday, Feb 24, 2018· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

1

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	0	0	1		COL	15	10	4	29
CGY	2	1	2	5		CGY	8	10	11	29

: COL 54CGY 71
: COL 1.65CGY 2.26
PP goals: COL 0CGY 2
Hits: COL 16CGY 15
Blocks: COL 21CGY 13
PIM: COL 20CGY 16
: COL 51%CGY 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames rout Colorado Avalanche 5–1

Calgary Flames beat Colorado Avalanche 5–1 at home. Mikael Backlund (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 7:45, −11:52 down on his 19:37 season average over 76 games.

Points
Mikael Backlund had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:11.Backlund
Points
Troy Brouwer had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:23.Brouwer
Points
Matthew Tkachuk had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:25.Tkachuk
Points
TJ Brodie had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:39.Brodie
Usage
Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 7:45, −11:52 down on his 19:37 season average over 76 games.Zadorov
Luck
CGY scored 5 goals on 2.26 expected goals (71 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Duncan Siemens (COL) played 16:56, +4:55 up on his 12:01 season average over 15 games.Siemens
New line
New look for CGY: Jankowski–Hathaway–Mangiapane skated 11:06 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Hathaway Mangiapane

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · CGY 71 · COL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 16% of the game, CGY 49%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CGY
	53	68
	1.00	1.90
	0.97	1.81
	7	12
	6	1
	17	25
	−0.010	+0.010
	16%	49%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
12:4552% CF
L2Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
12:1830% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost
9:3329% CF
L4Bourque – Toninato – Compher
7:0627% CF
D1Nemeth – Girard
11:1332% CF
D2Barrie – Zadorov
3:5436% CF
D3Warsofsky – Siemens
3:4373% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
1:12100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Compher – Girard
0:48100% CF
PK1FComeau – Soderberg
1:53
PK2FBourque – Toninato
0:38
PK1DNemeth – Siemens
2:20
PK2DWarsofsky – Barrie
1:07

Current COL line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Monahan – Bennett
12:5757% CF
L2Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
12:0763% CF
L3Jankowski – Hathaway – Mangiapane
11:0653% CF
L4Stajan – Brouwer – Lazar
8:3025% CF
D1Hamonic – Brodie
18:2063% CF
D2Giordano – Hamilton
13:4959% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
11:5045% CF

PP1Giordano – Brouwer – Gaudreau – Monahan – Tkachuk
4:25100% CF
PP2Brouwer – Backlund – Stone – Brodie – Bennett
0:18100% CF
PK1FBrouwer – Backlund
1:12
PK2FStajan – Frolik
0:48
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
1:12
PK2DStone – Brodie
0:48

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:18
CGYMichael Frolik (Mikael Backlund)wrist0.04 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenCGY: Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Tkachuk
COL 0 – 1 CGY
7:24
CGYMark Giordano (Mikael Backlund, Matthew Tkachuk)slap0.10 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk
COL 0 – 2 CGY
16:24
COLNathan MacKinnon (Tyson Barrie, Duncan Siemens)wrist0.00 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon, RantanenCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk
COL 1 – 2 CGY

2nd period

10:50
CGYSean MonahanPP (Michael Stone, Matthew Tkachuk)tip-in0.13 xG
COL: Comeau, Warsofsky, Barrie, NietoCGY: Giordano, Stone, Gaudreau, Monahan, Tkachuk
COL 1 – 3 CGY

3rd period

2:39
CGYTroy Brouwer (Matt Stajan, TJ Brodie)wrist0.04 xG
COL: Wilson, Bourque, Siemens, Kerfoot, GirardCGY: Stajan, Brouwer, Hamonic, Brodie, Hathaway
COL 1 – 4 CGY
14:46
CGYMikael BacklundPP (Troy Brouwer, TJ Brodie)wrist0.08 xG
COL: Soderberg, Barrie, Nemeth, LandeskogCGY: Brouwer, Backlund, Stone, Brodie, Bennett
COL 1 – 5 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Blake Comeau L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	18:54	—	—	60	53
Carl Soderberg C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	2	1	0	17:55	—	—	55	45
Matt Nieto L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	3	0	17:05	—	—	59	50
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.12	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	27	21
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:57	—	—	34	24
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	3	0	0	15:52	—	—	31	22
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	1	0	15:00	—	—	58	48
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	13:49	—	—	33	28
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	13:47	—	—	46	36
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	5	1	0	10:43	—	—	38	25
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	38	24
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	1	0	10:04	—	—	43	61
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	8	0	24:52	—	—	39	42
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	0	1	0	23:47	—	—	49	61
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.18	0	0	0	25:59	—	—	39	29
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	3	0	6	7:45	—	—	31	9
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	2	0	18:19	—	—	38	25
Duncan Siemens D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	1	3	14	16:56	—	—	62	34

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	29	24	5	.828	2.26	59:43

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	0	18:39	—	—	56	53
Sean Monahan C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.51	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	57	48
Sam Bennett C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	5	0	0	17:26	—	—	59	58
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	2	2	+1	3	0.32	0	0	0	17:25	—	—	64	74
Michael Frolik R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	65	74
Mikael Backlund C	L2	1	2	3	+1	3	0.32	0	1	0	16:11	—	—	63	73
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	14:02	—	—	63	65
Andrew Mangiapane L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	0	2	13:03	—	—	60	65
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	5	1	12	11:43	—	—	55	68
Troy Brouwer R	L4	1	1	2	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	13:23	—	—	29	61
Matt Stajan C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:45	—	—	31	68
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	2	0	10:48	—	—	44	53
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.06	0	1	0	23:39	—	—	61	69
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.04	0	3	0	23:35	—	—	59	73
Mark Giordano D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	20:58	—	—	56	52
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	16:13	—	—	59	57
Michael Stone D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.03	1	2	0	19:12	—	—	50	63
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	2	14:51	—	—	44	65

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jon Gillies(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	1.65	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.