Colorado Avalanche vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 10, 2018

FinalSaturday, Feb 10, 2018· PNC Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	0	0	1		COL	10	13	7	30
CAR	1	0	2	3		CAR	14	9	12	35

: COL 54CAR 68
: COL 3.12CAR 3.97
PP goals: COL 0CAR 0
Hits: COL 31CAR 28
Blocks: COL 10CAR 11
PIM: COL 6CAR 8
: COL 37%CAR 63%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Colorado Avalanche 3–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Colorado Avalanche 3–1 at home. Brock McGinn (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for COL: Compher–Rantanen–Jost skated 9:38 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock McGinn had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 15:45.McGinn
Points
Elias Lindholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:42.Lindholm
New line
New look for COL: Compher–Rantanen–Jost skated 9:38 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Compher Rantanen Jost
New line
New look for COL: Soderberg–Bourque–Nieto skated 9:07 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Soderberg Bourque Nieto
Luck
COL scored 1 goal on 3.12 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Yakupov–Toninato–Greer skated 5:57 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Yakupov Toninato Greer
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +4 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Varlamov
Usage
J.T. Compher (COL) played 19:46, +3:49 up on his 15:57 season average over 68 games.Compher

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · CAR 68 · COL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 28% of the game, CAR 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CAR
	42	61
	2.18	2.78
	2.09	2.63
	6	16
	6	8
	20	32
	−0.096	+0.096
	28%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Compher – Rantanen – Jost
9:3843% CF
L2Soderberg – Bourque – Nieto
9:0733% CF
L3Wilson – Landeskog – Kerfoot
8:4169% CF
L4Yakupov – Toninato – Greer
5:5736% CF
D1Barrie – Lindholm
9:4369% CF
D2Johnson – Zadorov
8:3635% CF
D3Nemeth – Girard
6:0117% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – Rantanen – Jost
3:18100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Yakupov – Kerfoot – Girard
3:0988% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
1:52
PK2FSoderberg – Bourque
0:53
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
4:00

Current COL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Teravainen – Aho
5:5025% CF
L2Williams – McGinn – Ryan
5:2967% CF
L3Skinner – Di Giuseppe – Lindholm
3:4275% CF
L4Stempniak – Nordstrom – Rask
2:0750% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
14:0450% CF
D2Faulk – Fleury
10:4461% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
10:3567% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
2:09100% CF
PP2Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
1:5286% CF
PK1FStaal – Nordstrom
3:11
PK2FMcGinn – Lindholm
2:16
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
3:13
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
1:54

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:51
COLTyson Barrie (Mikko Rantanen, J.T. Compher)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Barrie, Nemeth, Compher, RantanenCAR: Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Fleury
COL 1 – 0 CAR
17:09
CARBrock McGinn (Elias Lindholm)snap0.10 xG
COL: Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, JostCAR: McGinn, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin
COL 1 – 1 CAR

3rd period

0:35
CARBrock McGinn (Elias Lindholm, Jaccob Slavin)snap0.15 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, ZadorovCAR: Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm
COL 1 – 2 CAR
13:17
CARJeff Skinner (Lee Stempniak, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.08 xG
COL: Soderberg, Barrie, Bourque, Nieto, LindholmCAR: Stempniak, Faulk, Skinner, Fleury, Aho
COL 1 – 3 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.25	2	0	2	19:46	—	—	40	20
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	19:01	—	—	41	18
Tyson Jost C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	41	18
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.46	1	1	0	17:44	—	—	28	46
Gabriel Bourque L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	5	1	0	14:49	—	—	28	43
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	35	50
Gabriel Landeskog L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.34	4	0	0	18:49	—	—	60	55
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	17:45	—	—	52	41
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	0	15:41	—	—	56	57
Nail Yakupov R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	1	0	0	12:52	—	—	43	69
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.26	1	1	0	8:21	—	—	41	68
A.J. Greer L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:37	—	—	36	61
Tyson Barrie D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.16	1	1	0	22:49	—	—	48	57
Anton Lindholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	12:56	—	—	56	67
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	7	0.53	3	1	0	27:40	—	—	39	40
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	6	2	2	12:56	—	—	41	50
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	20:36	—	—	33	13
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	16:34	—	—	33	32

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	35	32	3	.914	3.46	57:45

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.49	2	0	0	19:17	—	—	50	57
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	1	0	6	16:56	—	—	50	51
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	3	0	0	16:47	—	—	48	41
Justin Williams R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.53	0	0	0	18:10	—	—	63	77
Derek Ryan C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	2	16:13	—	—	52	50
Brock McGinn L	L2	2	0	2	+2	5	1.06	2	1	0	15:45	—	—	68	88
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	2	2	+2	4	0.40	1	0	0	18:42	—	—	68	58
Jeff Skinner L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	1	1	0	13:12	—	—	70	50
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	1	0	9:30	—	—	59	32
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	12:18	—	—	67	88
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:50	—	—	47	33
Lee Stempniak R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	9:14	—	—	69	85
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	2	1	0	22:55	—	—	48	46
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	3	0	20:48	—	—	50	49
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	3	0	0	20:46	—	—	61	48
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	4	2	0	16:32	—	—	58	46
Noah Hanifin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	3	0	0	18:10	—	—	67	75
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	0	2	0	16:02	—	—	67	82

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	3.12	59:52

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.