Colorado Avalanche vs. Carolina HurricanesOct 20, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 20, 2018· PNC Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	1	3		COL	7	9	6	22
CAR	0	0	1	1		CAR	11	16	16	43

: COL 44CAR 81
: COL 3.00CAR 4.60
PP goals: COL 1CAR 0
Hits: COL 30CAR 34
Blocks: COL 23CAR 13
PIM: COL 17CAR 15
: COL 36%CAR 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1 at CAR. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:23 together.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 20:58.MacKinnon
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:41.Landeskog
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:23 together.Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Jost
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 4.60 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Philipp Grubauer (COL) faced 43 shots and stopped 42 (.977), +14 against a season average of 28.9; the win.Grubauer
New line
New look for CAR: McGinn–Zykov–Bishop skated 5:48 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McGinn Zykov Bishop
Usage
Tyson Barrie (COL) played 17:15, −4:35 down on his 21:50 season average over 77 games.Barrie
Usage
Jordan Staal (CAR) played 22:39, +4:27 up on his 18:12 season average over 49 games.Staal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · CAR 81 · COL 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 16% of the game, CAR 50%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CAR
	34	65
	1.99	3.43
	1.96	3.37
	14	19
	2	4
	16	14
	−0.112	+0.112
	16%	50%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
12:1533% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
8:0082% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost
6:3514% CF
L4Bourque – Andrighetto – Kamenev
6:0515% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
13:3832% CF
D2Nemeth – Zadorov
10:2633% CF
D3Cole – Barrie
7:2750% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
4:2367% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Rantanen – Girard
1:26
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
3:38
PK2FCalvert – Bourque
2:03
PK1DCole – Nemeth
2:45
PK2DJohnson – Zadorov
0:00

Current COL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Staal – Foegele
10:1568% CF
L2Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
9:4271% CF
L3Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
8:3850% CF
L4McGinn – Zykov – Bishop
5:4873% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
13:1569% CF
D2de Haan – Faulk
12:3057% CF
D3Pesce – van Riemsdyk
10:2768% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Zykov – Aho
3:4580% CF
PP2Williams – Ferland – Hamilton – Slavin – Svechnikov
2:5671% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
2:26
PK2FMartinook – Foegele
1:23
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
3:25
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
0:50

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:49
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.12 xG
COL: Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenCAR: Williams, Staal, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, Foegele
COL 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

9:13
COLGabriel LandeskogPP (Nathan MacKinnon, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.10 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, JostCAR: Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele
COL 2 – 0 CAR

3rd period

16:51
COLNathan MacKinnon (Nikita Zadorov, Mikko Rantanen)snap0.21 xG
COL: Nemeth, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenCAR: Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov
COL 3 – 0 CAR
17:27
CARMicheal Ferland (Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen)tip-in0.04 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, GirardCAR: Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho
COL 3 – 1 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	2	3	+2	5	1.22	1	1	2	20:58	—	—	39	52
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	3	2	6	20:25	—	—	31	50
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	2	0	2	+1	5	0.48	1	2	0	19:41	—	—	34	44
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	1	0	0	17:21	—	—	67	74
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	50	23
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	4	0	0	14:51	—	—	60	32
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:24	—	—	11	6
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:49	—	—	18	11
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	0	0	10:18	—	—	18	13
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.57	5	3	2	12:18	—	—	13	4
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:34	—	—	23	18
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	7:31	—	—	13	4
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	4	5	22:50	—	—	33	66
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	19:52	—	—	36	51
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	4	0	20:32	—	—	30	21
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.02	2	0	0	15:08	—	—	30	21
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	2	18:07	—	—	45	68
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:15	—	—	37	29

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	43	42	1	.977	4.60	59:52

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	2	1	0	22:39	—	—	69	58
Warren Foegele L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.95	4	0	2	16:35	—	—	68	58
Justin Williams R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.44	0	0	2	15:16	—	—	70	51
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	3	1	0	20:11	—	—	70	80
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.55	0	0	0	19:11	—	—	65	72
Micheal Ferland L	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.38	3	1	5	14:29	—	—	72	80
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	5	1	0	14:34	—	—	53	65
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	-1	6	0.95	2	0	2	13:51	—	—	56	69
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	11:32	—	—	53	65
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	3	0	0	12:15	—	—	67	89
Valentin Zykov L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	11:46	—	—	77	95
Clark Bishop C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:10	—	—	73	92
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.23	0	2	0	24:36	—	—	71	43
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.19	1	1	0	19:38	—	—	68	40
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	2	0	0	22:37	—	—	58	68
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	2	15:48	—	—	60	69
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	18:31	—	—	70	88
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	13:43	—	—	67	86

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	22	19	3	.864	2.43	57:17

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.