Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 8, 2018

FinalSaturday, Dec 8, 2018· Amalie Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

1

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	0	0	1		COL	8	11	11	30
TBL	3	3	1	7		TBL	13	15	10	38

: COL 50TBL 67
: COL 2.76TBL 3.85
PP goals: COL 0TBL 2
Hits: COL 22TBL 35
Blocks: COL 16TBL 13
PIM: COL 8TBL 6
: COL 47%TBL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Colorado Avalanche 7–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Colorado Avalanche 7–1 at home. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 2A. TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:11 together.

Points
Steven Stamkos had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 15:36.Stamkos
Points
Ondrej Palat had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 13:06.Palat
Points
Tyler Johnson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:00.Johnson
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:11 together.Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Gourde Point
Luck
TBL scored 7 goals on 3.85 expected goals (67 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Luck
COL scored 1 goal on 2.76 expected goals (50 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Gabriel Landeskog (COL) played 17:06, −4:06 down on his 21:12 season average over 72 games.Landeskog
Usage
J.T. Miller (TBL) played 11:27, −3:16 down on his 14:43 season average over 74 games.Miller

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · TBL 67 · COL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 16% of the game, TBL 50%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TBL
	54	60
	3.20	3.49
	3.17	3.36
	6	18
	2	4
	17	10
	−0.043	+0.043
	16%	50%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
12:5463% CF
L2Wilson – Compher – Jost
6:1718% CF
L3Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
5:2450% CF
L4Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Kamenev
2:290% CF
D1Cole – Barrie
15:5047% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
15:5043% CF
D3Nemeth – Zadorov
12:1855% CF

PP1Wilson – Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
2:34100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Kerfoot – Compher – Jost – Girard
1:26
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
1:28
PK2FCalvert – Compher
1:20
PK1DJohnson – Cole
1:51
PK2DNemeth – Girard
0:00

Current COL line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Callahan – Paquette – Joseph
12:1259% CF
L2Johnson – Kucherov – Point
10:5438% CF
L3Killorn – Miller – Cirelli
9:0278% CF
L4Stamkos – Palat – Gourde
8:5857% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
14:3431% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
13:3467% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
13:3352% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Gourde – Point
2:11100% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Palat – Miller – Sergachev
1:13100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:05
PK2FCallahan – Joseph
0:59
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:09
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:46

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:05
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman)slap0.11 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Nieto, CompherTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Point
COL 0 – 1 TBL
13:15
TBLSteven Stamkosbackhand0.04 xG
COL: Cole, Barrie, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, KamenevTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Cernak
COL 0 – 2 TBL
14:14
COLNathan MacKinnon (Gabriel Landeskog, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.10 xG
COL: Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenTBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
COL 1 – 2 TBL
16:26
TBLTyler Johnson (Brayden Point, Dan Girardi)wrist0.09 xG
COL: Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenTBL: Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
COL 1 – 3 TBL

2nd period

2:00
TBLAlex Killorn (Yanni Gourde, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.18 xG
COL: Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Barrie, JostTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, Sergachev
COL 1 – 4 TBL
7:59
TBLOndrej Palat (Steven Stamkos, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Soderberg, Calvert, Nemeth, Nieto, ZadorovTBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev
COL 1 – 5 TBL
10:01
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Braydon Coburn)wrist0.15 xG
COL: Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, CompherTBL: Coburn, Killorn, Miller, Cirelli, Sergachev
COL 1 – 6 TBL

3rd period

3:29
TBLOndrej PalatPP (Tyler Johnson, J.T. Miller)wrist0.12 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Calvert, CompherTBL: Killorn, Johnson, Palat, Miller, Sergachev
COL 1 – 7 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.52	1	0	0	19:38	—	—	59	45
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.29	0	0	0	18:19	—	—	60	52
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	3	1	0	17:06	—	—	57	49
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	1	1	2	16:53	—	—	27	14
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:50	—	—	36	10
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	1	2	0	14:31	—	—	33	42
Carl Soderberg C	L3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.78	2	0	0	17:04	—	—	43	65
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.55	0	0	0	13:58	—	—	62	80
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	2	0	0	12:29	—	—	48	59
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	1	0	0	14:45	—	—	47	19
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	0	0	0	12:31	—	—	41	24
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:18	—	—	20	5
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	-4	2	0.11	2	5	0	22:13	—	—	51	64
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.03	0	2	0	21:07	—	—	44	67
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:12	—	—	43	25
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	2	0	20:55	—	—	44	26
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	0	15:48	—	—	50	34
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	7	0	4	13:58	—	—	52	31

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer	—	15	13	2	.867	1.84	32:01
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	23	18	5	.783	2.02	27:59

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	15:57	—	—	48	76
Cedric Paquette C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	1	2	15:05	—	—	52	84
Ryan Callahan R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	3	0	0	14:03	—	—	59	85
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.55	1	2	0	18:17	—	—	33	33
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.15	2	0	0	18:02	—	—	35	37
Tyler Johnson C	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	14:00	—	—	44	42
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	+2	4	0.61	1	0	0	14:14	—	—	76	95
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	1	0	0	12:46	—	—	74	94
J.T. Miller C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.24	2	0	0	11:27	—	—	75	94
Steven Stamkos C	L4	2	2	4	+3	2	0.15	1	1	2	15:36	—	—	54	34
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	1	1	+3	0	0.23	0	1	2	15:03	—	—	52	36
Ondrej Palat L	L4	2	0	2	+2	4	0.35	1	0	0	13:06	—	—	54	31
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:00	—	—	33	22
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	6	0	0	19:36	—	—	35	30
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.25	1	2	0	22:09	—	—	67	68
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.27	3	2	0	18:51	—	—	65	62
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	1	1	+3	2	0.09	4	0	0	19:26	—	—	58	56
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.07	0	2	0	16:22	—	—	53	49

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.76	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.