Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 19, 2019

FinalSaturday, Oct 19, 2019· Amalie Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

6

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	3	2	6		COL	6	10	8	24
TBL	1	0	1	2		TBL	12	16	18	46

: COL 43TBL 66
: COL 2.16TBL 2.80
PP goals: COL 0TBL 0
Hits: COL 18TBL 26
Blocks: COL 15TBL 8
PIM: COL 18TBL 18
: COL 46%TBL 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2 at TBL. Tyson Jost (COL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. Pavel Francouz (COL) faced 46 shots and stopped 44 (.957), +16 against a season average of 30.2; the win.

Points
Tyson Jost had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 10:58.Jost
Points
Colin Wilson had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 9:48.Wilson
Points
J.T. Compher had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:06.Compher
Points
Kevin Shattenkirk had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:14.Shattenkirk
Goalie
Pavel Francouz (COL) faced 46 shots and stopped 44 (.957), +16 against a season average of 30.2; the win.Francouz
Luck
COL scored 6 goals on 2.16 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Cale Makar (COL) played 14:46, −6:21 down on his 21:07 season average over 56 games.Makar
Usage
J.T. Compher (COL) played 13:06, −3:42 down on his 16:48 season average over 66 games.Compher

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · TBL 66 · COL 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 23% of the game, TBL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TBL
	44	65
	2.20	2.50
	2.17	2.40
	6	13
	7	4
	17	8
	−0.018	+0.018
	23%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
15:1852% CF
L2Kadri – Donskoi – Burakovsky
11:5922% CF
L3Calvert – Nieto – Bellemare
9:0738% CF
L4Wilson – Compher – Jost
8:1553% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
14:4045% CF
D2Cole – Graves
14:2538% CF
D3Zadorov – Makar
12:4035% CF

PP1Kadri – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Girard
1:30100% CF
PP2Wilson – Donskoi – Burakovsky – Jost – Makar
0:53
PK1FNieto – Compher
1:16
PK2FCalvert – Bellemare
0:33
PK1DJohnson – Graves
0:52

Current COL line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
12:2950% CF
L2Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
5:5150% CF
L3Johnson – Palat – Gourde
5:3180% CF
D1Coburn – Sergachev
11:3683% CF
D2Shattenkirk – McDonagh
11:2633% CF
D3Hedman – Cernak
9:0650% CF

PP1Maroon – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
1:43100% CF
PP2Killorn – Shattenkirk – Johnson – Gourde – Sergachev
0:30
PK1FStamkos – Cirelli
1:03
PK2FKillorn – Palat
0:45
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:30
PK2DShattenkirk – Hedman
0:45

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:09
COLTyson Jost (Samuel Girard, Colin Wilson)wrist0.14 xG
COL: Wilson, Compher, Zadorov, Jost, GirardTBL: Shattenkirk, Maroon, McDonagh, Witkowski, Verhaeghe
COL 1 – 0 TBL
17:35
TBLYanni Gourde (Ryan McDonagh, Kevin Shattenkirk)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen, MakarTBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Gourde, Cirelli
COL 1 – 1 TBL

2nd period

3:17
COLTyson Jost (J.T. Compher, Colin Wilson)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Cole, Wilson, Graves, Compher, JostTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev
COL 2 – 1 TBL
5:48
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon, Ian Cole)tip-in0.08 xG
COL: Cole, Landeskog, Graves, MacKinnon, RantanenTBL: Coburn, Killorn, McDonagh, Joseph, Cirelli
COL 3 – 1 TBL
6:06
COLTyson Jost (J.T. Compher, Colin Wilson)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Compher, Jost, GirardTBL: Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point
COL 4 – 1 TBL

3rd period

6:30
COLNazem Kadri (Cale Makar)wrist0.15 xG
COL: Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Zadorov, MakarTBL: Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point
COL 5 – 1 TBL
11:48
TBLVictor Hedman (Kevin Shattenkirk, Alex Killorn)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Landeskog, Graves, Compher, Jost, GirardTBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, Hedman, Point, Joseph
COL 5 – 2 TBL
14:27
COLMikko Rantanenbackhand0.08 xG
COL: Cole, Landeskog, Graves, MacKinnon, RantanenTBL: Shattenkirk, Maroon, Witkowski, Hedman, Verhaeghe
COL 6 – 2 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.28	3	0	0	20:36	—	—	53	57
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	1	0	0	18:22	—	—	47	44
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.18	1	0	4	18:14	—	—	46	43
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	2	16:52	—	—	27	32
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	15:44	—	—	27	32
Joonas Donskoi R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	0	1	0	14:49	—	—	25	35
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	13:32	—	—	47	59
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	1	0	0	12:44	—	—	43	54
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	10	10:44	—	—	43	49
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	47	60
Tyson Jost C	L4	3	0	3	+2	3	0.38	2	0	0	10:58	—	—	38	45
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	3	3	+3	1	0.08	0	0	0	9:48	—	—	47	57
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	0	2	0	22:50	—	—	41	56
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	2	3	0	22:36	—	—	57	65
Ryan Graves D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	3	0	20:01	—	—	36	32
Ian Cole D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.04	0	1	0	19:39	—	—	39	41
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	2	17:56	—	—	37	51
Cale Makar D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	3	0	14:46	—	—	35	43

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	46	44	2	.957	2.80	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	18:03	—	—	59	61
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	1	2	17:54	—	—	52	61
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	1	0	13:54	—	—	59	65
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.19	1	1	0	18:23	—	—	52	48
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-2	7	0.41	2	0	0	17:30	—	—	46	35
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.45	1	0	0	17:01	—	—	54	36
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	3	0	0	15:19	—	—	71	65
Ondrej Palat L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	2	0	2	14:35	—	—	68	48
Yanni Gourde C	L3	1	0	1	0	5	0.18	0	1	0	13:36	—	—	71	69
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	1	0	0	18:46	—	—	80	66
Braydon Coburn D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	0	2	16:06	—	—	70	65
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	0	2	2	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	21:14	—	—	44	42
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	1	1	-4	1	0.02	2	1	0	20:08	—	—	38	29
Victor Hedman D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.23	1	0	5	22:59	—	—	64	68
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	2	5	18:17	—	—	55	62
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	1	1	0	11:13	—	—	59	60
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	-2	2	0.11	2	0	2	9:17	—	—	57	55
Carter Verhaeghe C	—	0	0	0	-2	3	0.24	0	0	0	8:51	—	—	57	55

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	24	18	6	.750	2.16	59:29

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.