Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 23, 2021

Final / SOSaturday, Oct 23, 2021· Amalie Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
COL	1	1	1	0	1	4		COL	6	10	6	5	27
TBL	0	1	2	0	0	3		TBL	12	12	7	1	32

: COL 51TBL 56
: COL 3.17TBL 2.89
PP goals: COL 1TBL 0
Hits: COL 32TBL 43
Blocks: COL 7TBL 12
PIM: COL 8TBL 14
: COL 48%TBL 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 (SO)

Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 in a shootout at TBL. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. COL's first power-play unit (Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 5:43 together.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 25:26.MacKinnon
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:46.Landeskog
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:53.Stamkos
Points
Cale Makar had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 28:29.Makar
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 5:43 together.Landeskog Compher MacKinnon Rantanen Makar
Usage
Gabriel Landeskog (COL) played 24:46, +4:32 up on his 20:14 season average over 50 games.Landeskog
Usage
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) played 25:26, +4:26 up on his 21:00 season average over 64 games.MacKinnon
Usage
Mikko Rantanen (COL) played 24:43, +3:47 up on his 20:56 season average over 74 games.Rantanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · TBL 56 · COL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 33% of the game, TBL 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TBL
	34	46
	1.42	1.88
	1.39	1.83
	6	7
	1	4
	5	2
	−0.022	+0.022
	33%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
13:4537% CF
L2Kadri – Burakovsky – Compher
4:320% CF
L3Helm – Jost – O'Connor
3:0067% CF
L4Megna – Maltsev – Ranta
0:00
D1Makar – Byram
13:5330% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
10:1837% CF
D3Johnson – Murray
9:4213% CF

PP1Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
5:4392% CF
PP2Kadri – Burakovsky – Jost – Girard – Maltsev
3:23100% CF
PK1FJost – O'Connor
2:12
PK2FHelm – Compher
1:18
PK1DJohnson – Murray
2:18
PK2DJohnson – Girard
0:44

Current COL line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Point
11:2950% CF
L2Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
9:5775% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Colton
7:3358% CF
L4Bellemare – Katchouk – Raddysh
5:3967% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
12:1371% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
8:5838% CF
D3Sustr – Sergachev
5:5367% CF

PP1Perry – Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Point
3:2980% CF
PP2Maroon – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev – Colton
1:4767% CF
PK1FBellemare – Joseph
2:22
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:41
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:52
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
2:30

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:02
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon, Bowen Byram)wrist0.14 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, ByramTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli
COL 1 – 0 TBL

2nd period

6:34
TBLMathieu Joseph (Anthony Cirelli, Alex Killorn)backhand0.16 xG
COL: Helm, Burakovsky, Maltsev, Makar, ByramTBL: Killorn, Sustr, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev
COL 1 – 1 TBL
11:51
COLMikko Rantanen (Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar)snap0.03 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, MakarTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak
COL 2 – 1 TBL

3rd period

3:44
TBLSteven Stamkos (Ondrej Palat, Ryan McDonagh)tip-in0.04 xG
COL: Helm, Johnson, Girard, Maltsev, RantaTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak
COL 2 – 2 TBL
9:50
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Cale Makar, Gabriel Landeskog)slap0.04 xG
COL: Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Bellemare, Cernak
COL 3 – 2 TBL
17:25
TBLBrayden Point (Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.09 xG
COL: Johnson, Kadri, Compher, Jost, GirardTBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Cirelli
COL 3 – 3 TBL

Decided in the shootout: COL 4 – 3 TBL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.28	2	1	0	25:26	—	—	41	50
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.65	5	1	0	24:46	—	—	42	50
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	+2	6	0.71	1	0	2	24:43	—	—	44	50
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.39	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	44	42
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.18	1	2	0	20:36	—	—	42	25
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:43	—	—	31	18
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	2	16:34	—	—	73	59
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	59	66
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.39	1	0	0	10:12	—	—	38	36
Jayson Megna C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	5	1	0	7:10	—	—	36	55
Mikhail Maltsev L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	0	0	6:42	—	—	43	17
Sampo Ranta L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	6:27	—	—	38	43
Cale Makar D	D1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.04	3	0	0	28:29	—	—	39	49
Bowen Byram D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.11	2	1	0	18:59	—	—	46	58
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	23:16	—	—	40	40
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	3	1	2	17:39	—	—	52	46
Ryan Murray D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:33	—	—	27	28
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:25	—	—	11	15

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	2.89	65:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.07	1	2	0	21:53	—	—	54	50
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.60	2	0	0	20:52	—	—	50	48
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	5	0	2	17:50	—	—	52	41
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	6	21:01	—	—	58	63
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.22	3	2	0	19:37	—	—	75	60
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.16	3	0	0	17:27	—	—	63	63
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.70	1	0	0	12:33	—	—	60	67
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	11:18	—	—	63	57
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	10:18	—	—	67	63
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	2	0	15:03	—	—	50	79
Taylor Raddysh R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:39	—	—	63	68
Boris Katchouk L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	5	0	0	7:24	—	—	67	78
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.14	1	1	0	22:24	—	—	71	68
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	7	0.18	7	0	0	21:31	—	—	76	72
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.29	4	3	2	28:08	—	—	42	37
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	1	0	12:35	—	—	39	23
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	2	1	2	23:52	—	—	53	74
Andrej Sustr D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	0	0	10:48	—	—	61	64

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	27	24	3	.889	3.17	64:42

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.