Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay LightningJun 26, 2022

FinalPlayoffsSunday, Jun 26, 2022· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	2	0	2		COL	8	13	9	30
TBL	1	0	0	1		TBL	10	9	4	23

: COL 65TBL 51
: COL 3.59TBL 1.96
PP goals: COL 0TBL 0
Hits: COL 37TBL 40
Blocks: COL 19TBL 19
PIM: COL 2TBL 2
: COL 47%TBL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 at TBL. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Bowen Byram (COL) played 25:48, +6:47 up on his 19:01 season average over 19 games.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:29.MacKinnon
Usage
Bowen Byram (COL) played 25:48, +6:47 up on his 19:01 season average over 19 games.Byram
New line
New look for COL: Compher–Sturm–Newhook skated 4:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Compher Sturm Newhook
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 12:47, −6:46 down on his 19:33 season average over 22 games.Cirelli
Luck
COL scored 2 goals on 3.59 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 20:17, +3:27 up on his 16:50 season average over 22 games.Palat
Usage
J.T. Compher (COL) played 8:54, −5:02 down on his 13:56 season average over 19 games.Compher
Usage
Ross Colton (TBL) played 9:14, −4:05 down on his 13:19 season average over 22 games.Colton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · TBL 51 · COL 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 45% of the game, TBL 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TBL
	72	53
	3.82	1.90
	3.50	1.84
	17	10
	5	7
	35	29
	−0.030	+0.030
	45%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
13:5067% CF
L2Kadri – Landeskog – Nichushkin
13:2358% CF
L3Cogliano – Helm – O'Connor
5:1633% CF
L4Compher – Sturm – Newhook
4:1943% CF
D1Toews – Makar
14:3052% CF
D2Johnson – Byram
9:5750% CF
D3Johnson – Manson
4:2150% CF

PP1Kadri – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
1:2967% CF
PP2Compher – Lehkonen – Nichushkin – Toews – Byram
0:27100% CF
PK1FCogliano – Helm
1:06
PK2FNichushkin – O'Connor
0:30
PK1DJohnson – Toews
1:16
PK2DJohnson – Manson
0:30

Current COL line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov
14:4948% CF
L2Killorn – Paul – Hagel
8:1717% CF
L3Maroon – Nash – Bellemare
8:1529% CF
L4Perry – Cirelli – Colton
3:5367% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:4633% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
9:5462% CF
D3Bogosian – Sergachev
9:0164% CF

PP1Perry – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov
1:02100% CF
PP2Killorn – Maroon – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
0:45100% CF
PK1FPaul – Cirelli
1:05
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
0:36
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
1:09
PK2DHedman – Rutta
0:47

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:48
TBLSteven Stamkos (Ondrej Palat)wrist0.23 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, MakarTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Cernak
COL 0 – 1 TBL

2nd period

1:54
COLNathan MacKinnon (Bowen Byram, Gabriel Landeskog)snap0.12 xG
COL: Manson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, ByramTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Hagel
COL 1 – 1 TBL
12:28
COLArtturi Lehkonen (Nathan MacKinnon, Josh Manson)snap0.13 xG
COL: Johnson, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, RantanenTBL: Maroon, Nash, McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak
COL 2 – 1 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+1	7	0.44	2	2	0	22:29	—	—	70	66
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.26	1	1	0	21:02	—	—	70	65
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.28	3	0	0	19:07	—	—	69	66
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.53	2	0	0	22:50	—	—	59	78
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.37	3	3	0	21:58	—	—	64	80
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.66	1	1	0	18:57	—	—	55	77
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	4	0	0	10:09	—	—	31	55
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	4	0	0	9:56	—	—	54	41
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	2	0	9:34	—	—	47	58
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:54	—	—	38	27
Alex Newhook C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	8:12	—	—	35	26
Nico Sturm C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:43	—	—	33	5
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	2	0	25:56	—	—	53	56
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	1	2	24:21	—	—	59	69
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	8	1	0	25:48	—	—	66	72
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:51	—	—	48	55
Josh Manson D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.22	1	3	0	17:17	—	—	66	82
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	0	0	8:56	—	—	38	58

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	23	22	1	.957	1.96	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	2	0	0	21:31	—	—	50	70
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	0	3	0	21:09	—	—	51	71
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	2	2	0	20:17	—	—	47	68
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	4	2	0	18:16	—	—	30	16
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	0	18:07	—	—	32	12
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	2	0	0	16:31	—	—	30	9
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	2	0	0	12:03	—	—	25	29
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:29	—	—	33	35
Riley Nash C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	3	0	0	10:01	—	—	25	30
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	12:47	—	—	45	7
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	12:25	—	—	64	30
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	3	0	0	9:14	—	—	62	25
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	5	3	2	21:46	—	—	30	24
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	5	1	0	19:41	—	—	29	28
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	2	1	0	24:09	—	—	50	29
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	53	30
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	3	3	0	23:34	—	—	49	51
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	2	0	11:47	—	—	48	51

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	30	28	2	.933	3.59	57:53

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.