Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 9, 2023

FinalThursday, Feb 9, 2023· Amalie Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

0

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	0	0	0		COL	9	15	6	30
TBL	1	3	1	5		TBL	15	10	7	32

: COL 60TBL 63
: COL 3.40TBL 4.31
PP goals: COL 0TBL 2
Hits: COL 34TBL 30
Blocks: COL 17TBL 17
PIM: COL 24TBL 14
: COL 31%TBL 69%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Colorado Avalanche 5–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Colorado Avalanche 5–0 at home. Brandon Hagel (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point and Hagel) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 2:19 together.

Points
Brandon Hagel had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:05.Hagel
Points
Alex Killorn had 3 assists (3 points) in 18:03.Killorn
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:16.Point
Points
Anthony Cirelli had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:31.Cirelli
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point and Hagel) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 2:19 together.Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point Hagel
Luck
COL scored 0 goals on 3.40 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Corey Perry (TBL) played 16:32, +5:02 up on his 11:30 season average over 80 games.Perry
New line
New look for TBL: Perry–Namestnikov–Colton skated 10:15 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perry Namestnikov Colton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · TBL 63 · COL 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 25% of the game, TBL 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TBL
	59	61
	3.12	2.67
	3.00	2.56
	8	14
	6	10
	13	14
	−0.205	+0.205
	25%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Cogliano – O'Connor – Newhook
7:2333% CF
L2Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
7:0533% CF
L3Compher – Nichushkin – Rodrigues
2:4275% CF
D1Toews – Girard
9:5856% CF
D2Johnson – Byram
6:2350% CF
D3Hunt – Englund
2:4967% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Toews – Rantanen
3:05100% CF
PP2Compher – Rodrigues – Girard – Byram – Newhook
0:50100% CF
PK1FCogliano – O'Connor
1:20
PK2FCompher – Nichushkin
1:09
PK1DJohnson – Toews
2:25
PK2DGirard – Byram
0:48

Current COL line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
13:0144% CF
L2Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
11:0257% CF
L3Perry – Namestnikov – Colton
10:1556% CF
D1Cernak – Sergachev
15:2255% CF
D2Hedman – Foote
8:3930% CF
D3Cole – Perbix
6:3440% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
2:19100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Cirelli – Sergachev – Colton
1:10100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
2:00
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
1:15
PK1DCole – Cernak
1:23
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
0:19

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:15
TBLCorey PerryPP (Anthony Cirelli, Alex Killorn)backhand0.04 xG
COL: Johnson, Compher, Nichushkin, ToewsTBL: Perry, Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Colton
COL 0 – 1 TBL

2nd period

8:32
TBLBrandon Hagel (Anthony Cirelli, Alex Killorn)wrist0.19 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, GirardTBL: Killorn, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel
COL 0 – 2 TBL
10:29
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel)other0.32 xG
COL: Johnson, Compher, Nichushkin, ToewsTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel
COL 0 – 3 TBL
18:07
TBLBrandon Hagel (Alex Killorn)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Johnson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, ByramTBL: Killorn, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel
COL 0 – 4 TBL

3rd period

5:44
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Brayden Point, Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)wrist0.03 xG
COL: Hunt, Lehkonen, Malgin, Byram, NewhookTBL: Maroon, Bellemare, Point, Cernak, Sergachev
COL 0 – 5 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Newhook C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	0	17:22	—	—	50	40
Logan O'Connor R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	5	13:09	—	—	27	8
Andrew Cogliano C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:04	—	—	41	57
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.36	0	1	0	21:25	—	—	53	52
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.38	0	3	10	20:33	—	—	57	57
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.39	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	37	36
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.45	0	0	0	21:46	—	—	53	61
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	2	0	0	20:11	—	—	49	63
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.37	1	2	0	13:12	—	—	66	87
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	23:56	—	—	48	59
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	2	0	22:44	—	—	59	63
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	3	0	4	19:25	—	—	53	60
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	2	2	0	16:23	—	—	36	49
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	2	1	0	12:55	—	—	48	44
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	5	1	0	8:39	—	—	50	58
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	5	1	5	12:47	—	—	41	34
Matt Nieto L	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	2	0	0	10:42	—	—	35	48
Denis Malgin C	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	0	0	0	9:18	—	—	40	54

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	L	32	27	5	.844	4.31	59:44

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.72	2	2	0	18:36	—	—	40	37
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	1.03	1	1	0	18:16	—	—	44	36
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	18:01	—	—	43	38
Brandon Hagel L	L2	2	1	3	+2	5	0.68	1	2	0	19:05	—	—	58	55
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	3	3	+2	0	0.12	2	0	0	18:03	—	—	57	55
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:31	—	—	50	60
Corey Perry R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.33	0	1	0	16:32	—	—	48	44
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	0	5	14:55	—	—	52	47
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	1	0	0	13:15	—	—	57	54
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	1	0	1	+3	4	0.15	3	1	2	21:43	—	—	55	55
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+3	3	0.24	7	2	0	21:30	—	—	49	50
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	3	0	21:40	—	—	39	21
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	2	0	0	13:42	—	—	40	45
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	5	1	2	18:22	—	—	47	41
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	10:02	—	—	60	46
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	—	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:44	—	—	65	46
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	2	1	5	11:40	—	—	61	49
Zach Bogosian D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	10:21	—	—	68	53

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	30	30	0	.1000	3.40	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.