Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 22, 2018

FinalMonday, Jan 22, 2018· Air Canada Centre

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	2	4		COL	11	10	6	27
TOR	0	2	0	2		TOR	9	13	9	31

: COL 46TOR 64
: COL 4.38TOR 3.84
PP goals: COL 0TOR 0
Hits: COL 26TOR 26
Blocks: COL 16TOR 4
PIM: COL 6TOR 0
: COL 37%TOR 63%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2 at TOR. Gabriel Bourque (COL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Alexander Kerfoot (COL) played 8:57, −4:33 down on his 13:30 season average over 78 games.

Usage
Alexander Kerfoot (COL) played 8:57, −4:33 down on his 13:30 season average over 78 games.Kerfoot
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 3.84 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
J.T. Compher (COL) played 12:16, −3:47 down on his 16:03 season average over 68 games.Compher
Usage
Jake Gardiner (TOR) played 26:26, +3:57 up on his 22:29 season average over 81 games.Gardiner
Usage
Tyson Jost (COL) played 11:15, −3:26 down on his 14:41 season average over 64 games.Jost
Usage
Connor Carrick (TOR) played 20:31, +5:30 up on his 15:01 season average over 46 games.Carrick
Usage
Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 23:41, +4:16 up on his 19:25 season average over 76 games.Zadorov
Usage
Travis Dermott (TOR) played 20:20, +4:28 up on his 15:52 season average over 36 games.Dermott

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · TOR 64 · COL 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 25% of the game, TOR 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TOR
	52	62
	3.18	2.96
	3.04	2.84
	7	8
	2	4
	28	18
	−0.128	+0.128
	25%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
16:3357% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
13:1624% CF
L3Bourque – Compher – Jost
9:0641% CF
L4Yakupov – Toninato – Kerfoot
7:2064% CF
D1Johnson – Zadorov
16:1427% CF
D2Barberio – Nemeth
12:4358% CF
D3Lindholm – Girard
8:0638% CF

PK1FBourque – Compher
1:00
PK2FLandeskog – MacKinnon
0:32
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
2:49

Current COL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
13:0938% CF
L2Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:4974% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
12:0782% CF
L4Martin – Gauthier – Marner
6:0829% CF
D1Hainsey – Gardiner
18:4850% CF
D2Carrick – Dermott
16:5271% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
10:2453% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Gardiner – Bozak – Kadri – Marner
1:49100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Gardiner – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:09100% CF

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:19
COLGabriel Bourque (Tyson Jost, J.T. Compher)wrist0.05 xG
COL: Bourque, Yakupov, Lindholm, Jost, GirardTOR: Polak, Martin, Gauthier, Marner, Borgman
COL 1 – 0 TOR

2nd period

0:19
TORPatrick Marleau (Leo Komarov, Jake Gardiner)slap0.04 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri
COL 1 – 1 TOR
9:17
TORAuston Matthews (William Nylander, Andreas Borgman)wrist0.02 xG
COL: Bourque, Nemeth, Compher, Lindholm, JostTOR: Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
COL 1 – 2 TOR
10:51
COLNail Yakupov (Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.06 xG
COL: Barberio, Nemeth, Yakupov, Toninato, KerfootTOR: Polak, Martin, Gauthier, Marner, Borgman
COL 2 – 2 TOR

3rd period

12:17
COLBlake Comeau (Carl Soderberg, Erik Johnson)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Nieto, Lindholm, GirardTOR: Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
COL 3 – 2 TOR
19:06
COLGabriel LandeskogEN (Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.96 xG
COL: Johnson, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
COL 4 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	1	1	0	20:39	—	—	55	64
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	1.01	1	0	0	20:15	—	—	58	66
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.28	0	0	0	19:21	—	—	55	70
Blake Comeau L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	1.00	3	0	2	18:25	—	—	23	21
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:06	—	—	24	25
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	2	1	2	16:42	—	—	24	25
Gabriel Bourque L	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.51	2	0	0	13:31	—	—	39	57
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.24	1	1	0	12:16	—	—	41	66
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	11:15	—	—	41	58
Nail Yakupov R	L4	1	0	1	+2	2	0.11	1	0	0	9:05	—	—	71	76
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	2	0	0	8:57	—	—	67	70
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	1	0	0	7:52	—	—	64	68
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	3	5	0	27:46	—	—	31	39
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	23:41	—	—	38	48
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	1	1	0	20:38	—	—	56	59
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	1	2	2	19:48	—	—	57	68
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	1	2	0	13:39	—	—	55	67
Anton Lindholm D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	13:04	—	—	39	39

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	3.84	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nazem Kadri C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	18:56	—	—	42	31
Patrick Marleau C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	40	29
Leo Komarov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	4	0	0	15:49	—	—	35	27
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.24	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	72	51
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.55	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	72	55
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	16:45	—	—	66	44
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.83	1	0	0	17:35	—	—	83	72
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	1.00	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	79	72
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	15:59	—	—	78	71
Mitch Marner R	L4	0	0	0	-3	2	0.17	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	30	31
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:53	—	—	30	33
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.11	1	0	0	7:15	—	—	33	31
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	26:26	—	—	48	43
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	6	0	0	21:19	—	—	44	35
Connor Carrick D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.16	0	1	0	20:31	—	—	69	64
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.17	2	1	0	20:20	—	—	65	60
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	3	0	0	13:49	—	—	46	29
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:36	—	—	50	29

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	2.67	57:59

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.