Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 14, 2019

FinalMonday, Jan 14, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	3	3	6		COL	13	18	7	38
TOR	0	2	1	3		TOR	5	8	7	20

: COL 66TOR 42
: COL 2.83TOR 1.68
PP goals: COL 0TOR 0
Hits: COL 25TOR 13
Blocks: COL 14TOR 14
PIM: COL 6TOR 6
: COL 39%TOR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at TOR. Carl Soderberg (COL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. COL scored 6 goals on 2.84 expected goals (66 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Carl Soderberg had a hat trick (3 points) on 5 shots in 16:22.Soderberg
Points
Auston Matthews had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:27.Matthews
Luck
COL scored 6 goals on 2.84 expected goals (66 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Soderberg–Wilson–Compher skated 8:14 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Soderberg Wilson Compher
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +3 against a season average of 32.6; the loss.Andersen
New line
New look for COL: Calvert–Nieto–Kerfoot skated 8:02 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (64.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Calvert Nieto Kerfoot
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 14:35, −5:22 down on his 19:57 season average over 81 games.Girard
Usage
Tyson Jost (COL) played 7:47, −5:18 down on his 13:05 season average over 69 games.Jost

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · TOR 42 · COL 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 39% of the game, TOR 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TOR
	64	40
	1.68	1.39
	1.65	1.34
	5	4
	5	1
	12	11
	−0.044	+0.044
	39%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
15:3171% CF
L2Soderberg – Wilson – Compher
8:1464% CF
L3Calvert – Nieto – Kerfoot
8:0264% CF
L4Andrighetto – Jost – Dries
6:5642% CF
D1Cole – Barrie
10:5943% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
9:1074% CF
D3Barberio – Zadorov
7:1656% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:15100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Girard
0:41100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
1:19
PK2FCalvert – Compher
1:06
PK1DCole – Barberio
1:51

Current COL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
12:0736% CF
L2Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
8:5542% CF
L3Brown – Gauthier – Lindholm
7:0350% CF
L4Marleau – Kadri – Nylander
6:1450% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
14:0228% CF
D2Dermott – Ozhiganov
8:5475% CF
D3Gardiner – Zaitsev
8:2212% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Kapanen – Marner
2:0475% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
1:24100% CF
PK1FHyman – Kapanen
1:11
PK2FMarner – Lindholm
0:42
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:14
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:42

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:14
TORIgor Ozhiganov (Morgan Rielly, Auston Matthews)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Kerfoot, GirardTOR: Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Ozhiganov
COL 0 – 1 TOR
3:28
TORKasperi Kapanen (Andreas Johnsson)wrist0.37 xG
COL: Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Kerfoot, GirardTOR: Gardiner, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev
COL 0 – 2 TOR
6:33
COLGabriel Landeskog (Tyson Barrie)deflected0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenTOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
COL 1 – 2 TOR
9:56
COLMikko Rantanenwrist0.08 xG
COL: Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardTOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
COL 2 – 2 TOR
14:29
COLCarl SoderbergSHwrist0.27 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Barberio, NietoTOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Kapanen, Marner, Matthews
COL 3 – 2 TOR

3rd period

6:00
TORMitch Marner (Travis Dermott, Auston Matthews)wrist0.07 xG
COL: Barberio, Barrie, Andrighetto, Jost, DriesTOR: Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Ozhiganov
COL 3 – 3 TOR
11:45
COLCarl Soderberg (J.T. Compher, Colin Wilson)snap0.12 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Wilson, CompherTOR: Marleau, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Zaitsev
COL 4 – 3 TOR
17:09
COLMatt CalvertENwrist0.43 xG
COL: Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Nieto, KerfootTOR: Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Dermott, Marner, Matthews
COL 5 – 3 TOR
18:12
COLCarl SoderbergEN (Ian Cole)wrist0.39 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Calvert, NietoTOR: Marleau, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
COL 6 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	+2	4	0.28	0	0	2	21:15	—	—	72	69
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	+2	7	0.25	2	2	0	20:57	—	—	71	62
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.17	0	0	0	20:42	—	—	71	64
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	0	1	0	17:10	—	—	59	79
Carl Soderberg C	L2	3	0	3	+2	5	0.90	1	0	0	16:22	—	—	55	60
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	4	1	0	12:36	—	—	60	61
Matt Calvert L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.44	2	0	0	15:18	—	—	60	27
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.15	0	0	0	14:54	—	—	53	27
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	60	26
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	1	0	9:36	—	—	53	62
Sheldon Dries C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:18	—	—	50	64
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	1	0	7:47	—	—	42	56
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	21:37	—	—	54	47
Ian Cole D	D1	0	1	1	+3	3	0.03	1	2	0	20:34	—	—	54	69
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	5	0.13	2	2	0	23:53	—	—	66	53
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	14:35	—	—	76	52
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	7	1	4	20:05	—	—	62	69
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	15:42	—	—	53	41

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	20	17	3	.850	1.68	59:57

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	-3	2	0.16	0	1	0	21:09	—	—	36	26
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-4	0	0.13	0	0	2	19:26	—	—	32	33
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	2	16:08	—	—	32	29
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	2	2	-2	2	0.31	1	2	0	20:27	—	—	35	51
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.40	0	1	0	16:48	—	—	44	67
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.19	0	1	0	15:42	—	—	48	63
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:23	—	—	33	0
Par Lindholm C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	3	0	9:27	—	—	63	95
Frederik Gauthier C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:35	—	—	43	0
William Nylander R	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	38	50
Patrick Marleau C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:55	—	—	39	42
Nazem Kadri C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	1	0	0	12:55	—	—	37	49
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.09	0	0	0	22:32	—	—	32	25
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	2	0	21:35	—	—	32	19
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	1	1	-3	2	0.03	0	0	2	20:08	—	—	64	56
Igor Ozhiganov D	D2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.02	1	1	0	14:31	—	—	63	85
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	5	1	0	19:36	—	—	24	48
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	18:07	—	—	22	68

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	36	32	4	.889	2.02	59:22

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.