Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 19, 2025

FinalWednesday, Mar 19, 2025· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	0	1		COL	13	15	11	39
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	5	10	11	26

: COL 79TOR 55
: COL 3.09TOR 4.10
PP goals: COL 1TOR 1
Hits: COL 20TOR 21
Blocks: COL 12TOR 19
PIM: COL 6TOR 6
: COL 42%TOR 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Colorado Avalanche 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Colorado Avalanche 2–1 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. COL's first power-play unit (MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:22 together.

PP1
COL's first power-play unit (MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:22 together.MacKinnon Drouin Nichushkin Necas Makar
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 1:06 together.Tavares Nylander Marner Matthews Knies
New line
New look for COL: Nelson–MacKinnon–Nichushkin skated 10:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nelson MacKinnon Nichushkin
New line
New look for COL: Coyle–Lehkonen–Necas skated 6:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (85.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Coyle Lehkonen Necas
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 39 shots and stopped 38 (.974), +10 against a season average of 29.0; the win.Woll
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.10 expected goals (55 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
COL scored 1 goal on 3.09 expected goals (79 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Drouin–Colton–Drury skated 4:37 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Drouin Colton Drury

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 134 of 134 attempts · TOR 55 · COL 79

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 49% of the game, TOR 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TOR
	77	52
	2.79	3.02
	2.67	2.84
	17	14
	1	8
	26	30
	−0.046	+0.047
	49%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Nelson – MacKinnon – Nichushkin
10:4663% CF
L2Coyle – Lehkonen – Necas
6:4786% CF
L3Drouin – Colton – Drury
4:3750% CF
L4Kelly – O'Connor – Kiviranta
3:1357% CF
D1Toews – Makar
16:0353% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
12:1166% CF
D3Lindgren – Malinski
11:5350% CF

PP1MacKinnon – Drouin – Nichushkin – Necas – Makar
2:2260% CF
PP2Coyle – Nelson – Lehkonen – Toews – Colton
0:3850% CF
PK1FCoyle – Lehkonen
0:38
PK2FKelly – O'Connor
0:28
PK1DToews – Lindgren
0:38

Current COL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
13:3152% CF
L2Domi – Robertson – McMann
6:0022% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Laughton – Lorentz
4:330% CF
L4Tavares – Nylander – Holmberg
4:0933% CF
D1Tanev – McCabe
13:3248% CF
D2Rielly – Carlo
11:5543% CF
D3Ekman-Larsson – Benoit
9:2035% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Knies
1:0671% CF
PK1FMarner – Matthews
1:28
PK2FLorentz – Knies
0:32
PK1DTanev – McCabe
2:26
PK2DCarlo – Benoit
0:29

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:28
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Mitch Marner, John Tavares)wrist0.05 xG
COL: Toews, Makar, Kelly, O'ConnorTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies
COL 0 – 1 TOR
2:48
COLValeri NichushkinPP (Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar)wrist0.12 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas, MakarTOR: Tanev, Laughton, McCabe, Marner
COL 1 – 1 TOR

3rd period

2:53
TORSteven LorentzSH (Simon Benoit)wrist0.03 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas, MakarTOR: Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Knies
COL 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	-1	6	0.64	0	1	0	23:26	—	—	52	50
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.35	2	1	0	22:12	—	—	57	43
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	19:45	—	—	59	57
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	0	0	0	20:42	—	—	65	63
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.37	0	0	2	16:39	—	—	62	56
Charlie Coyle C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	14:32	—	—	83	68
Jonathan Drouin L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	64	40
Jack Drury C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	2	2	2	11:30	—	—	57	31
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	4	0	0	10:33	—	—	61	31
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	4	1	2	9:09	—	—	53	36
Logan O'Connor R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	8:22	—	—	56	50
Joel Kiviranta L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:29	—	—	60	82
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.15	0	4	0	27:20	—	—	55	41
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	24:05	—	—	56	37
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	16:53	—	—	66	60
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	1	0	0	15:48	—	—	66	58
Ryan Lindgren D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	17:17	—	—	57	44
Sam Malinski D	D3	0	0	0	0	6	0.17	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	60	55

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	L	26	24	2	.923	3.22	58:21

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	0	1	0	23:22	—	—	53	70
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	8	1.33	0	2	0	22:02	—	—	53	70
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	1.39	2	1	2	19:29	—	—	55	70
Bobby McMann C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	1	1	0	12:29	—	—	54	81
Max Domi C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	11:23	—	—	35	20
Nick Robertson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	9:31	—	—	26	7
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:11	—	—	14	0
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	11:13	—	—	17	32
Steven Lorentz C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	3	2	0	9:24	—	—	19	7
William Nylander R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	0	0	18:41	—	—	41	48
John Tavares C	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.51	1	2	2	15:36	—	—	44	49
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:39	—	—	36	11
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.24	3	2	0	25:42	—	—	49	65
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	2	0	23:41	—	—	42	62
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:15	—	—	44	49
Brandon Carlo D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	16:08	—	—	40	42
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	20:26	—	—	37	47
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	13:52	—	—	29	51

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	39	38	1	.974	3.09	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Auston Matthews (TOR PP) 2nd 0:28 · assists Mitch Marner, John Tavares · Cycle · 23.2 mph shot.

Auston Matthews · 2nd 0:28 · TOR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 2
Shot: 23.2 mph
Distance: 24 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 2:48 · COL PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 61.3 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 6.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Steven Lorentz · 3rd 2:53 · TOR SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 67.0 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.