Colorado Avalanche vs. Edmonton OilersNov 11, 2018

FinalSunday, Nov 11, 2018· Rogers Place

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	2	2	0	4		COL	12	10	6	28
EDM	0	0	1	1		EDM	9	10	8	27

: COL 40EDM 52
: COL 2.46EDM 1.78
PP goals: COL 1EDM 0
Hits: COL 18EDM 36
Blocks: COL 19EDM 5
PIM: COL 6EDM 4
: COL 49%EDM 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Edmonton Oilers 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Edmonton Oilers 4–1 at EDM. Carl Soderberg (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for COL: Bourque–Nieto–Kamenev skated 7:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Carl Soderberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:32.Soderberg
Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:25.Rantanen
Points
Tyson Barrie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:03.Barrie
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:52.MacKinnon
New line
New look for COL: Bourque–Nieto–Kamenev skated 7:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bourque Nieto Kamenev
Luck
COL scored 4 goals on 2.46 expected goals (40 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Ty Rattie (EDM) played 15:17, +4:01 up on his 11:16 season average over 49 games.Rattie
Usage
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) played 18:52, −3:16 down on his 22:08 season average over 81 games.MacKinnon

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 92 of 92 attempts · EDM 52 · COL 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 26% of the game, EDM 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	EDM
	34	55
	1.66	1.88
	1.58	1.78
	7	8
	2	7
	17	22
	−0.008	+0.008
	26%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:2346% CF
L2Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost
10:1631% CF
L3Soderberg – Calvert – Dries
8:2044% CF
L4Bourque – Nieto – Kamenev
7:1645% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
14:0957% CF
D2Nemeth – Zadorov
12:0424% CF
D3Cole – Barrie
11:4240% CF

PP1Wilson – Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
2:24100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Kerfoot – Kamenev – Jost – Girard
1:25100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
2:19
PK2FBourque – Dries
1:03
PK1DJohnson – Cole
3:33
PK2DNemeth – Zadorov
1:54

Current COL line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Brodziak – Kassian – Khaira
10:2270% CF
L2Rattie – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid
7:3045% CF
L3Chiasson – Rieder – Draisaitl
7:2238% CF
L4Lucic – Strome – Caggiula
4:5867% CF
D1Larsson – Klefbom
15:3942% CF
D2Russell – Nurse
15:1273% CF
D3Garrison – Benning
9:5771% CF

PP1Rattie – Nugent-Hopkins – Klefbom – Draisaitl – McDavid
3:4867% CF
PP2Lucic – Garrison – Rieder – Strome – Caggiula
2:0550% CF
PK1FStrome – Khaira
1:50
PK2FBrodziak – Kassian
1:27
PK1DLarsson – Klefbom
2:35
PK2DRussell – Nurse
0:47

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:26
COLMikko Rantanen (Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog)backhand0.26 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardEDM: Rattie, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid
COL 1 – 0 EDM
15:33
COLCarl Soderberg (Tyson Barrie, Matt Calvert)slap0.04 xG
COL: Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Barrie, DriesEDM: Lucic, Garrison, Strome, Benning, Caggiula
COL 2 – 0 EDM

2nd period

5:06
COLAlexander KerfootPP (Carl Soderberg, Samuel Girard)wrist0.31 xG
COL: Soderberg, Kerfoot, Kamenev, Jost, GirardEDM: Brodziak, Kassian, Larsson, Klefbom
COL 3 – 0 EDM
10:56
COLTyson Barrie (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)slap0.15 xG
COL: Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenEDM: Chiasson, Rieder, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl
COL 4 – 0 EDM

3rd period

9:20
EDMTy Rattie (Adam Larsson, Milan Lucic)tip-in0.10 xG
COL: Cole, Bourque, Kamenev, Girard, DriesEDM: Brodziak, Lucic, Rattie, Larsson, Klefbom
COL 4 – 1 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.13	3	1	2	19:12	—	—	42	50
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.40	1	0	0	18:52	—	—	46	57
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.46	1	0	0	18:25	—	—	44	48
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	1	0	15:33	—	—	24	39
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.41	0	2	0	14:18	—	—	25	39
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	0	0	0	14:00	—	—	29	51
Carl Soderberg C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.07	1	1	0	16:32	—	—	29	27
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	2	14:22	—	—	31	30
Sheldon Dries C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	12:01	—	—	36	27
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	12:50	—	—	54	78
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	1	0	11:49	—	—	41	51
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	9:57	—	—	50	44
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	22:49	—	—	57	84
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.09	1	2	0	20:42	—	—	44	58
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	16:42	—	—	29	20
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	2	15:25	—	—	23	23
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	20:48	—	—	38	52
Tyson Barrie D	D3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.21	1	1	0	20:03	—	—	39	54

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	1.78	59:40

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zack Kassian R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.52	3	0	0	14:58	—	—	76	96
Jujhar Khaira L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	0	0	14:31	—	—	69	88
Kyle Brodziak C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	0	0	13:53	—	—	74	96
Connor McDavid C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	20:28	—	—	56	40
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	3	0	2	18:00	—	—	61	30
Ty Rattie R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.12	3	0	0	15:17	—	—	56	37
Leon Draisaitl C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	1	0	0	18:25	—	—	55	36
Tobias Rieder L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	43	4
Alex Chiasson R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	4	0	0	12:20	—	—	47	19
Drake Caggiula L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	2	0	0	14:37	—	—	69	83
Ryan Strome C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	1	0	0	12:39	—	—	63	82
Milan Lucic L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:35	—	—	73	87
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	24:50	—	—	44	29
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	4	3	0	21:24	—	—	38	25
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	2	20:10	—	—	73	77
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	4	2	0	18:02	—	—	70	75
Jason Garrison D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:44	—	—	63	27
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.10	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	76	43

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mikko Koskinen	—	13	12	1	.923	0.90	34:53
Cam Talbot(start)	L	15	12	3	.800	1.56	25:06

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.