Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 17, 2017

FinalTuesday, Oct 17, 2017· Bridgestone Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	0	1		COL	8	6	7	21
NSH	0	3	1	4		NSH	7	14	13	34

: COL 43NSH 59
: COL 2.17NSH 3.58
PP goals: COL 1NSH 1
Hits: COL 10NSH 23
Blocks: COL 10NSH 11
PIM: COL 12NSH 12
: COL 35%NSH 65%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–1

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–1 at home. Roman Josi (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 3:57 together.

Points
Roman Josi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:30.Josi
Points
Viktor Arvidsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:36.Arvidsson
Points
Alexei Emelin had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:08.Emelin
Points
Filip Forsberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:03.Forsberg
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 3:57 together.Barrie Landeskog Andrighetto MacKinnon Rantanen
New line
New look for NSH: Smith–Sissons–Fiala skated 10:01 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (65% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Sissons Fiala
New line
New look for NSH: McLeod–Watson–Gaudreau skated 4:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McLeod Watson Gaudreau
Usage
Mikko Rantanen (COL) played 14:50, −4:11 down on his 19:01 season average over 80 games.Rantanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 102 of 102 attempts · NSH 59 · COL 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 27% of the game, NSH 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	36	47
	1.67	1.48
	1.64	1.43
	2	8
	6	7
	18	11
	−0.096	+0.096
	27%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Duchene – Yakupov – Kerfoot
5:5345% CF
L2Wilson – Landeskog – Compher
5:3325% CF
L3Andrighetto – MacKinnon – Rantanen
5:1367% CF
L4Comeau – Soderberg – Jost
3:5840% CF
D1Johnson – Zadorov
7:1329% CF
D2Barrie – Lindholm
6:4371% CF
D3Barberio – Bigras
6:1833% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Andrighetto – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:5767% CF
PP2Johnson – Wilson – Duchene – Yakupov – Kerfoot
1:17100% CF
PK1FComeau – Compher
2:05
PK2FSoderberg – Landeskog
1:02
PK1DZadorov – Lindholm
2:05
PK2DBarberio – Bigras
0:58

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Smith – Sissons – Fiala
10:0165% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
9:4567% CF
L3Hartnell – Jarnkrok – Aberg
7:3933% CF
L4McLeod – Watson – Gaudreau
4:0856% CF
D1Josi – Ekholm
12:3367% CF
D2Irwin – Bitetto
11:3138% CF
D3Emelin – Subban
11:1264% CF

PP1Hartnell – Subban – Josi – Johansen – Forsberg
4:54100% CF
PP2Ekholm – Smith – Sissons – Fiala – Arvidsson
2:4133% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Arvidsson
1:54
PK2FWatson – Sissons
1:40
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
3:44
PK2DEmelin – Josi
1:26

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:09
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Tyson Barrie, Mikko Rantanen)deflected0.16 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, RantanenNSH: Subban, Josi, Sissons, Arvidsson
COL 1 – 0 NSH
7:07
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Filip Forsberg, Alexei Emelin)backhand0.17 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Landeskog, Compher, ZadorovNSH: Emelin, Subban, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 1 – 1 NSH
13:30
NSHRoman JosiPP (Viktor Arvidsson, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.07 xG
COL: Comeau, Johnson, CompherNSH: Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 1 – 2 NSH
19:15
NSHColton Sissons (Craig Smith, Roman Josi)backhand0.37 xG
COL: Barberio, Duchene, Yakupov, BigrasNSH: Josi, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons
COL 1 – 3 NSH

3rd period

4:08
NSHAustin Watson (Alexei Emelin)wrist0.07 xG
COL: Johnson, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen, JostNSH: Emelin, McLeod, Subban, Watson, Gaudreau
COL 1 – 4 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	1	2	14:46	—	—	45	76
Nail Yakupov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	1	0	2	14:09	—	—	42	58
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.37	0	0	0	10:54	—	—	57	88
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	0	2	18:57	—	—	42	28
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	0	2	0	14:37	—	—	38	36
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	14:18	—	—	41	44
Nathan MacKinnon C	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.34	0	0	0	17:57	—	—	48	55
Mikko Rantanen R	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	54	42
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:38	—	—	78	84
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	28	37
Carl Soderberg C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:41	—	—	35	27
Blake Comeau L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	12:15	—	—	46	71
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	1	1	2	23:30	—	—	33	31
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	3	0	16:58	—	—	38	30
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	0	2	2	21:50	—	—	56	78
Anton Lindholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:04	—	—	43	62
Chris Bigras D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	1	0	19:07	—	—	35	45
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	57	64

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	3.58	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.37	2	0	4	18:18	—	—	63	55
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:47	—	—	64	62
Craig Smith C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.33	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	67	59
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.36	3	0	0	20:04	—	—	59	43
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	2	2	+1	4	0.28	0	0	0	20:03	—	—	61	38
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	1	2	+1	5	0.66	1	1	0	18:36	—	—	64	45
Scott Hartnell L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.39	0	0	2	16:01	—	—	30	33
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	14:47	—	—	33	37
Pontus Aberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	4	9:55	—	—	33	48
Austin Watson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	3	0	0	8:47	—	—	60	58
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	7:27	—	—	55	51
Cody McLeod L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	4:45	—	—	50	51
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	3	0	0	25:27	—	—	64	43
Roman Josi D	D1	1	1	2	+1	7	0.57	1	1	2	22:30	—	—	61	41
Anthony Bitetto D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:22	—	—	35	9
Matt Irwin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	13:20	—	—	41	10
P.K. Subban D	D3	0	0	0	+2	3	0.20	1	2	0	25:54	—	—	59	83
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	2	2	+2	0	0.04	2	2	0	17:08	—	—	61	90

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	21	20	1	.952	2.17	59:36

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.