Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsNov 18, 2017

FinalSaturday, Nov 18, 2017· Bridgestone Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

2

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	0	2	2		COL	10	8	13	31
NSH	1	2	2	5		NSH	10	9	5	24

: COL 56NSH 43
: COL 2.58NSH 1.86
PP goals: COL 0NSH 2
Hits: COL 10NSH 11
Blocks: COL 11NSH 18
PIM: COL 8NSH 23
: COL 44%NSH 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2 at home. Andrei Mironov (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:51 together.

Points
Andrei Mironov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 9:46.Mironov
Points
Craig Smith had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:23.Smith
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had 2 assists (2 points) in 16:18.Kerfoot
Points
Kevin Fiala had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 12:37.Fiala
Points
P.K. Subban had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:33.Subban
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:26.Josi
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:51 together.Subban Smith Johansen Forsberg Arvidsson
Luck
NSH scored 5 goals on 1.86 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · NSH 43 · COL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 42% of the game, NSH 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	47	35
	1.83	0.88
	1.82	0.87
	6	2
	6	6
	20	16
	−0.087	+0.087
	42%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
8:2261% CF
L2Yakupov – Toninato – Andrighetto
6:2383% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Compher
6:1157% CF
L4Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
5:4144% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
9:3471% CF
D2Barberio – Zadorov
4:0436% CF
D3Barrie – Mironov
3:1850% CF

PP1Soderberg – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Girard
9:00100% CF
PP2Wilson – Barrie – Yakupov – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
5:5980% CF
PK1FComeau – Nieto
1:22
PK2FLandeskog – Compher
0:48
PK1DJohnson – Zadorov
3:06
PK2DBarberio – Mironov
1:02

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
8:1831% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Fiala
7:5744% CF
L3Bonino – Jarnkrok – Sissons
6:5567% CF
D1Irwin – Bitetto
13:3539% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
10:3850% CF
D3Josi – Ekholm
10:0043% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
3:5183% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ekholm – Sissons – Fiala
3:04100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Arvidsson
6:15
PK2FBonino – Johansen
2:31
PK1DEmelin – Subban
8:11
PK2DJosi – Ekholm
6:38

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:25
NSHCraig SmithPP (P.K. Subban, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.23 xG
COL: Barberio, Nieto, Compher, MironovNSH: Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 0 – 1 NSH

2nd period

9:11
NSHColton Sissons (Roman Josi, Nick Bonino)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Sissons
COL 0 – 2 NSH
10:38
NSHAnthony Bitetto (Craig Smith, Kevin Fiala)slap0.03 xG
COL: Wilson, Barberio, Kerfoot, Compher, ZadorovNSH: Turris, Smith, Irwin, Bitetto, Fiala
COL 0 – 3 NSH

3rd period

7:53
NSHMattias EkholmPP (Kevin Fiala, Roman Josi)slap0.06 xG
COL: Soderberg, Nieto, Zadorov, MironovNSH: Turris, Josi, Ekholm, Sissons, Fiala
COL 0 – 4 NSH
11:51
NSHViktor Arvidsson (P.K. Subban, Alexei Emelin)tip-in0.23 xG
COL: Soderberg, Barberio, Barrie, Nieto, YakupovNSH: Emelin, Subban, Turris, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 0 – 5 NSH
15:23
COLAndrei Mironov (Nikita Zadorov, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.02 xG
COL: Wilson, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov, MironovNSH: Emelin, McLeod, Subban, Jarnkrok, Salomaki
COL 1 – 5 NSH
18:15
COLJ.T. Compher (Alexander Kerfoot, Andrei Mironov)backhand0.05 xG
COL: Wilson, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov, MironovNSH: Bonino, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Bitetto, Sissons
COL 2 – 5 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.55	0	2	0	20:40	—	—	50	68
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	19:18	—	—	63	76
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.27	0	0	0	18:55	—	—	61	76
Sven Andrighetto R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	71	62
Nail Yakupov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	65	62
Dominic Toninato C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:20	—	—	73	80
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	0	4	16:18	—	—	50	52
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	1	0	0	13:53	—	—	57	54
J.T. Compher L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	12:28	—	—	50	51
Carl Soderberg C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:23	—	—	39	69
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	13:44	—	—	55	74
Blake Comeau L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.54	2	0	0	13:08	—	—	55	74
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	0	1	0	24:06	—	—	67	75
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	2	0	21:19	—	—	70	47
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	0	1	0	14:42	—	—	54	76
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	1	1	0	13:19	—	—	43	70
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	0	2	2	20:53	—	—	58	65
Andrei Mironov D	D3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.02	1	1	2	9:46	—	—	47	57

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	24	19	5	.792	1.86	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	20:02	—	—	32	19
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.25	0	1	0	19:46	—	—	36	21
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.26	1	2	0	16:52	—	—	36	24
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.08	0	3	2	15:04	—	—	42	34
Craig Smith C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.23	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	44	27
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	12:37	—	—	40	22
Colton Sissons C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	18:25	—	—	55	41
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	17:12	—	—	50	44
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	58	52
Matt Irwin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	15:32	—	—	41	42
Anthony Bitetto D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.03	1	1	0	14:49	—	—	37	42
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	2	2	0	3	0.25	1	0	0	24:33	—	—	53	32
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:29	—	—	44	32
Roman Josi D	D3	0	2	2	+1	5	0.14	0	2	0	21:26	—	—	44	20
Mattias Ekholm D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.09	1	0	4	20:18	—	—	44	20
Miikka Salomaki R	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	7:44	—	—	33	57
Cody McLeod L	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	2	1	0	7:27	—	—	36	56
Austin Watson L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	15	3:10	—	—	0	—

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	2.58	59:57

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.