Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsApr 12, 2018

FinalPlayoffsThursday, Apr 12, 2018· Bridgestone Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

2

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	0	2		COL	11	6	10	27
NSH	0	2	3	5		NSH	10	11	10	31

: COL 54NSH 58
: COL 2.16NSH 2.81
PP goals: COL 0NSH 1
Hits: COL 24NSH 36
Blocks: COL 17NSH 18
PIM: COL 16NSH 6
: COL 53%NSH 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2 at home. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 0A. NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:05 together.

Points
Filip Forsberg had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 14:39.Forsberg
Points
Austin Watson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:29.Watson
Points
Colton Sissons had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:18.Sissons
Points
Ryan Johansen had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:36.Johansen
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:05 together.Subban Smith Johansen Forsberg Arvidsson
Luck
NSH scored 5 goals on 2.81 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Filip Forsberg (NSH) played 14:39, −3:22 down on his 18:01 season average over 12 games.Forsberg
Usage
Mark Barberio (COL) played 17:30, −5:45 down on his 23:15 season average over 5 games.Barberio

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · NSH 58 · COL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 34% of the game, NSH 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	56	64
	1.98	1.39
	1.97	1.38
	10	7
	7	7
	13	24
	+0.017	−0.018
	34%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:0761% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
11:3947% CF
L3Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Jost
10:1336% CF
L4Wilson – Bourque – Compher
7:2740% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
8:5419% CF
D2Nemeth – Girard
8:2771% CF
D3Warsofsky – Barberio
3:5880% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
3:38100% CF
PP2Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Compher – Girard
1:27
PK1FComeau – Soderberg
0:52
PK2FBourque – Nieto
0:44
PK1DNemeth – Zadorov
1:19
PK2DWarsofsky – Barrie
0:25

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:4148% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Fiala
11:0656% CF
L3Bonino – Watson – Sissons
10:5837% CF
L4Fisher – Salomaki – Hartman
8:3462% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
18:3143% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
18:1050% CF
D3Emelin – Irwin
9:5367% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
1:05100% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
1:050% CF
PK1FBonino – Watson
0:59
PK2FSissons – Hartman
0:46
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:32
PK2DEmelin – Subban
0:50

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:36
COLNikita Zadorov (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen, GirardNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Salomaki, Hartman
COL 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

3:16
NSHAustin Watson (Colton Sissons, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons
COL 1 – 1 NSH
4:51
COLBlake Comeau (Carl Soderberg, Matt Nieto)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Nieto, GirardNSH: Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Salomaki, Hartman
COL 2 – 1 NSH
8:50
NSHCraig SmithPP (Ryan Johansen)wrist0.05 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Barberio, NemethNSH: Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 2 – 2 NSH

3rd period

6:08
NSHFilip Forsberg (Roman Josi, Viktor Arvidsson)tip-in0.07 xG
COL: Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardNSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 2 – 3 NSH
12:10
NSHFilip Forsbergwrist0.05 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Zadorov, Jost, GirardNSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
COL 2 – 4 NSH
18:03
NSHColton SissonsEN (Austin Watson)backhand0.86 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, JostNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons
COL 2 – 5 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.36	1	0	0	22:25	—	—	56	62
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.35	0	0	2	21:06	—	—	57	62
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.78	2	1	0	21:02	—	—	61	64
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:42	—	—	41	63
Blake Comeau L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.17	4	0	0	14:04	—	—	46	63
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	13:32	—	—	48	74
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	1	0	0	17:06	—	—	31	0
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:46	—	—	29	11
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:47	—	—	38	15
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	12:27	—	—	41	57
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	10:06	—	—	43	56
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	2	0	9:09	—	—	41	57
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	3	1	0	23:57	—	—	33	37
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.01	3	3	12	21:11	—	—	30	53
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	0	1	0	22:07	—	—	66	69
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	19:07	—	—	67	62
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	2	17:30	—	—	48	54
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	9:32	—	—	55	71

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	1.31	59:14

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.04	3	0	0	15:36	—	—	47	43
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	2	1	0	14:59	—	—	50	45
Filip Forsberg L	L1	2	0	2	+2	7	0.25	1	0	0	14:39	—	—	47	48
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	15:43	—	—	58	31
Craig Smith C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	55	30
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	64	32
Colton Sissons C	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.99	3	0	0	17:18	—	—	39	47
Austin Watson L	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.69	3	0	2	16:29	—	—	52	50
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.14	1	0	0	16:28	—	—	52	53
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	6	0	0	12:44	—	—	57	65
Mike Fisher C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	2	0	12:02	—	—	58	58
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	0	1	0	10:19	—	—	67	63
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	1	1	0	24:21	—	—	46	17
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	2	21:21	—	—	46	17
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	+4	3	0.17	2	5	0	25:45	—	—	50	58
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	+4	2	0.04	1	3	0	25:06	—	—	49	58
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	3	0	11:42	—	—	68	65
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	3	1	0	11:00	—	—	64	64

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.16	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.