Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsApr 14, 2018

FinalPlayoffsSaturday, Apr 14, 2018· Bridgestone Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	2	4		COL	11	8	11	30
NSH	0	3	2	5		NSH	9	10	14	33

: COL 50NSH 66
: COL 2.31NSH 3.84
PP goals: COL 1NSH 1
Hits: COL 25NSH 24
Blocks: COL 23NSH 15
PIM: COL 12NSH 14
: COL 39%NSH 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Colorado Avalanche 5–4

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–4 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:16 together.

Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:30.Landeskog
Points
Kevin Fiala had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 13:29.Fiala
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 24:58.MacKinnon
Points
Mattias Ekholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:11.Ekholm
Points
P.K. Subban had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 27:03.Subban
Points
Tyson Barrie had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:10.Barrie
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:16 together.Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Jost
Luck
COL scored 4 goals on 2.31 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · NSH 66 · COL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 22% of the game, NSH 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	37	47
	0.98	1.09
	0.95	1.04
	2	2
	2	5
	12	14
	−0.074	+0.074
	22%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
11:3852% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
7:2125% CF
L3Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Jost
5:0050% CF
L4Wilson – Bourque – Compher
4:5130% CF
D1Barberio – Nemeth
9:0860% CF
D2Barrie – Zadorov
8:2013% CF
D3Warsofsky – Siemens
3:0663% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
4:16100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Warsofsky – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Compher
1:500% CF
PK1FComeau – Soderberg
2:11
PK2FBourque – Compher
1:23
PK1DNemeth – Siemens
4:47
PK2DBarberio – Zadorov
0:05

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Watson – Sissons
7:3453% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
7:2570% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Fiala
6:39100% CF
L4Fisher – Salomaki – Hartman
5:4756% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
13:0283% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
12:1350% CF
D3Emelin – Irwin
6:3247% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
5:2093% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
2:14100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
1:36
PK2FJohansen – Arvidsson
1:14
PK1DJosi – Ellis
3:29
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
1:37

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:34
COLGabriel Bourque (J.T. Compher, Colin Wilson)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Wilson, Warsofsky, Bourque, Compher, ZadorovNSH: Fisher, Emelin, Irwin, Salomaki, Hartman
COL 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

1:01
NSHKevin FialaPP (Colton Sissons, Kyle Turris)snap0.19 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, ZadorovNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Sissons, Fiala
COL 1 – 1 NSH
12:36
NSHViktor Arvidssonslap0.03 xG
COL: Barberio, Barrie, Nieto, AndrighettoNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson
COL 1 – 2 NSH
16:32
NSHRyan Johansen (Mattias Ekholm, P.K. Subban)tip-in0.09 xG
COL: Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, KerfootNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson
COL 1 – 3 NSH
17:08
COLNathan MacKinnon (Nikita Zadorov)backhand0.05 xG
COL: Warsofsky, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, ZadorovNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Forsberg
COL 2 – 3 NSH

3rd period

7:16
NSHAustin Watson (Kevin Fiala, Nick Bonino)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Comeau, Barrie, Nieto, MacKinnon, ZadorovNSH: Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Fiala
COL 2 – 4 NSH
9:14
COLGabriel LandeskogPP (Nathan MacKinnon, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.12 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, JostNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis
COL 3 – 4 NSH
18:51
NSHRyan HartmanEN (P.K. Subban, Mattias Ekholm)wrist0.97 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, JostNSH: Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Salomaki, Hartman
COL 3 – 5 NSH
19:24
COLAlexander Kerfoot (Gabriel Landeskog, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, JostNSH: Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons
COL 4 – 5 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	0	6	0.34	0	1	0	24:58	—	—	49	32
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	20:45	—	—	55	41
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	1	2	-1	5	0.20	3	1	4	19:30	—	—	53	45
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	4	0	0	14:22	—	—	25	28
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	2	13:40	—	—	19	32
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	13:15	—	—	38	53
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	2	0	0	14:39	—	—	29	42
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	1	2	11:34	—	—	70	87
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	10:33	—	—	40	100
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:10	—	—	44	74
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.59	0	1	0	10:37	—	—	46	89
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	4	2	0	9:44	—	—	39	71
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	6	0	25:54	—	—	48	72
Mark Barberio D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	2	21:52	—	—	59	66
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	2	2	-3	4	0.22	2	1	0	22:10	—	—	27	28
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	3	2	0	19:24	—	—	19	15
David Warsofsky D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.01	0	0	2	13:27	—	—	60	61
Duncan Siemens D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	5	0	10:09	—	—	54	84

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	2.42	58:19

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	2	2	0	16:12	—	—	50	60
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.11	3	0	2	15:45	—	—	52	61
Austin Watson L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.64	3	1	2	15:25	—	—	44	65
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.09	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	47	22
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.27	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	67	52
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	2	0	0	16:53	—	—	53	22
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	3	0	0	15:12	—	—	70	42
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:46	—	—	100	100
Kevin Fiala L	L3	1	1	2	+1	5	0.55	0	1	0	13:29	—	—	70	63
Ryan Hartman R	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.98	1	0	0	11:16	—	—	45	23
Mike Fisher C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	2	2	10:31	—	—	44	32
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	7:14	—	—	64	48
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	2	2	+3	3	0.11	1	3	2	27:03	—	—	72	72
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.08	1	1	2	21:11	—	—	79	89
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	2	0	25:42	—	—	48	55
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	1	1	2	24:12	—	—	48	47
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	9:13	—	—	47	20
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:20	—	—	41	18

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	30	26	4	.867	2.31	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.