Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsFeb 23, 2019

FinalSaturday, Feb 23, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

0

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	2	2	5		COL	5	10	6	21
NSH	0	0	0	0		NSH	10	10	18	38

: COL 34NSH 74
: COL 1.73NSH 4.05
PP goals: COL 2NSH 0
Hits: COL 17NSH 13
Blocks: COL 19NSH 5
PIM: COL 14NSH 14
: COL 40%NSH 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Nashville Predators 5–0

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 5–0 at NSH. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. NSH scored 0 goals on 4.05 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 6 shots in 19:53.MacKinnon
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 16:27.Kerfoot
Points
Nikita Zadorov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:42.Zadorov
Points
Carl Soderberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:25.Soderberg
Luck
NSH scored 0 goals on 4.05 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
COL scored 5 goals on 1.73 expected goals (34 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Philipp Grubauer (COL) faced 38 shots and stopped 38 (.1000), +9 against a season average of 28.9; the win.Grubauer
Usage
Dan Hamhuis (NSH) played 8:17, −7:54 down on his 16:11 season average over 56 games.Hamhuis

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · NSH 74 · COL 34

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 19% of the game, NSH 57%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	25	55
	1.14	2.37
	1.09	2.25
	6	7
	2	1
	7	8
	−0.054	+0.054
	19%	57%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Kerfoot – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:1517% CF
L2Calvert – Landeskog – Jost
8:5833% CF
L3Agozzino – Greer – Dries
7:0438% CF
L4Soderberg – Andrighetto – Compher
6:0633% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
13:0128% CF
D2Nemeth – Zadorov
11:0529% CF
D3Barrie – Graves
6:5850% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
5:16100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Andrighetto – Compher – Jost – Girard
1:060% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Compher
3:21
PK2FAgozzino – Dries
1:27
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
5:17
PK2DGraves – Zadorov
1:19

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Fiala
6:1164% CF
L2Boyle – Bonino – Hartman
5:1188% CF
L3Grimaldi – Sissons – Gaudreau
4:4350% CF
L4Turris – Jarnkrok – Arvidsson
3:3050% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
11:3147% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
11:2095% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
4:0171% CF

PP1Bonino – Subban – Ellis – Johansen – Arvidsson
4:26100% CF
PP2Boyle – Turris – Josi – Jarnkrok – Forsberg
3:55100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
2:48
PK2FBoyle – Jarnkrok
1:18
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:33
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:41

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:05
COLNathan MacKinnon (Nikita Zadorov, Alexander Kerfoot)slap0.02 xG
COL: Nemeth, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala
COL 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

14:41
COLAlexander KerfootPP (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.10 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, RantanenNSH: Boyle, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok
COL 2 – 0 NSH
18:02
COLGabriel Landeskog (Samuel Girard, Carl Soderberg)wrist0.07 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Landeskog, GirardNSH: Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Arvidsson
COL 3 – 0 NSH

3rd period

9:59
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Tyson Barrie, Alexander Kerfoot)slap0.09 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, RantanenNSH: Boyle, Bonino, Josi, Ellis
COL 4 – 0 NSH
16:42
COLNikita Zadorov (Sven Andrighetto, Carl Soderberg)slap0.02 xG
COL: Soderberg, Nemeth, Andrighetto, Compher, ZadorovNSH: Weber, Ekholm, Johansen, Fiala, Arvidsson
COL 5 – 0 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	1	3	+1	6	0.39	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	29	29
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	17	5
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	1	2	3	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	32	36
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	5	0	2	18:24	—	—	35	29
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	2	14:24	—	—	28	25
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	12:04	—	—	29	28
Sheldon Dries C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	2	11:13	—	—	27	13
Andrew Agozzino L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:54	—	—	33	16
A.J. Greer L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	7:49	—	—	50	78
Carl Soderberg C	L4	0	2	2	+2	2	0.11	0	3	0	17:25	—	—	37	45
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	3	0	15:55	—	—	32	37
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	4	11:08	—	—	37	45
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	6	0	22:56	—	—	23	26
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	21:01	—	—	27	34
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.03	4	0	2	19:42	—	—	27	38
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	3	0	17:49	—	—	32	28
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	18:59	—	—	53	56
Ryan Graves D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	2	2	12:44	—	—	30	12

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	38	38	0	.1000	4.05	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.29	1	0	0	19:42	—	—	76	82
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.28	2	0	0	17:49	—	—	71	64
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.30	1	0	0	12:08	—	—	65	83
Brian Boyle C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	17:23	—	—	78	91
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.85	0	2	0	17:16	—	—	81	94
Ryan Hartman R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	8:04	—	—	79	92
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	13:09	—	—	70	67
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	8:55	—	—	54	46
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:22	—	—	50	17
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:45	—	—	56	57
Viktor Arvidsson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	6	0.53	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	75	66
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.56	0	1	0	16:34	—	—	56	51
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	2	26:18	—	—	40	34
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	0	2	22:36	—	—	64	61
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	2	0	0	24:45	—	—	77	78
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.10	0	0	2	23:54	—	—	91	97
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.41	1	0	4	10:20	—	—	62	41
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	8:17	—	—	67	94

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	21	16	5	.762	1.73	59:51

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.