Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsFeb 29, 2020

FinalSaturday, Feb 29, 2020· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	2	1	3		COL	8	10	13	31
NSH	0	0	2	2		NSH	9	13	10	32

: COL 52NSH 63
: COL 2.69NSH 4.10
PP goals: COL 0NSH 0
Hits: COL 10NSH 10
Blocks: COL 9NSH 14
PIM: COL 6NSH 8
: COL 55%NSH 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Nashville Predators 3–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 3–2 at NSH. Erik Johnson (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for COL: Donskoi–Nieto–Compher skated 5:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Erik Johnson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:30.Johnson
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 25:02.Josi
Points
Ryan Ellis had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:30.Ellis
New line
New look for COL: Donskoi–Nieto–Compher skated 5:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Donskoi Nieto Compher
Usage
Tyson Jost (COL) played 18:54, +6:14 up on his 12:40 season average over 66 games.Jost
Luck
NSH scored 2 goals on 4.10 expected goals (63 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 17:22, −4:00 down on his 21:22 season average over 69 games.Girard
Usage
Cale Makar (COL) played 24:28, +3:31 up on his 20:57 season average over 56 games.Makar

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · NSH 63 · COL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 18% of the game, NSH 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	38	53
	1.46	3.27
	1.44	3.12
	5	10
	2	5
	20	22
	+0.012	−0.012
	18%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – Namestnikov – MacKinnon
6:3064% CF
L2Donskoi – Nieto – Compher
5:050% CF
L3Nichushkin – Jost – Kaut
3:2650% CF
D1Graves – Makar
15:3756% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
13:4026% CF
D3Cole – Zadorov
11:5741% CF

PP1Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Jost – Makar
6:2589% CF
PP2Donskoi – Namestnikov – Nichushkin – Makar – Kaut
0:50100% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
3:57
PK2FBellemare – Jost
1:45
PK1DJohnson – Cole
1:45
PK2DGraves – Zadorov
0:57

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Granlund – Forsberg
10:5776% CF
L2Duchene – Jarnkrok – Arvidsson
10:0261% CF
L3Johansen – Blackwell – Sissons
8:1050% CF
L4Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
7:2447% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
15:3460% CF
D2Ekholm – Tinordi
12:4763% CF
D3Hamhuis – Fabbro
8:3744% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Smith – Granlund – Forsberg
3:44100% CF
PP2Duchene – Ellis – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson
2:16100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
3:52
PK2FTurris – Granlund
1:28
PK1DEllis – Ekholm
3:54
PK2DHamhuis – Tinordi
1:16

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

13:23
COLGabriel Landeskog (Erik Johnson, Samuel Girard)wrist0.12 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, Namestnikov, MacKinnon, GirardNSH: Turris, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Tinordi, Granlund
COL 1 – 0 NSH
15:38
COLMartin Kaut (Tyson Jost, Cale Makar)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Graves, Nichushkin, Jost, Makar, KautNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Tinordi, Blackwell, Arvidsson
COL 2 – 0 NSH

3rd period

14:40
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Ryan Ellis, Roman Josi)wrist0.15 xG
COL: Nieto, Graves, Jost, Makar, KautNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson
COL 2 – 1 NSH
19:03
COLErik JohnsonENwrist0.33 xG
COL: Johnson, Donskoi, Graves, Nichushkin, BellemareNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg
COL 3 – 1 NSH
19:58
NSHCalle Jarnkrok (Ryan Ellis, Roman Josi)backhand0.09 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, Namestnikov, Graves, BellemareNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson
COL 3 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.32	0	0	2	22:44	—	—	46	31
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.45	0	0	0	21:18	—	—	59	40
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	13:11	—	—	48	33
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	13	10
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:31	—	—	27	19
Joonas Donskoi R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:03	—	—	12	8
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.27	1	0	0	18:54	—	—	46	38
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	0	0	2	16:37	—	—	53	62
Martin Kaut R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	9:07	—	—	50	50
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.36	0	0	0	24:28	—	—	57	59
Ryan Graves D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	4	0	22:04	—	—	55	52
Erik Johnson D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.36	3	0	2	17:30	—	—	23	20
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	0	0	17:22	—	—	36	23
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	16:44	—	—	37	14
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:48	—	—	42	10
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	13:02	—	—	33	19
Mark Barberio D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:22	—	—	50	27
Logan O'Connor R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	1	0	0	7:44	—	—	55	31

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	4.10	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.45	1	1	0	20:25	—	—	71	69
Kyle Turris C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.27	0	0	0	19:24	—	—	67	67
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.62	3	1	0	16:55	—	—	70	86
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.27	0	0	0	15:40	—	—	58	72
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.53	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	56	80
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.60	0	0	2	14:20	—	—	57	81
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	2	0	15:47	—	—	54	67
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	13:29	—	—	56	69
Colin Blackwell C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	9:48	—	—	50	49
Nick Bonino C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.26	1	2	0	15:16	—	—	50	52
Craig Smith C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	0	0	0	11:08	—	—	47	49
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:05	—	—	50	57
Roman Josi D	D1	0	2	2	+1	6	0.40	0	0	0	25:02	—	—	64	74
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.12	0	3	2	23:30	—	—	58	65
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.09	1	0	0	22:59	—	—	59	64
Jarred Tinordi D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	2	0	17:40	—	—	58	63
Dante Fabbro D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	13:15	—	—	55	81
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	12:29	—	—	36	59

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	30	28	2	.933	2.36	59:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.