Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red WingsNov 19, 2017

Final / OTSunday, Nov 19, 2017· Little Caesars Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
COL	1	0	2	1	4		COL	12	12	11	2	37
DET	1	1	1	0	3		DET	7	7	10	0	24

: COL 62DET 45
: COL 2.27DET 2.17
PP goals: COL 1DET 1
Hits: COL 25DET 18
Blocks: COL 11DET 14
PIM: COL 6DET 12
: COL 36%DET 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Detroit Red Wings 4–3 (OT)

Colorado Avalanche beat Detroit Red Wings 4–3 in overtime at DET. Erik Johnson (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Xavier Ouellet (DET) played 3:06, −11:00 down on his 14:06 season average over 44 games.

Points
Erik Johnson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 30:48.Johnson
Points
Justin Abdelkader had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:26.Abdelkader
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:31.MacKinnon
Points
Tyson Barrie had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:09.Barrie
Usage
Xavier Ouellet (DET) played 3:06, −11:00 down on his 14:06 season average over 44 games.Ouellet
Goalie
Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 37 shots and stopped 33 (.892), +8 against a season average of 29.5; the overtime loss.Howard
Usage
Erik Johnson (COL) played 30:48, +5:27 up on his 25:21 season average over 61 games.Johnson
Luck
COL scored 4 goals on 2.27 expected goals (62 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · DET 45 · COL 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 40% of the game, DET 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	DET
	46	31
	1.23	0.92
	1.19	0.91
	5	4
	5	4
	13	18
	−0.088	+0.088
	40%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
12:4367% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
7:34100% CF
L3Yakupov – Toninato – Andrighetto
7:0256% CF
L4Wilson – Kerfoot – Compher
5:2333% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
15:0467% CF
D2Barberio – Zadorov
8:2062% CF
D3Barrie – Bigras
5:4540% CF

PP1Soderberg – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Girard
4:0283% CF
PP2Johnson – Wilson – Yakupov – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
2:51
PK1FComeau – Nieto
1:41
PK2FSoderberg – Compher
0:37
PK1DJohnson – Zadorov
4:20
PK2DBarberio – Bigras
1:14

Current COL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Nielsen – Helm – Glendening
9:5667% CF
L2Zetterberg – Nyquist – Tatar
5:1064% CF
L3Abdelkader – Mantha – Larkin
2:28100% CF
D1Daley – Ericsson
14:0047% CF
D2Green – DeKeyser
11:4541% CF
D3Kronwall – Jensen
9:0145% CF

PP1Nielsen – Green – Athanasiou – Mantha – Larkin
3:0189% CF
PP2Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Tatar
2:26100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
3:33
PK2FNielsen – Helm
3:02
PK1DDaley – Ericsson
5:14
PK2DJensen – DeKeyser
0:56

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:01
DETJustin Abdelkader (Dylan Larkin, Xavier Ouellet)snap0.01 xG
COL: Wilson, Barberio, Kerfoot, Compher, ZadorovDET: Green, Abdelkader, Wilson, Ouellet, Larkin
COL 0 – 1 DET
19:44
COLErik Johnson (Tyson Barrie, Dominic Toninato)slap0.02 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Barrie, ToninatoDET: Tatar, Jensen, Wilson, DeKeyser, Larkin
COL 1 – 1 DET

2nd period

19:03
DETAndreas Athanasiou (Tomas Tatar)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Johnson, Wilson, Barberio, Kerfoot, CompherDET: Daley, Ericsson, Tatar, Athanasiou, Larkin
COL 1 – 2 DET

3rd period

11:07
DETNiklas KronwallPP (Gustav Nyquist, Justin Abdelkader)slap0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Nieto, Compher, ZadorovDET: Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar
COL 1 – 3 DET
13:45
COLNail YakupovPP (Colin Wilson, Erik Johnson)slap0.05 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Yakupov, CompherDET: Daley, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin
COL 2 – 3 DET
19:14
COLCarl Soderberg (Nathan MacKinnon, Tyson Barrie)tip-in0.05 xG
COL: Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, RantanenDET: Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Tatar, Glendening
COL 3 – 3 DET

OT period

2:55
COLNathan MacKinnon (Gabriel Landeskog)snap0.04 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnonDET: Daley, Nielsen, Helm
COL 4 – 3 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.30	1	0	0	23:31	—	—	53	48
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	0	6	22:22	—	—	65	66
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.20	0	2	0	21:59	—	—	67	69
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.18	2	0	0	16:52	—	—	77	78
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	6	0	0	15:46	—	—	91	77
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	0	14:34	—	—	83	70
Nail Yakupov R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.14	1	0	0	12:50	—	—	55	66
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	1	1	0	12:25	—	—	55	56
Dominic Toninato C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	9:43	—	—	62	66
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	0	0	14:32	—	—	42	34
J.T. Compher L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	2	2	0	13:54	—	—	44	46
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	38	44
Erik Johnson D	D1	1	1	2	+1	5	0.13	1	2	0	30:48	—	—	67	65
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	0	0	24:20	—	—	60	38
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	3	1	0	15:46	—	—	72	90
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	2	0	10:33	—	—	53	61
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.25	2	0	0	22:09	—	—	50	35
Chris Bigras D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	9:32	—	—	33	15

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	24	21	3	.875	2.17	61:55

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Frans Nielsen C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.61	0	2	2	20:13	—	—	33	25
Luke Glendening C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	0	0	17:56	—	—	56	62
Darren Helm C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.21	4	1	0	16:45	—	—	36	27
Tomas Tatar L	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.23	1	1	0	18:33	—	—	39	48
Henrik Zetterberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	1	1	0	18:13	—	—	56	60
Gustav Nyquist R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	0	2	17:35	—	—	50	47
Dylan Larkin C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	2	0	0	20:04	—	—	30	26
Anthony Mantha R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	3	0	2	17:35	—	—	48	63
Justin Abdelkader L	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.01	3	0	0	14:26	—	—	31	26
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	24:23	—	—	44	50
Jonathan Ericsson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	20:42	—	—	47	50
Mike Green D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	2	23:54	—	—	43	45
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	2	16:23	—	—	36	36
Niklas Kronwall D	D3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.15	1	3	0	16:36	—	—	35	53
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:52	—	—	36	36
Andreas Athanasiou C	—	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	13:49	—	—	19	8
Scott Wilson C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:26	—	—	17	9
Xavier Ouellet D	—	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	3:06	—	—	75	100

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	O	37	33	4	.892	2.27	62:55

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.