Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red WingsMar 18, 2023

FinalSaturday, Mar 18, 2023· Little Caesars Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	2	2	5		COL	6	12	5	23
DET	1	0	0	1		DET	16	8	10	34

: COL 45DET 57
: COL 2.19DET 2.90
PP goals: COL 1DET 0
Hits: COL 10DET 17
Blocks: COL 14DET 10
PIM: COL 8DET 8
: COL 37%DET 63%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Detroit Red Wings 5–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Detroit Red Wings 5–1 at DET. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. COL scored 5 goals on 2.19 expected goals (45 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:39.MacKinnon
Points
Cale Makar had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 21:45.Makar
Luck
COL scored 5 goals on 2.19 expected goals (45 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Cale Makar (COL) played 21:45, −4:43 down on his 26:28 season average over 59 games.Makar
Luck
DET scored 1 goal on 2.89 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Denis Malgin (COL) played 14:36, +3:44 up on his 10:52 season average over 64 games.Malgin
Usage
Valeri Nichushkin (COL) played 17:02, −3:18 down on his 20:20 season average over 52 games.Nichushkin
Usage
Alex Newhook (COL) played 10:24, −3:36 down on his 14:00 season average over 81 games.Newhook

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 102 of 102 attempts · DET 57 · COL 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 20% of the game, DET 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	DET
	42	47
	1.47	1.71
	1.43	1.62
	8	6
	2	2
	4	7
	−0.153	+0.153
	20%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Rantanen – Rodrigues
11:5844% CF
L2Cogliano – Eller – O'Connor
7:5325% CF
L3Compher – Nichushkin – Malgin
7:2338% CF
L4Nieto – Galchenyuk – Newhook
6:2544% CF
D1Toews – Makar
12:0557% CF
D2Girard – Byram
10:5933% CF
D3Johnson – Hunt
7:3831% CF

PP1Compher – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Makar
2:4333% CF
PP2Toews – Rantanen – Rodrigues – Girard – Newhook
0:48
PK1FCompher – Nichushkin
1:41
PK2FNieto – O'Connor
0:43
PK1DJohnson – Makar
1:57
PK2DToews – Girard
0:53

Current COL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Perron – Kubalik – Copp
9:5553% CF
L2Veleno – Zadina – Berggren
9:3544% CF
L3Larkin – Suter – Raymond
9:2561% CF
L4Chiasson – Erne – Czarnik
6:3125% CF
D1Maatta – Oesterle
13:4952% CF
D2Walman – Seider
13:2050% CF
D3Hagg – Edvinsson
12:2543% CF

PP1Perron – Chiasson – Larkin – Seider – Raymond
3:2780% CF
PP2Kubalik – Copp – Walman – Zadina – Berggren
2:2078% CF
PK1FCopp – Suter
1:59
PK2FLarkin – Veleno
0:48
PK1DWalman – Seider
2:09
PK2DMaatta – Hagg
1:27

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:01
COLDevon Toews (J.T. Compher, Cale Makar)slap0.03 xG
COL: Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Malgin, MakarDET: Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Copp, Oesterle
COL 1 – 0 DET
6:55
DETPius Suter (Dylan Larkin)wrist0.06 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, ByramDET: Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond
COL 1 – 1 DET

2nd period

7:24
COLNathan MacKinnon (Denis Malgin, Cale Makar)snap0.11 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rodrigues, Malgin, MakarDET: Perron, Copp, Erne, Oesterle, Seider
COL 2 – 1 DET
17:37
COLBowen ByramPP (Cale Makar, Nathan MacKinnon)snap0.13 xG
COL: Compher, MacKinnon, Makar, ByramDET: Maatta, Copp, Seider
COL 3 – 1 DET

3rd period

4:20
COLLars EllerSH (Valeri Nichushkin, Jack Johnson)wrist0.26 xG
COL: Johnson, Eller, Nichushkin, MakarDET: Kubalik, Copp, Walman, Zadina, Berggren
COL 4 – 1 DET
5:16
COLMikko Rantanen (Evan Rodrigues, Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.10 xG
COL: Johnson, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, ByramDET: Perron, Larkin, Walman, Raymond, Edvinsson
COL 5 – 1 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	4	19:50	—	—	61	74
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	2	3	+1	3	0.32	1	0	0	19:39	—	—	52	69
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	17:53	—	—	54	63
Lars Eller C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.38	1	0	2	12:24	—	—	27	18
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:05	—	—	23	5
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	11:36	—	—	31	16
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:29	—	—	59	65
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.24	0	1	0	17:02	—	—	44	37
Denis Malgin C	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.19	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	52	53
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	11:53	—	—	43	27
Alex Newhook C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	10:24	—	—	39	18
Alex Galchenyuk C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:39	—	—	55	55
Devon Toews D	D1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.18	3	3	0	24:04	—	—	60	71
Cale Makar D	D1	0	3	3	+3	1	0.04	1	3	0	21:45	—	—	55	64
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	0	3	0	21:02	—	—	36	39
Bowen Byram D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.17	2	1	0	19:39	—	—	48	59
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	1	1	0	17:17	—	—	46	29
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	38	23

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	34	33	1	.971	2.90	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrew Copp C	L1	0	0	0	-3	5	0.38	1	1	0	19:48	—	—	64	59
David Perron L	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.20	0	0	0	18:35	—	—	52	46
Dominik Kubalik L	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.46	3	0	0	15:47	—	—	64	66
Joseph Veleno C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	3	2	0	15:55	—	—	39	29
Jonatan Berggren R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	54	75
Filip Zadina R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.38	0	0	0	13:59	—	—	50	73
Dylan Larkin C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.42	1	0	0	18:30	—	—	62	47
Lucas Raymond L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	57	44
Pius Suter C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	12:37	—	—	58	48
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	0	2	10:34	—	—	33	5
Alex Chiasson R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	0	0	0	10:27	—	—	25	0
Austin Czarnik C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:33	—	—	50	83
Olli Maatta D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	21:15	—	—	55	69
Jordan Oesterle D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	0	2	0	18:04	—	—	53	42
Moritz Seider D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	3	0	22:15	—	—	48	34
Jake Walman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	1	2	20:52	—	—	50	34
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	2	16:51	—	—	57	81
Simon Edvinsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	2	15:34	—	—	44	33

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ville Husso(start)	L	21	16	5	.762	2.04	45:16
Magnus Hellberg	—	2	2	0	.1000	0.15	14:44

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.