Colorado Avalanche vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 19, 2022

FinalSaturday, Feb 19, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	3	0	2	5		COL	14	11	11	36
BUF	2	1	0	3		BUF	8	7	17	32

: COL 52BUF 52
: COL 5.09BUF 2.82
PP goals: COL 0BUF 0
Hits: COL 8BUF 9
Blocks: COL 12BUF 9
PIM: COL 2BUF 4
: COL 42%BUF 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3 at BUF. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 3G 0A. Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 31 (.886), +4 against a season average of 31.0; the loss.

Points
Tage Thompson had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 18:09.Thompson
Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:27.Rantanen
Points
Jeff Skinner had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:52.Skinner
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 31 (.886), +4 against a season average of 31.0; the loss.Tokarski
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Asplund–Mittelstadt skated 10:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Asplund Mittelstadt
Usage
Logan O'Connor (COL) played 7:11, −6:46 down on his 13:57 season average over 80 games.O'Connor
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 16:55, −3:09 down on his 20:04 season average over 41 games.Samuelsson
Usage
Casey Fitzgerald (BUF) played 20:20, +3:33 up on his 16:47 season average over 35 games.Fitzgerald

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · BUF 52 · COL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 37% of the game, BUF 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	BUF
	54	50
	3.96	2.54
	3.74	2.42
	18	11
	1	6
	12	8
	−0.107	+0.108
	37%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:0758% CF
L2Kadri – Burakovsky – Nichushkin
11:1972% CF
L3Compher – Aube-Kubel – Jost
9:2162% CF
L4Helm – O'Connor – Newhook
5:3410% CF
D1Toews – Makar
15:2357% CF
D2Johnson – Murray
11:0543% CF
D3Johnson – Girard
9:4447% CF

PP1Kadri – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
2:5780% CF
PP2Burakovsky – Nichushkin – Toews – Girard – Newhook
0:49100% CF
PK1FJost – O'Connor
0:52
PK2FHelm – Nichushkin
0:35
PK1DJohnson – Toews
1:04
PK2DMurray – Makar
0:52

Current COL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
12:3645% CF
L2Olofsson – Krebs – Cozens
11:5444% CF
L3Okposo – Asplund – Mittelstadt
10:2367% CF
L4Eakin – Hayden – Bjork
7:4343% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
17:0547% CF
D2Fitzgerald – Samuelsson
13:0873% CF
D3Pysyk – Bryson
12:4244% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Krebs
1:3175% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Jokiharju – Cozens
0:27
PK1FTuch – Thompson
1:58
PK2FOkposo – Eakin
1:52
PK1DJokiharju – Dahlin
1:30
PK2DFitzgerald – Samuelsson
1:13

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:50
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner, Alex Tuch)wrist0.10 xG
COL: Johnson, Helm, Girard, O'Connor, NewhookBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
COL 0 – 1 BUF
3:35
COLNathan MacKinnon (Cale Makar, Devon Toews)wrist0.03 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, MakarBUF: Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens
COL 1 – 1 BUF
11:18
COLJ.T. Compher (Nicolas Aube-Kubel)backhand0.14 xG
COL: Johnson, Murray, Compher, Jost, O'ConnorBUF: Okposo, Pysyk, Bjork, Mittelstadt, Bryson
COL 2 – 1 BUF
12:42
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.09 xG
COL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, MakarBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
COL 2 – 2 BUF
13:02
COLNazem Kadri (Valeri Nichushkin)wrist0.08 xG
COL: Kadri, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Toews, MakarBUF: Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens
COL 3 – 2 BUF

2nd period

12:54
BUFTage Thompson (Mattias Samuelsson)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Helm, Burakovsky, Toews, Makar, NewhookBUF: Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson
COL 3 – 3 BUF

3rd period

8:37
COLAlex Newhook (Mikko Rantanen)snap0.17 xG
COL: Johnson, Rantanen, Jost, Girard, NewhookBUF: Skinner, Pysyk, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin
COL 4 – 3 BUF
19:08
COLMikko RantanenENwrist0.92 xG
COL: Johnson, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens
COL 5 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	1.30	0	0	0	20:27	—	—	52	70
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.59	1	0	0	20:16	—	—	50	73
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.20	1	0	0	20:04	—	—	50	63
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.90	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	71	82
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	16:59	—	—	60	67
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	1	0	0	16:41	—	—	65	86
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.19	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	60	72
J.T. Compher L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	1	1	0	15:15	—	—	59	74
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.33	2	0	0	10:22	—	—	63	80
Alex Newhook C	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.33	0	1	0	13:21	—	—	30	25
Darren Helm C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	1	0	0	7:16	—	—	14	11
Logan O'Connor R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	7:11	—	—	17	26
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	23:42	—	—	56	66
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	0	2	0	23:37	—	—	58	66
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.12	0	3	2	17:47	—	—	45	48
Ryan Murray D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	2	0	15:20	—	—	46	66
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:18	—	—	53	57
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	1	0	16:36	—	—	52	63

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	2.82	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.36	0	1	0	18:57	—	—	48	46
Tage Thompson C	L1	3	0	3	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	18:09	—	—	52	50
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.33	0	1	0	17:52	—	—	54	51
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	-3	4	0.18	0	0	0	16:29	—	—	43	17
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	0	2	0	16:10	—	—	45	24
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	0	0	2	15:37	—	—	40	16
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	1	0	16:18	—	—	50	51
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.53	0	0	0	15:10	—	—	61	52
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	67	61
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	25	13
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	10:30	—	—	36	23
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:17	—	—	50	35
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	1	1	0	23:23	—	—	47	34
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:27	—	—	44	35
Casey Fitzgerald D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	20:20	—	—	62	66
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	16:55	—	—	65	64
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:14	—	—	38	29
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	1	0	17:04	—	—	44	32

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	L	35	31	4	.886	4.18	58:43

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.