Colorado Avalanche vs. Buffalo SabresDec 1, 2022

FinalThursday, Dec 1, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

6

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	4	1	6		COL	9	13	12	34
BUF	2	1	1	4		BUF	8	11	9	28

: COL 49BUF 61
: COL 4.68BUF 3.08
PP goals: COL 3BUF 2
Hits: COL 10BUF 13
Blocks: COL 19BUF 6
PIM: COL 16BUF 14
: COL 56%BUF 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 6–4

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 6–4 at BUF. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 2G 3A.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and 3 assists (5 points) on 8 shots in 25:09.MacKinnon
Points
J.T. Compher had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 3 shots in 22:09.Compher
Points
Dylan Cozens had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 17:11.Cozens
Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 21:29.Thompson
Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:04.Rantanen
Points
Cale Makar had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 30:38.Makar
Points
Devon Toews had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 26:03.Toews
Points
Jeff Skinner had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:35.Skinner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · BUF 61 · COL 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 32% of the game, BUF 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	BUF
	29	48
	1.81	1.81
	1.76	1.77
	8	11
	7	4
	8	10
	+0.066	−0.066
	32%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
9:2850% CF
L2Cogliano – Compher – O'Connor
6:4154% CF
L3Galchenyuk – Newhook – Foudy
4:0738% CF
L4Megna – Blidh – Hunt
3:050% CF
D1Toews – Makar
12:2941% CF
D2Manson – Girard
5:5943% CF
D3Johnson – MacDonald
5:5840% CF

PP1Compher – Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
8:10100% CF
PP2Galchenyuk – Toews – Makar – Newhook – Foudy
0:34
PK1FLehkonen – O'Connor
3:36
PK2FCogliano – Compher
2:41
PK1DToews – Makar
6:15
PK2DJohnson – Girard
0:39

Current COL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
12:1074% CF
L2Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
7:1625% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
7:0960% CF
L4Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Krebs
6:2578% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
13:0974% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
9:4757% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Pilut
6:0938% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
5:08100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
4:36100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Jost
2:36
PK2FOkposo – Cozens
2:27
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
4:15
PK2DFitzgerald – Dahlin
1:07

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:48
COLJ.T. CompherPP (Nathan MacKinnon, Devon Toews)snap0.17 xG
COL: Compher, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, NewhookBUF: Okposo, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens
COL 1 – 0 BUF
10:19
BUFJJ Peterka (Jack Quinn, Dylan Cozens)slap0.09 xG
COL: Johnson, Megna, Blidh, Hunt, MacDonaldBUF: Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power
COL 1 – 1 BUF
19:49
BUFTage ThompsonPP (Jeff Skinner, Dylan Cozens)wrist0.15 xG
COL: Cogliano, Johnson, Lehkonen, ToewsBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens
COL 1 – 2 BUF

2nd period

9:00
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Cale Makar, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.46 xG
COL: Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarBUF: Girgensons, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson
COL 2 – 2 BUF
9:49
COLArtturi LehkonenPP (J.T. Compher, Nathan MacKinnon)backhand0.03 xG
COL: Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarBUF: Okposo, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens
COL 3 – 2 BUF
11:53
COLNathan MacKinnon (Cale Makar, Devon Toews)snap0.14 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, MakarBUF: Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka
COL 4 – 2 BUF
14:05
BUFDylan CozensPP (Tage Thompson, Jeff Skinner)slap0.14 xG
COL: Cogliano, Johnson, MansonBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens
COL 4 – 3 BUF
17:16
COLJ.T. Compher (Logan O'Connor, Andrew Cogliano)snap0.02 xG
COL: Cogliano, Manson, Compher, Girard, O'ConnorBUF: Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power
COL 5 – 3 BUF

3rd period

0:07
BUFAlex Tuch (Rasmus Dahlin, Tage Thompson)backhand0.11 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, MakarBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin
COL 5 – 4 BUF
19:25
COLMikko RantanenEN (J.T. Compher, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.60 xG
COL: Johnson, Compher, MacKinnon, Toews, RantanenBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Power
COL 6 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.56	0	1	2	25:18	—	—	40	59
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	3	5	+1	8	1.44	0	2	2	25:09	—	—	35	56
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.77	0	0	2	25:04	—	—	33	62
J.T. Compher L	L2	2	2	4	+2	3	0.60	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	57	64
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	16:23	—	—	43	50
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.46	1	0	2	16:17	—	—	55	66
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	21	3
Jean-Luc Foudy C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:24	—	—	30	3
Alex Galchenyuk C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:31	—	—	27	3
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	7:11	—	—	33	5
Anton Blidh L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	6:37	—	—	27	51
Jayson Megna C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	5:05	—	—	0	0
Cale Makar D	D1	0	2	2	0	6	0.53	1	0	0	30:38	—	—	42	57
Devon Toews D	D1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.04	2	4	2	26:03	—	—	37	44
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	3	0	16:13	—	—	36	50
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	3	2	10:17	—	—	41	32
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	4	0	19:02	—	—	31	46
Jacob MacDonald D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	10:18	—	—	46	63

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	3.08	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.60	0	0	0	21:38	—	—	76	67
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	2	3	0	4	0.67	2	1	2	21:29	—	—	71	57
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	2	2	0	5	0.36	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	77	66
Dylan Cozens C	L2	1	2	3	-2	1	0.20	1	0	0	17:11	—	—	38	31
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.24	0	0	2	15:32	—	—	42	36
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.25	0	1	0	13:37	—	—	36	39
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:55	—	—	64	58
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	12:42	—	—	67	67
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:44	—	—	60	67
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:36	—	—	64	34
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	12:37	—	—	73	48
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	2	7:35	—	—	78	93
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.20	0	0	0	28:11	—	—	71	50
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	1	0	22:31	—	—	70	54
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	4	21:35	—	—	61	56
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	2	20:21	—	—	58	54
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	10:12	—	—	38	27
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	6:50	—	—	44	30

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	4.07	59:34

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.